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View Full Version : Gonelongs 3rd annual Season W/L prediction thread ...



gonelong
03-29-2004, 08:45 PM
This was a rousing success the last 2 seasons, so lets give it another shot. Pardon me being a little early with it this season, however, I'll be out of state until opening day. I'll be down in Alabama at Lake Weiss catching some monster Crappie this week. :) Don't worry, I'll be back in time to catch the Opening Day festivites (and game) in Cincy on Monday.

Anyhow ...

Lets have everybody chime in here, and if I may be so bold ... I politely request that everyone hold off on the "If so an so is healthy" or if this/that stuff for this one thread.

We'll have 50 other threads were you can guess 162-0 or 110-52, so Ill ask very, very, very nicely to please give a simple range of Ws for a regular season record prediction. Not your hope, not a best/worst case scenarion, not your "optimistic", "pessimistic", or "realistic" slant, but the number you'd put out there if you had to bet your house on being right.

Max range of 5 Ws, and not give or take 5 (a 10 W range).

Gonelong predicts: between 72-77 Wins

GL

Raisor
03-29-2004, 08:52 PM
I'm going with 80 wins, and I'm man enough to not need the five win buffer!

:evilone:

SirFelixCat
03-29-2004, 08:56 PM
I will be brave enough to say 85 W's this season. I'll take the 5 though...I think the pitching is going to pleasantly surprise, coupled with Adam resugence (Thank you CC!).

redsfan30
03-29-2004, 08:56 PM
78-84

Redsland
03-29-2004, 08:59 PM
72-90

letsgojunior
03-29-2004, 09:01 PM
75-87

Jim Fazio
03-29-2004, 09:05 PM
76-86

Reds Fanatic
03-29-2004, 09:09 PM
79-83

FrenchD1
03-29-2004, 09:23 PM
Don't laugh but I honestly believe it'll be around 95 wins.

Candy Cummings
03-29-2004, 09:23 PM
80-82.

BuckeyeRedleg
03-29-2004, 09:24 PM
63-99

M2
03-29-2004, 09:30 PM
66-96

LvJ
03-29-2004, 09:31 PM
88Wins.

:D

Redsfaithful
03-29-2004, 09:41 PM
72 - 90

Virginia Beach Reds
03-29-2004, 09:54 PM
I'll go with 76-86. I'll still watch every game, as always on Extra Innings and be glad that I'm a Reds Fan.

VBR

Falls City Beer
03-29-2004, 09:58 PM
75 wins

creek14
03-29-2004, 09:59 PM
I'm gonna go with Adam Dunn + Austin Kearns + Johnny Bench wins.

UKFlounder
03-29-2004, 10:03 PM
70-92

Ga_Red
03-29-2004, 10:04 PM
2/09/07

Fil3232
03-29-2004, 10:08 PM
82-80

MWM
03-29-2004, 10:12 PM
71-91

Ravenlord
03-29-2004, 10:12 PM
77-85

KronoRed
03-29-2004, 10:14 PM
68 wins

red-in-la
03-29-2004, 10:17 PM
Well Sean McAdam writing for ESPN in talking about the NL Central Race said that the Cubs and Astros got to play two of the 4 worst teams in baseball 40 times.....and he was talking about the Pirates and the Brewers.....now, to me, I was floored when I read the first half of the sentence and then saw that the Reds were NOT one of the teams.

So, maybe the Reds aren't going to be as bad as I thought.

I have to say that Acevedo and Harang give me reason to pause while crying in my beer....here. Only trouble is that Adam Dunn cannot hit 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th, and 8th.

I am going way out on a limb here.....and I know it is just Opening Day fever talkin' here.....

80-82

And get this.....ahead of the Cardinals.

Hoosier Red
03-29-2004, 10:18 PM
79-83 :RedinDC:

moondog
03-29-2004, 10:21 PM
81-81 Reds stick with the plan and the young arms start to develop.We need to beat up on the Pirates,Brewers and the like of those types,there seems to be some strong teams in thee NLC this year.What the heck today everybody has the same record.GOTTA LOVE THOSE REDS!

alloverjr
03-29-2004, 10:33 PM
69 - 93 :allovrjr:

Ravenlord
03-29-2004, 10:33 PM
And get this.....ahead of the Cardinals.
actually, i think we'll be fighting the Cards all year for 3rd place...and if you remove Jimmy Haynes from the rotation and replace him with just about anybody, i think the Reds and Cards rotations are about equal. i think our BP is better than the Cards, but their offense should make up for that. it'll be interesting to watch.

Cedric
03-29-2004, 10:37 PM
84-78

biggestREDSfan
03-29-2004, 10:59 PM
My guess for this year is....... 92 WINS - 70 LOSSES!!!
I feel like the Reds can go all the way this year. This is the best team that we have had in a long time. This is our year!

:danger: :kearns: :griffey: :creek14: :bigboom:

4256 Hits
03-29-2004, 10:59 PM
64 and 98

Carter
03-29-2004, 11:09 PM
91 - 71, the team is looking very sharp. I want to see Freel out there around 150 games, with Haynes gone. I have some reasons to believe this year. The Chemistry will be the key. If you want to look for a reason to believe look to Miley and Chambliss.

Redny
03-29-2004, 11:21 PM
82 wins

Puffy
03-29-2004, 11:33 PM
73-89

Unless of course, Jupiter and Saturn align with Uranus (he he he - I said Uranus), then it will be 74-88.

And on a lighter note, I will also predit Jung Bong will get at least one single this year, then we can all say, "Despite a disappointing 5th place finish by the Reds, they lead the majors in Bong hits."

And can't you just hear Marty now, "After the Bong hit, several Reds players couldn't stop giggling, while munching down sunflower seeds 12 at a time."

Aronchis
03-29-2004, 11:37 PM
76-86.

tremere
03-29-2004, 11:39 PM
I'm going with 60-102, here's why:

*** VERY inexperienced in the starting rotation (no star pitchers)
*** Junior is already on his way to another injured season
*** Kearns may be going through a sophomore-like season
*** our bullpen is VERY GOOD, but definitely not great or superb
*** we are slow up the middle of the infield
*** Casey has been declining offensively every year
*** the Reds will likely trade the better players at the All-Star break
*** we have next to no bench
*** we made no acquisitions in the off-season that will make an impact this year

Bill
03-30-2004, 12:49 AM
I am going to go with 71...crappies that is, first day, with the biggest of the week besting 3 pounds. I have no idea how many wins the Reds will net though, well at least not until trader dan is done.
Good luck.

sjm
03-30-2004, 12:54 AM
81-81

l3R3TT
03-30-2004, 01:21 AM
71-91

I just don't see them being able to stay healthy enuf to win more.

Spring~Fields
03-30-2004, 01:46 AM
92-70

This is not the Boone & Bowden show anymore. That should be good for 15 more wins by accident....... ;)

MAKING A PITCH: The Reds entered Sunday seventh in the National League in pitching so far this spring with a 4.44 ERA.

Even more impressive is the starting pitchers' ERA of 3.89

http://reds.enquirer.com/2004/03/29/red1b.html

Ron Madden
03-30-2004, 05:30 AM
Reds win 87 games 2nd place.

TeamCasey
03-30-2004, 06:10 AM
70 wins

Edskin
03-30-2004, 07:45 AM
71-91. I think there will be as many questions after this year, as there are before it.

cumberlandreds
03-30-2004, 07:53 AM
70-92 and that is being optimistic. :pray:

Roy Tucker
03-30-2004, 08:15 AM
I'll be down in Alabama at Lake Weiss catching some monster Crappie this week.

Don't drink the water and maybe you can avoid that :)

75-80 wins. Starting pitchers will bleed wins from this team. Don't be fooled by ST numbers. Pigs ears, silk purse and all that.

zombie-a-go-go
03-30-2004, 08:51 AM
87 Wins.

knuckler
03-30-2004, 09:13 AM
I'll go with 78 wins.

Reds1
03-30-2004, 09:24 AM
82-80

TRF
03-30-2004, 09:49 AM
89 wins.

Acevedo is going to be the man in the rotation, and Lidle looks to be doing what he was signed to do. Harang will be the key. 89 wins, but i'll take the 5 and shhot for 94 :)

Dan
03-30-2004, 10:09 AM
The Reds will be between 77 and 82 wins this year.

RedsRock
03-30-2004, 10:14 AM
83-79

Red Leader
03-30-2004, 10:32 AM
71-91

EmtyRedsFan
03-30-2004, 10:35 AM
66 wins :dflynn:

deltachi8
03-30-2004, 10:44 AM
69-74 wins.

seven and chang
03-30-2004, 10:49 AM
Marty will get to say "and this one belongs to the Reds" 84 times this year. only 78 times will the old lefthander round third and stop off for a beer before heading home.

Sabo Bobblehead
03-30-2004, 11:45 AM
66-95-1 Yes, we'll have us a tie game that won't get made up cause the Reds will be out of the playoff picture. :scared:

Aceking
03-30-2004, 12:06 PM
71 wins. :boredom: