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View Full Version : How many homeruns will Encarnacion hit this year?



OnBaseMachine
02-19-2006, 05:46 PM
I think Eddie Encarnacion will start off the year slow, a low batting average but he will display solid power and walk rates. Maybe a .750 OPS the first couple months(similar to his stats the final two months of 2005), but then everything will click mid way through the year as he adjusts to major league pitching. I see him ending up with an OPS around the .785-.810 area in his first full season, which I would be more than happy with.

For my homerun prediction, I will go with 24 homeruns.

Mario-Rijo
02-19-2006, 06:12 PM
With Aurilia killing his groove I am going with 11-15, more specifically 14 longballs in 300 ab's. If Aurilia goes down or Edwin jumps alot in his development I will go with 21 in 450 ab's.

KronoRed
02-19-2006, 06:16 PM
19

Rich will steal at bats till he gets hurt, then EE will blossom and Rich will talk to the press daily about it.

toledodan
02-19-2006, 06:16 PM
i picked 21-25. even if his aveage is in the low 200's he will still hit some long balls. didn't he have around 10 last season?

Chip R
02-19-2006, 06:31 PM
Majors, minors or both?

OnBaseMachine
02-19-2006, 06:35 PM
Majors.

westofyou
02-19-2006, 06:42 PM
If he gets above 20 Hr's and hits under .250 I prefer Eddie Mathews 1952 season to Gary Gaetti's 1982.

Little Alex
02-19-2006, 06:48 PM
19

Rich will steal at bats till he gets hurt, then EE will blossom and Rich will talk to the press daily about it.


:laugh: Spot on. I hate that this guy takes away AB's from the young guys, much less the groove he kills by taking away starts. Not sure why this has always been such a difficult concept to grasp by Reds Management. :confused:

Raisor
02-19-2006, 07:27 PM
94,448 home runs, which would be a record.

TOBTTReds
02-19-2006, 07:55 PM
94,448 home runs, which would be a record.

Is that in one game? Or for the season?

RedsIn07
02-19-2006, 08:17 PM
I'm saying 22.

Newport Red
02-19-2006, 08:19 PM
:laugh: Spot on. I hate that this guy takes away AB's from the young guys, much less the groove he kills by taking away starts. Not sure why this has always been such a difficult concept to grasp by Reds Management. :confused:

Remember Narron is on a 1 year contract.
He can't afford a 3 year plan.

Raisor
02-20-2006, 08:57 AM
Is that in one game? Or for the season?


That's just the 5th inning of game 3 of the year.

People will still complain that he's too much of a pull hitter.

westofyou
02-20-2006, 11:14 AM
People will still complain that he's too much of a pull hitter.
Yeah that theory plays big on the feral reds boards.

Warren Giles thought Hank Sauer pulled the ball too much so they traded him for nothing and lost out on 200 HR's over the next 6 years.

Eric in IL
02-20-2006, 11:20 AM
I'd love to see a lot more, but I picked 11-15. I just think it's going to take some time for EE to find the power stroke. Remember Morgan Ensberg struggled quite a bit, the first couple of years in another homer friendly park. I just hope the Reds F.O, the fans (and the announcers) are patient with him.

gonelong
02-20-2006, 11:24 AM
Yeah that theory plays big on the feral reds boards.

Warren Giles thought Hank Sauer pulled the ball too much so they traded him for nothing and lost out on 200 HR's over the next 6 years.

Fans seem to forget to appreciate what a player already is in favor of wishing for what they might become.

GL

lollipopcurve
02-20-2006, 12:34 PM
I'm going 11-15 cuz I don't think Narron will give him more than 400 ABs. Hope I'm wrong.

Red in Chicago
02-20-2006, 02:18 PM
i went with under 10...i think he'll start out very slow and simply won't get any at bats after that...too many "seasoned" veterans on the bench to get at bats for, so the youngster will suffer

Cyclone792
02-20-2006, 02:48 PM
I voted 21-25, but that's under the condition that he plays full-time the entire season. Regardless of his playing time, I'll say he hits a bomb once every 27 plate appearances, which over a full season falls within the 21-25 range.

wheels
02-20-2006, 02:56 PM
This is a thread that BF would be jumping all over.

It'd probably be a five pager by now.

BigRed
02-20-2006, 10:06 PM
EE will hit 25 homeruns this year IF he is allowed to play through his slumps. Just curious. Did he get too many ABs last year to qualify for rookie of the year?

Reds Nd2
02-21-2006, 12:34 AM
Just curious. Did he get too many ABs last year to qualify for rookie of the year?

Yes he did. Easy E had 211 AB's, or 81 more than the rules allow, last season.

Reds Nd2
02-21-2006, 12:49 AM
People will still complain that he's too much of a pull hitter.

Well, he had a K/TPA ratio of .256 and didn't hit a single sac fly last season. It's official, he sucks. ;)

KearnsyEars
02-21-2006, 09:52 AM
I think he hits somewhere in the neighborhood of 22.

DeadRedinCT
02-23-2006, 04:58 PM
According to my OQUENDO projection system, Easy Eddie will hit 33 round-trippers this season.

bottom_feeder
02-24-2006, 09:28 PM
I hope Edwin continues to work on his defense, and doesn't worry about hitting home runs. The home runs will come. I'd be thrilled with 15-20 home runs.