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View Full Version : How many homeruns from Wily Mo Pena this season?



WMR
03-01-2006, 12:11 PM
How many dongers will he mash?

WMR
03-01-2006, 12:44 PM
I'll say... 38

E. Davis 44
03-01-2006, 12:45 PM
39

savafan
03-01-2006, 12:49 PM
41

redsfan30
03-01-2006, 12:54 PM
28

westofyou
03-01-2006, 12:59 PM
WMP has never hit above .270 in a season and he averages a BB every 16 ab's.

Based on a 550 ab season that would slot him at about 35 walks for the year, here's the best HR by a guy (under 27) who hit under .280 and walked 35 or fewer times.



HOMERUNS YEAR HR BB AVG
1 Sammy Sosa 1996 40 34 .273
2 Dave Kingman 1976 37 28 .238
3 Dave Kingman 1975 36 34 .231
4 Tony Armas 1980 35 29 .279
5 Matt Williams 1991 34 33 .268
T6 Cory Snyder 1987 33 31 .236
T6 Matt Williams 1990 33 33 .277
8 Joe Carter 1987 32 27 .264
T9 Richie Sexson 1999 31 34 .255
T9 Joe Pepitone 1966 31 29 .255
T9 Mack Jones 1965 31 29 .262
T12 Raul Mondesi 1998 30 30 .279
T12 Butch Hobson 1977 30 27 .265
T14 Butch Hobson 1979 28 30 .261
T14 Joe Pepitone 1964 28 24 .251
T14 Rondell White 1997 28 31 .270
T17 Torii Hunter 2001 27 29 .261
T17 Jim Presley 1986 27 32 .265
T17 Joe Pepitone 1963 27 23 .271
T20 Ken Keltner 1938 26 33 .276
T20 Gene Freese 1961 26 27 .277
T22 Andre Dawson 1979 25 27 .275
T22 Tony Batista 2001 25 32 .238
T22 Andre Dawson 1978 25 30 .253
25 Jody Davis 1983 24 33 .271

savafan
03-01-2006, 01:03 PM
WMP has never hit above .270 in a season and he averages a BB every 16 ab's.

Based on a 550 ab season that would slot him at about 35 walks for the year, here's the best HR by a guy (under 27) who hit under .280 and walked 35 or fewer times.



HOMERUNS YEAR HR BB AVG
1 Sammy Sosa 1996 40 34 .273
2 Dave Kingman 1976 37 28 .238
3 Dave Kingman 1975 36 34 .231
4 Tony Armas 1980 35 29 .279
5 Matt Williams 1991 34 33 .268
T6 Cory Snyder 1987 33 31 .236
T6 Matt Williams 1990 33 33 .277
8 Joe Carter 1987 32 27 .264
T9 Richie Sexson 1999 31 34 .255
T9 Joe Pepitone 1966 31 29 .255
T9 Mack Jones 1965 31 29 .262
T12 Raul Mondesi 1998 30 30 .279
T12 Butch Hobson 1977 30 27 .265
T14 Butch Hobson 1979 28 30 .261
T14 Joe Pepitone 1964 28 24 .251
T14 Rondell White 1997 28 31 .270
T17 Torii Hunter 2001 27 29 .261
T17 Jim Presley 1986 27 32 .265
T17 Joe Pepitone 1963 27 23 .271
T20 Ken Keltner 1938 26 33 .276
T20 Gene Freese 1961 26 27 .277
T22 Andre Dawson 1979 25 27 .275
T22 Tony Batista 2001 25 32 .238
T22 Andre Dawson 1978 25 30 .253
25 Jody Davis 1983 24 33 .271


So when Wily Mo hits 41, he'll be at the top of that list. ;)

RedsManRick
03-01-2006, 01:07 PM
His career HR rate over 550 at bats is 33 homers. So if he improves on that at all, we're looking mid to upper 30's and beyond.

Highlifeman21
03-01-2006, 01:26 PM
He will strike out too much to get decent pitches to rock into the Ohio River. 31, tops.

KronoRed
03-01-2006, 01:39 PM
25, I think he gets hurt at some point, it's his turn :help:

NastyBoy
03-01-2006, 02:07 PM
32 hrs. 95 rbis

VI_RedsFan
03-01-2006, 06:35 PM
43 homers.

Red Leader
03-01-2006, 06:37 PM
34 homers,

TOBTTReds
03-01-2006, 06:38 PM
He did walk in both his AB's today. That's crazy. I give him 38.

User Name
03-01-2006, 07:00 PM
I'd say 30-33, higher if he plays every day, but I am still afraid that Jerry will try to work in a lot of ABs for the 4th OF, if everyone stays healthy. That may cut into WMP's ABs and ability to get comfortable and settle in at the plate.

DeadRedinCT
03-01-2006, 08:00 PM
According to my VIZCAINO projection system, Wily Mo will swat 52 big flies this upcoming season.

Superdude
03-01-2006, 09:40 PM
He did walk in both his AB's today. That's crazy.

Holy crap! Let's all have a prayer session in hopes that this will carry over into the season. He's definitely raised the bar for himself with all this talk of 30 homers being too wimpy and amazing new patience. We'd probably have the gratest offense in historoy if he pulled off a .350OBP / 40 homer season!

Mario-Rijo
03-02-2006, 12:50 AM
I'm expecting him to walk a little more often than his rate in the past because A.) Edwin will likely bat behind him often B.) His offseason work on this front C.) Knowing the pitchers a little better and D.) He was always more comfortable, i.e. patient at the plate when he was starting. Having said that I don't expect more than 35 for a lot of the same reasons, plus the fact that his swing is likely to still include some holes. And I will say somewhere around 50 walks.

M2
03-02-2006, 12:57 AM
How many dongers will he mash?

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v105/ataripunker/donger.jpg

pedro
03-02-2006, 04:06 AM
29

shredda2000
03-02-2006, 12:12 PM
27