PDA

View Full Version : Best case/worst case from ESPN.COM



reds44
03-27-2006, 07:42 PM
Cincinnati Reds
Last World Series title: 1990.

Best case: Bronson Arroyo helps stabilize the rotation and the outfield of Adam Dunn, Ken Griffey Jr. and Austin Kearns combines for 100 homers. Third base prospect Edwin Encarnacion follows up a huge spring with a nice rookie season. The Reds flirt with a .500 record and challenge for fourth in the division.

Worst case: The hitters lead the league in strikeouts, Eric Milton and the pitchers rank first in homers allowed, and the Reds complete the trifecta with suspect defense. At some point Griffey grabs a hamstring and makes another trip to the disabled list. When Dr. Tim Kremchek leads the team in press conferences, it's a bad sign.


I honestly think our best case scenario is winning the NL Central. The Central is do for a down year, and if we can get 200 IP from Harang, Arroyo, Claussen, and if Milton can go 14-6 like he did in Philly (yeah I know but it is best case scenario) then I could see us competing. I doubt it happens, but you never know.

Spitball
03-27-2006, 07:57 PM
I honestly think our best case scenario is winning the NL Central. The Central is do for a down year, and if we can get 200 IP from Harang, Arroyo, Claussen, and if Milton can go 14-6 like he did in Philly (yeah I know but it is best case scenario) then I could see us competing. I doubt it happens, but you never know.

Sometimes things just come together. If everyone stays healthy and a few players have career years, well...baseball fans have license to dream in the spring.

RedsManRick
03-27-2006, 08:08 PM
Apparently ESPN thinks that 4, possibly 5 teams in the NL Central will be .500 or better this year...

Cant Touch This
03-27-2006, 08:19 PM
I bet ESPN didn't state "Final Four" for George Mason's best case back in November.

max venable
03-27-2006, 08:29 PM
No way we win the division with the Cards in the mix. They're absolutely LOADED.

But I AM, on the other hand, always optimistic about my Reds. Every year I think that this is the year that they'll "catch lightning in a bottle." I'm counting on it this year! Wild-card, bay-beee!

redsfan30
03-27-2006, 08:33 PM
No way we win the division with the Cards in the mix. They're absolutely LOADED.
I think they've taken steps back. The lineup outside of 3-4-5 is not good. They're not going to dominate this division like they have the past 3 years.

KearnsyEars
03-27-2006, 09:47 PM
The cards aren't loaded, and best case we win the thing!!!

redsfan30
03-27-2006, 10:16 PM
I don't see why there would be any disputes as to what the best case would be....for any team, the best case scenario is winning the World Series.

That's why they call it the best case.

membengal
03-27-2006, 10:18 PM
I think the Brewers can steal the division (will need complete health and a Cy worthy performance from Sheets at a minimum though).

I think the espn best case is pretty dead on. If the Reds can make a run at .500 this year, maybe even a few games above it with the Reds sniffing faintly the Wild Card race for a series or two in mid-August, that is about as good as we can expect.

pedro
03-27-2006, 10:27 PM
I think 90 games will win the central this year.

Johnny Footstool
03-27-2006, 11:31 PM
I think they've taken steps back. The lineup outside of 3-4-5 is not good. They're not going to dominate this division like they have the past 3 years.

Their lineup last season wasn't good outside of 3-4-5 (Pujols, Edmonds, Sanders). They still ran away with the division.

KronoRed
03-27-2006, 11:35 PM
I think 90 games will win the central this year.
I agree, shame the Reds will be 20 games away from that mark.

MattyHo4Life
03-28-2006, 01:39 AM
I think they've taken steps back. The lineup outside of 3-4-5 is not good. They're not going to dominate this division like they have the past 3 years.

The Cardinals haven't lost any difference makers from last year. However, they do gain a difference maker in Rolen since he missed most of 2005.

max venable
03-28-2006, 08:58 AM
The Cardinals haven't lost any difference makers from last year. However, they do gain a difference maker in Rolen since he missed most of 2005.
Exactly!

And...look at their rotation: Carpenter, Mulder, Marquis, Suppan, and Ponson.

Add Rolen to the middle of that lineup and they ARE loaded! I expect them to run away with the division.

REDREAD
03-28-2006, 09:29 AM
The Cardinals haven't lost any difference makers from last year. However, they do gain a difference maker in Rolen since he missed most of 2005.

I concur. The Cards are loaded. They have to be considered the favorites to win the division.

As far as best case goes, I think you have to assume a reasonable best case. A record slightly over .500 is about the best you can expect from this team. There's no Harnish/Neagle/Williamson we're entering the season with.

MartyFan
03-28-2006, 11:29 AM
About the Cards, I know NOTHING....about their new stadium, is there a chance that these pitchers will not seem so mighty in their new digs?

Roy Tucker
03-28-2006, 11:57 AM
Best case, win 162 games. Worst case, win 0 games.

The truth falls somewhere between.

Krusty
03-28-2006, 12:29 PM
I will be happy if the Reds finish over .500. You have to learn to walk first before you can run.

A winning season would be a start in the right direction in turning the club's fortunes around.

macro
03-28-2006, 01:14 PM
I bet ESPN didn't state "Final Four" for George Mason's best case back in November.

Excellent point! :thumbup:

pedro
03-28-2006, 01:21 PM
The Cardinals haven't lost any difference makers from last year. However, they do gain a difference maker in Rolen since he missed most of 2005.

I don't know matty.

I think the cumulative loss of Grudzie, Walker & Sanders all replaced by lesser players has to be soemwhat concerning.

KronoRed
03-28-2006, 01:35 PM
I will be happy if the Reds finish over .500. You have to learn to walk first before you can run.

A winning season would be a start in the right direction in turning the club's fortunes around.
I'll be happy with less then 100 losses.

It's all about goals :D