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OnBaseMachine
05-23-2006, 06:04 PM
Pretty impressive.

ē 5. Dunn Deal. We officially think that Ken Griffey Jr. is going to lap Barry Bonds and get to 755 first. Junior had a three-run homer (his 541st) in the Redsí five-run first and your favorite pitcher, Bronson Arroyo (6-2), was the winner in a 15-5 stomping of the Brewers. Adam Dunn also homered. Itís worth noting that Dunn has 174 homers over his first five seasons. Griffey, over his first five seasons, had 132. In fact, the only active player to have more homers than Dunn over his first five seasons in the league is Albert Pujols, with 201.

http://www.deadspin.com/sports/baseball/the-closer-the-wright-stuff-175584.php

Falls City Beer
05-24-2006, 09:46 AM
Supremely impressive. He's like a damn T-Rex.

registerthis
05-24-2006, 11:34 AM
I'll bet Pujols is kicking his butt at sac flies, too. ;)

pedro
05-24-2006, 11:36 AM
I'll bet Pujols is kicking his butt at sac flies, too. ;)


Dunn't go there!

BCubb2003
05-24-2006, 01:13 PM
I'll bet Pujols is kicking his butt at sac flies, too. ;)

Actually, they're tied for this year, but certainly not for their careers.

KronoRed
05-24-2006, 03:45 PM
Sac fly is the real measure of talent.

OnBaseMachine
05-24-2006, 04:45 PM
BTW, Pujols has 3108 career atbats and 3621 total plate appearances compared to Dunn's 2430 atbats and 2986 plate appearances.

Pujols has homered at a 13.88 AB/HR rate in his career while Dunn is at 13.97. If given the same number of atbats as Pujols has, Dunn would have roughly 223 career home runs.

Buckeye33
05-24-2006, 05:08 PM
BTW, Pujols has 3108 career atbats and 3621 total plate appearances compared to Dunn's 2430 atbats and 2986 plate appearances.

Pujols has homered at a 13.88 AB/HR rate in his career while Dunn is at 13.97. If given the same number of atbats as Pujols has, Dunn would have roughly 223 career home runs.

Wow... nice stat.

Tonight is Dunn's first game off this season if I did not miss a random game somewhere. It seems that he is going to be a 155+ game guy the rest of his career as long as he's healthy. He could own some records before his career is over.

Obviously everyone wants Dunn to hit better than .230, but you can not deny his talent of hitting the longball and getting on base. Just imagine the numbers he could put up if he could just get to a .270ish average.

KronoRed
05-24-2006, 05:17 PM
Turns his bases empty walks into singles and he hits in the .290 area ;)

OnBaseMachine
05-24-2006, 05:23 PM
Here is another nice article. This one mentions Dunn as one of four possible candidates to hit 700 home runs and possibly break Hank Aaron's record.

Pujols, A-Rod also taking aim at 700 homers
Updated 5/24/2006 12:23 PM ET E-mail | Save | Print | Subscribe to stories like this

By Bob Nightengale, USA TODAY

Without blinking, Barry Bonds will tell you who will come along next to join the 700 home run club.

"Alex Rodriguez," he says. "He'll be there. And there'll be others. It ain't like I'll be the last one. Records are meant to be broken. I'll be cheering them on."

The 700-homer club has three members: Hank Aaron (755), Babe Ruth (714) and Bonds (714).

Reds center fielder Ken Griffey Jr., whom Aaron once anointed as the one to break his record, has the second-highest home run total among active players with 540. No one, including Griffey, believes he still has a chance. He's 36 years old and hasn't played a full season since 1999, missing most of April with a knee injury. He also hasn't hit 40 home runs in a season since 2000.

"I thought Griffey years ago would be the one to break all of the records," Hall of Fame pitcher Bob Feller says. "But his chances are gone now."

But there are at least four players who have a legitimate shot to hit 700 homers and challenge Aaron's mark: the Yankees' Alex Rodriguez (30 years old; 438 career home runs), the Cardinals' Albert Pujols (26; 223), the Braves' Andruw Jones (29; 310) and the Reds' Adam Dunn (26; 173).

"You've got to like Alex Rodriguez's chances," Feller says. "And if not him, it'll be somebody else. Just look at all of the homers now."

Baseball may have steroid testing, and amphetamines are banned in the game, but the way the ball is flying out of ballparks these days, home runs seem here to stay.

There were 845 homers hit in April, the third-highest total for that month in the expansion era (beginning in 1961). Home runs jumped by 27.5% from the 663 hit last April. Pujols set the major league record with 14 homers in April. The Rangers' Kevin Mench hit a home run in seven consecutive days. The Brewers hit five home runs in one inning.

There were 2.3 homers hit per game in April. If this trend continues, the season will have the second-highest home run rate during the expansion era, surpassed only by the 2000 season when 2.344 homers were hit, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. (There have been 2.05 homers hit per game in May, according to Elias.)

No one has been hotter than Pujols, who has a major league-leading 22 homers.

"I'm not a home run hitter," Pujols recently told reporters. "I'm a line-drive hitter with power. All I try to do is just hit for average, and hopefully, if I put a good swing on it, the ball's going to go out of the park."

But Pujols is on pace to hit about 81 home runs this year. He already has more home runs than any other player in the National League since his 2001 debut, including Bonds.

"You ask me, and Pujols will be the next Bonds," Twins center fielder Torii Hunter says. "If he stays healthy, he may break all of the records. It's funny, the guy is the greatest player in the game right now and they're still pitching to him."

That will change, Bonds says. Pujols walked a career-high 97 times last season, and he has already walked 36 times this season.

"He's going to be walked a ton," Bonds says. "If he were in the American League, it would be different."

Yet, to Pujols' advantage, he has power-hitting third baseman Scott Rolen hitting behind him.

"That's the key — you've got to get pitches to hit," says Brewers Hall of Famer Robin Yount, who hit 251 homers.

That's why, Yount says, if Pujols breaks the all-time home run record, it may belong to Rodriguez.

"To have a chance at the record, you've got to be on a team where they'll pay to give you protection, and as long as he stays with the Yankees, George (Steinbrenner) will always have the money to find someone to protect him," Yount says of Rodriguez.

Rodriguez has averaged 46 home runs the last eight seasons. And he has missed only eight games since 2000.

Jones hit a major league-leading 51 home runs last year. Yet it was the first time he ever hit more than 40. Was it an aberration?

Dunn hit more homers during his first five seasons (158) than any other player in Reds history but Frank Robinson (165). He hit 86 homers between 2004 and 2005.

"If he could ever put the ball in play more," Brewers manager Ned Yost says, "good gosh. He just needs to make more contact."

Bonds, of course, isn't done playing yet, either. But he has an arthritic right knee, tender elbow and seemingly the weight of the world on his back.

Bonds homered once every 6.5 at-bats in 2001, a ratio Ruth never approached. He still was hitting a homer once every 8.3 at-bats in 2004, a rate still better than Ruth's. Yet this year, he has six homers in 99 at-bats — a rate of one every 16.5 at-bats.

Bonds, who told USA TODAY this spring that he would retire at the season's conclusion, now says he won't make up his mind until August or September. He probably would have to play at least through the All-Star break in 2007 to pass Aaron.

If Bonds hits 25 homers this year and next, it'll take him 150 games into the 2007 season.

"I wouldn't put anything past him," Cubs broadcaster and former third baseman Ron Santo says. "When I see him at his age, and the talent he still has, he can still drive the ball out of the park. He'll keep hitting homers as long as he plays, but with that knee, no one knows when it will all end."

Who's next?

Players with the best shot at 755 home runs:

Barry Bonds, age 41

Home runs 714

Homer average

per full season 37*

Projected year

to reach 755: 2006 (at age 44)**

Alex Rodriguez, age 30

Home runs 438

Homer average

per full season 42

Projected year

to reach 755: 2014 (at age 36)

Albert Pujols, age 26

Home runs 223

Homer average

per full season 40

Projected year

to reach 755: 2020 (at age 40)

Andruw Jones, age 29

Home runs 310

Homer average

per full season 33

Projected year

to reach 755: 2019 (at age 42)

Adam Dunn, age 26

Home runs 173

Homer average

per full season 35

Projected year

to reach 755: 2023 (at age 43)

*Full seasons based on seasons in which they played at least 102 games

**Bonds, who played in only 14 games last season because of injury, has hinted he might retire after the season

— Bob Nightengale

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/bbw/2006-05-24-700-club_x.htm

vaticanplum
05-24-2006, 05:29 PM
Whoa. A-Rod is amazing. 36 years old, wow. Even if he gets hurt (and so far he's been incredibly durable), he's got a really nice window there.

So far, he does have everything going for him in terms of this record: early start to his career, health, playing for a team with a perpetual shot at the postseason thus giving him a few extra games every year. Would be exciting to see in our lifetimes.

CrackerJack
05-24-2006, 06:07 PM
Pujols is absolutely amazing, just incredible. Has there been a better hitter in our lifetimes? I don't know.

And so underappreciated.

OnBaseMachine
05-24-2006, 07:01 PM
Pujols is absolutely amazing, just incredible. Has there been a better hitter in our lifetimes? I don't know.

And so underappreciated.

Pujols is underappreciated? Not in my opinion. Turn on he TV and all you hear about is Pujols and Bonds.

I'm tired of hearing about him.

M2
05-24-2006, 07:09 PM
Supremely impressive. He's like a damn T-Rex.

http://stanislaskazal.canalblog.com/images/t-pic101.jpg