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mbgrayson
08-07-2006, 04:08 PM
Ryan Franklin
DOB: 3/5/73 (Age is 33)
Height: 6' 3", Weight: 190
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Experience: 7 years
2006 Salary: $2,600,000

2006 stats (w/ Phil):
Innings pitched: 53
Games: 46
Games started: 0
ERA: 4.58
Whip: 1.43
K’s: 25
Bbs: 17
HRs allowed-10 (!)
Batting Avg. Against: .280
Batting Avg. Balls In Play: .278
lefties (74) are hitting .270 w/ 1 HR
righties (137) are hitting .285 w/ 9 HR

Ground ball% 2005 (a good year for him):41 %

2006 Baseball Prospectus:
“Flyball pitchers with low strikeout rates face long odds in the big leagues. First they have to hope for a home park that turns flyballs into long outs instead of homers. They also need pinpoint control to prevent extra baserunners, minimizing the damage when they do serve up a cookie. While they tend to yield lower batting averages on balls in play than groundballers, with fewer knocks scooting through the infield, they need luck and good defense to mitigate all the batters who don't strike out and instead put the ball in play. In 2003, Franklin yielded a BABIP of .250, with a resulting 3.57 ERA. In 2005: a .289 BABIP and a 5.10 ERA. Wisely non-tendered after the '05 season, Franklin signed with the Phillies. Avert your eyes.”

VORP: (Value over replacement player)
2003: 49.1
2004: 20.3
2005: 11.5
2006 (projected): 6.6
2006 (actual to date): 8.6

2006 Sporting News Baseball Register Scouting Reports “Throws: Franklin has an 87-91 mph fastball, an 83-86 slider, a 74-76 curve, and a changeup. Tendencies: He throws a lot of different pitches, but the loss of velocity on his fastball has made them more similar and less effective. Appears to have lost confidence in his fastball and leaves it up too often. Outlook: He is starting to level off now with declining velocity and sharpness in his breaking ball. Could struggle to reach double digit wins in 2006. Grade: 6.3.”

2006 Bill James Handbook pitcher projection:
IP: 182
GS:30
HR: 28
ERA : 4.45


Final notes:

The Phils evidently decided switching Ryan to the bullpen has not worked. You can't have relievers give up 10 homeruns in only 53 innings. (That could break Milton's record!) Overall, he is pitching better than some, like Baseball Prospectus, predicted.

Philadelphia is a similar HR friendly park to GABP, but still....5 HRs in Philly, 5 on the road this year.

This one REALLY scares me...doesn't seem like a good fit for us. Love to be wrong.

vic715
08-07-2006, 05:40 PM
Krivs grasping at straws right now and I can't say as I blame him. Nothing good is out there and what we have isn't exactly good either. He's probably doing all he can do.At least he's trying.

Redhook
08-07-2006, 05:46 PM
At least we're not paying $25 million for him. I think it's worth a shot, can't be worse than the Joe Mays experiment.

Or can it? :evil:

ChatterRed
08-07-2006, 05:52 PM
Krivs is making me shake my head.