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reds44
09-30-2006, 01:44 AM
How do the Reds force a playoff?

Reds win out (2 games)
Cards lose out (3 games)
Astrose lose 1 of 2

Any Reds loss or Cardinals win and we are done.

That being said, it was a fantastic season. They exceeded all of our expectations. Nothing to be ashamed of.

MrCinatit
09-30-2006, 07:25 AM
Even though I know we really have no chance, I am thrilled that we are still in it coming into the last weekend of the season - much better than I had hoped for.
All in all, I am rather proud of the way the team did. Sure, mistakes have been here and there - but complaining about the same mistakes day after day will not make the past fix itself.
My hopes for the offseason, next season and the seasons after are much higher than they were last year.

cumberlandreds
09-30-2006, 07:44 AM
AT least we have hope on the next to last day of the season. It's been since 1999 that we have a glimmer of hope at this time. It's been a good season all in all and I am excited for the future of this franchise.

BuckeyeRedleg
09-30-2006, 09:05 AM
How do the Reds force a playoff?

Reds win out (2 games)
Cards lose out (3 games)
Astrose lose 1 of 2

Any Reds loss or Cardinals win and we are done.

That being said, it was a fantastic season. They exceeded all of our expectations. Nothing to be ashamed of.

I agree, 44, that it's been a very exciting season, and I don't want to beat a dead horse, but the excitment has nothing to do with the Reds exceeding any expectations.

They've been Pythag lucky (+4.6) and third-order win lucky (+5.1), but they haven't improved much on thier run-differential from 2005. They simply have scored less and given up less, but that's it.

Still, it would be pretty cool to win the division. Hopefully they win these next two and the baseball Gods are on our side. It's going to take a mini-miracle.

oneupper
09-30-2006, 09:12 AM
Probability Cards lose 3 = .125
Probability Reds win 2 = .25
Probabilty Astros win no more than 1 = .75

Combined probability = 2.34%

Chances haven't gotten any worse of the last week. They just haven't gotten any better.

BuckeyeRedleg
09-30-2006, 09:16 AM
Would that be 43-1 odds?

oneupper
09-30-2006, 09:36 AM
Would that be 43-1 odds?

Sounds right.

MaineRed
09-30-2006, 09:39 AM
Nothing to be ashamed of.

Except that Matt Murton avatar.

Hap
09-30-2006, 10:28 AM
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/3e/Alive%28single%29_cover.jpg

RBA
09-30-2006, 11:52 AM
Reds will make the playoffs. Go to Vegas and bet your life savings on it. ;)

RedFanAlways1966
09-30-2006, 02:23 PM
Reds will make the playoffs. Go to Vegas and bet your life savings on it. ;)

I would but I already invested the life savings on Enron and WorldCom stocks... if all works as planned, then I will buy the REDS someday!

:help:

reds44
09-30-2006, 04:32 PM
Reds will make the playoffs. Go to Vegas and bet your life savings on it. ;)

I'm broke now.

Thanks

BoydsOfSummer
09-30-2006, 04:34 PM
And then there were none...

mbgrayson
09-30-2006, 04:39 PM
Well, we made it to the next to the last day of the season. Who'd of thunk it......

Red Leader
09-30-2006, 04:59 PM
Damnit. I know that Tony Womack cost us 1 game this year.

Screw you, Tony Womack. You old washed up loser.