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View Full Version : Who will pitch next no-hitter for Cincy?



texasdave
02-08-2007, 04:01 PM
With the Reds' starting rotation looking relatively solid in the long-term for the first time in quite some time it got me to thinking if any of these pitchers will throw a no-hitter. Tom Browning hurled the last Reds' no-hitter back in 1988. I figure the Reds are just about due for another one. Rob Neyer has an interesting article on Expected No-Hitters. http://www.robneyer.com/book_04_ExpectNoNo.html Using his formula it turns out that Cincinnati should have had approximately 1.5 no-hitters since Browning's. So they are definitely overdue. So I am throwing out some choices here. Just pick who you think may be the next Reds pitcher to accomplish this feat. The below attachment shows the calculations and percentages of chance for a no-hitter being thrown by Cincinnati in the years from 1989-2006.

redsfan30
02-08-2007, 04:05 PM
How exactly do you get 1.5 no-hitters?

Jpup
02-08-2007, 04:06 PM
I will say Arroyo because, at times, he can make opponents look clueless up there.

AdamDunn
02-08-2007, 04:07 PM
How exactly do you get 1.5 no-hitters?

rainout after the sixth inning?

Matt700wlw
02-08-2007, 04:15 PM
I say Harang.

He's come VERY VERY close.


Maybe it will be Bailey and then we can all do backflips!!!!! :D

Will M
02-08-2007, 04:19 PM
Harang is solid night after night but Arroyo can be lights out at times.
If Bronson is 'on' against a team that doesn't have a couple of good lefty hitters then he could throw a no no.

FutureRedsGM
02-08-2007, 04:30 PM
I agree with all above statements about Arroyo and he gets my vote.

dunner13
02-08-2007, 04:46 PM
I would have to say bailey has the most unhittable stuff. A pitcher who can miss alot of bats and rack up alot of strikeouts has alot better chance of throwing a no hitter ( see nolan ryan). So i would say bailey or maybe harang.

RedsManRick
02-08-2007, 04:47 PM
Milton! He's already done it once... Bud Smith, Jose Jiminez, and Kent Mercker all say hi.

Danny Serafini
02-08-2007, 04:54 PM
It'll probably be something weird like the Lizard the random way no-hitters seem to be distributed.

Matt700wlw
02-08-2007, 05:00 PM
It'll probably be something weird like the Lizard the random way no-hitters seem to be distributed.

Maybe Saarloos :)

blumj
02-08-2007, 05:12 PM
Bronson pitched a perfect game in AAA, and he came really close to a no hitter a few years ago. He was into the 7th inning before he gave up a hit, I think.

redsupport
02-08-2007, 05:13 PM
George Culver

M2
02-08-2007, 05:15 PM
Scott Baker

redsgabp
02-08-2007, 05:28 PM
it could be arroyo.

read below

On August 10, 2003, Arroyo pitched the fourth nine-inning perfect game in the 121-year history of the International League as the Pawtucket Red Sox beat the Buffalo Bisons 70 at McCoy Stadium. He needed 101 pitches to throw his masterpiece (73 strikes), struck out nine, and got 10 fly outs and eight ground balls from the Buffalo 27 batters. He went to a three-ball count to just three hitters all game. At the end of the month, he was promoted to the major league level.


gotta love a pitcher that doesn't have to have a 95+ mph fastball to get by.

he was a awesome sight last year.

i was at the game that he hit that hr to left field last year.

redsgabp
02-08-2007, 05:31 PM
Bronson pitched a perfect game in AAA, and he came really close to a no hitter a few years ago. He was into the 7th inning before he gave up a hit, I think.

sorry i just posted about that AAA perfect game, i didn't see your post.

Johnny Footstool
02-08-2007, 05:34 PM
Scott Baker

Marijuana is a gateway drug, M2.

redsgabp
02-08-2007, 05:37 PM
Marijuana is a gateway drug, M2.

maybe M2 is Scott Baker

redsmetz
02-08-2007, 06:32 PM
It'll be Eric Milton and everyone around here will be besides themselves and not know what to say. :)

Always Red
02-08-2007, 06:35 PM
I had the pleasure of having seats behind home plate (no, not Diamond seats!) for Arroyo's 3 hitter in September, and it was a beaut.

I took a shot in the dark and voted for Lohse; when his stuff is on and his head in the right place, he can make everyone look bad. Hopefully for the Reds, the two will coincide more often this year!

Bigredfan#1
02-08-2007, 06:47 PM
My best guess would be Bailey, he has dominating stuff and when he is has been on he has been unhittable- now I know that will have to translate in the ML and I think it will. But really Saarlos or Lohse or anyone could pitch a No No, they are so rare and hard to predict

M2
02-08-2007, 09:46 PM
Marijuana is a gateway drug, M2.

I figured it might not happen for a while and Baker pitches for the Twins, which means he's got to wind up on the Reds at some point, right?

RANDY IN INDY
02-08-2007, 10:40 PM
George Culver

Kyle Lohse has a bit of "Culverness" about him. That's why I pick Lohse.

marcshoe
02-08-2007, 11:10 PM
I voted for Saarloos. You never know what a true junkballer can do, given the position of the stars and the moon.

But really, I think Harang or Arroyo either one could toss one up at any time.

justincredible
02-08-2007, 11:33 PM
Harang will pitch a no-no this year. If he doesn't then I...would have been wrong.

captainmorgan07
02-08-2007, 11:34 PM
im going off the wall here and say milton i kno im gonna get killed for this one but i was going with something crazy

jmcclain19
02-09-2007, 12:23 AM
It'll probably be something weird like the Lizard the random way no-hitters seem to be distributed.

I totally agree on this one.

I saw Jose Jimenez throw a no hitter once. Talk about mediocrity being randomly rewarded.