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westofyou
04-14-2007, 10:46 AM
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=328

by Nate Silver


The Cubs‘ Michael Wuertz accomplished something unusual today, entering the Cubs’ game against the Reds in the 5th inning with the bases loaded and nobody out and promptly striking out the side. Although Wuertz’ performance will be rewarded in our Adjusted Runs Prevented statistics, it wasn’t enough to save Carlos Zambrano and the Cubs, who had already given up six runs in the inning to blow a 5-0 lead. It was Cub baseball at its very Cubbiest, a frustrating result in a game in which Zambrano had been cruising and had helped his cause with a home run, and in which the Reds’ defense had more lapses in judgment than Don Imus.

Still, Wuertz’s performance deserves a toast. Thanks to Bil Burke, our intrepid data jock, we were able to track down other instances in which this sequence was accomplished: reliever enters game with no outs and bases loaded, strikes out side. This trifecta has happened only 27 times since 1960, making it about four times rarer than a no-hitter (there have been 117 no-nos since 1960), or hitting for the cycle (124). Here are the other honorees:


GAMEID INNING NP SUM(SO)
SFN196006190 10 Jack Sanford 3
NYA196307230 8 Steve Hamilton 3
SLN196504180 9 Billy McCool 3
HOU196708010 5 Don Shaw 3
PHI196807071 9 Dick Hall 3
BAL196807260 6 Daryl Patterson 3
BOS196809180 7 Moe Drabowsky 3
WS2196904300 8 Sparky Lyle 3
CHA197106220 4 Jim York 3
DET197309220 8 Lerrin Lagrow 3
TEX197707070 6 Doug Bair 3
DET198008130 8 Aurelio Lopez 3
PIT198307250 6 Cecilio Guante 3
LAN198406300 2 Ken Howell 3
MIL198706300 9 Dan Plesac 3
SDN199106180 7 Stan Belinda 3
SEA199506120 6 Ron Villone 3
SEA199509200 9 Jeff Nelson 3
MON199709280 5 Rick DeHart 3
TOR199908140 6 Paul Spoljaric 3
COL200006290 8 Stan Belinda 3
MIN200208170 7 Alan Embree 3
DET200506170 9 Tyler Walker 3
MIN200509170 9 Joe Nathan 3
SLN200509300 6 Al Reyes 3
CHA200704040 8 David Aardsma 3


I think this could catch on if we can come up with a memorable name for the accomplishment. I would suggest calling it a Belinda, in honor of the only pitcher on our list to have accomplished the feat twice. Note that ex-Cub David Aardsma already has a Belinda to his credit this season. There are also rumors that John Rocker had a Belinda during the post-season, but we were unable to confirm that at press time.

PickOff
04-14-2007, 11:19 AM
As impressive and rare as this feat is, Wuertz only threw what would have been two strikes if Castro, Moeller, and Phillips had had any patience at all. Very poor at bats in that situation.

westofyou
04-14-2007, 11:22 AM
As impressive and rare as this feat is, Wuertz only threw what would have been two strikes if Castro, Moeller, and Phillips had had any patience at all. Very poor at bats in that situation.

Note, a good portion of the folks who achieved the feat are slider pitchers, feasting off aggressive behavior with the slider in that situation is Manna from heaven for those types of hurlers.

As for "Knocking" those who failed I guess 1 hit an inning was enough to satisfy me, obviously it wasn't enough for everyone (take a gander at the game thread)

Crosley68
04-14-2007, 11:50 AM
I think "Belinda" is a great name for it! "He threw a Belinda!" Kinda sounds like a Pinella fit doesn't it?

redsupport
04-14-2007, 01:15 PM
Billy Mc Cool did it how intrepid

Chip R
04-14-2007, 03:50 PM
Yep. It truly went from bad to Wuertz yesterday for the Cubs. ;)

Natty Redlocks
04-14-2007, 11:01 PM
Yep. It truly went from bad to Wuertz yesterday for the Cubs. ;)

Oh-man that's bad

cincinnati chili
04-14-2007, 11:52 PM
Oh-man that's bad

Now that's funny.

Tom Servo
04-14-2007, 11:54 PM
You guys are really reaching into the Dempster for these jokes.

KronoRed
04-14-2007, 11:59 PM
http://lastperson.suncircle.org/Smileys/default/tomato.gif

MrCinatit
04-15-2007, 12:01 AM
Ohman, my head is getting soriano from all of these bad puns. Howry supposed to take things seriously with these bad jokes?

Natty Redlocks
04-15-2007, 08:07 AM
You're right; we Cotts to stop this

mth123
04-15-2007, 08:28 AM
Prior to this thread, I didn't know what I Wood do for a laugh.

Sorry if these puns raise your Eyre, but since I'm old and over the Hill, I've learned to grin and Barrett.

cincinnati chili
04-15-2007, 09:51 AM
:notworthy



Prior to this thread, I didn't know what I Wood do for a laugh.

Sorry if these puns raise your Eyre, but since I'm old and over the Hill, I've learned to grin and Barrett.

I'm a sucker for puns, and those are some Marquis puns, I'll tell you what.

PickOff
04-15-2007, 02:01 PM
As for "Knocking" those who failed I guess 1 hit an inning was enough to satisfy me, obviously it wasn't enough for everyone (take a gander at the game thread)

I was not asking or expecting another hit from Castro or Moeller...just a decent at bat in that situation. Both of them swung at the first two pitches. With the last two batters being walked, and a load of pressure on Wuertz with no outs, the first order of business would be to make him prove that he can throw a strike - at least once! Then be agressive until your heart is content - but first know if this guy can get it over the plate.

RFS62
04-15-2007, 02:12 PM
I was not asking or expecting another hit from Castro or Moeller...just a decent at bat in that situation. Both of them swung at the first two pitches. With the last two batters being walked, and a load of pressure on Wuertz with no outs, the first order of business would be to make him prove that he can throw a strike - at least once! Then be agressive until your heart is content - but first know if this guy can get it over the plate.


Hard to argue with that. Sometimes, though, when a pitcher is having trouble finding the plate, you can look for a meatball and try to drive it. Outside of a walk, that's pretty much Castro's best chance to get on base or make something happen.

Personally, I believe in making him throw a strike first. That's pretty much the book response. But I can't discount that he had that attitude in his at bat. The results, though, make it very easy in hindsight to say he made a mistake in judgment.

PickOff
04-15-2007, 02:37 PM
Hard to argue with that. Sometimes, though, when a pitcher is having trouble finding the plate, you can look for a meatball and try to drive it. Outside of a walk, that's pretty much Castro's best chance to get on base or make something happen.

Personally, I believe in making him throw a strike first. That's pretty much the book response. But I can't discount that he had that attitude in his at bat. The results, though, make it very easy in hindsight to say he made a mistake in judgment.

It's true, you can't get into someone else's head in this situation - perhaps Castro and Moeller both told themselves that they would make the new pitcher Wuertz throw at least one strike, and then were overcome by the situation and "stuff" and took the bat off their shoulder.

It seems more likely, however, that they either

1. Went to the plate with the mindset that they were going to look for a pitch to drive.

2. Expected Wuertz to throw stikes because of the situation and planned to attack the first or second pitches if they looked close for that reason.

3. Allowed themselves the option to not make Wuertz prove he could throw a strike, and just look for their pitch or take their normal approach.


Of course, it is possible that any of these three approaches could have worked, in which case I probably wouldn't be talking about it. Like you said, it is very easy with hindsight to make the judgement.

I, too, just believe in making a new pitcher in this situation prove he can throw a strike. And because of that belief, am willing to say that they had poor at bats here. Who is to blame for what I believe is a poor approach in this situation? I don't know, maybe the batters, Narron, hitting coach, fate.... I do think that Narron could and should address it, however. And was suprised that Moeller, too, swung at the first pitch after Castro went down with three swings on what looked like all balls.

TheBigLebowski
04-15-2007, 08:18 PM
WUERTZ. THREAD. EVER.






(I'm actually enjoying it..)

BCubb2003
04-16-2007, 12:15 AM
To Hume it may concern: I'm not Stanton for this! Each joke is Cormier than the last. I don't care Weathersome of you think it's funny, yousaarloosers. Santo's not bringing you presents this year. You think these puns are slam dunks but they're Coutlangus off the rim.

vaticanplum
04-16-2007, 12:21 AM
To Hume it may concern: I'm not Stanton for this! Each joke is Cormier than the last. I don't care Weathersome of you think it's funny, yousaarloosers. Santo's not bringing you presents this year. You think these puns are slam dunks but they're Coutlangus off the rim.

I'm laughing so hard, I'murton.

Caveat Emperor
04-16-2007, 12:24 AM
I'm laughing so hard, I'murton.

I'm hoping to weathers the onslaught of bad theriot away jokes.

top6
04-16-2007, 12:26 AM
Will this thread ever be Dunn?

Chip R
04-16-2007, 12:36 AM
The home plate umpire had a big strike zone today. I wonder if he had any Prior commitments.

Natty Redlocks
04-16-2007, 08:36 AM
Will this thread ever be Dunn?

C'mon, we're just Joshing. Don't be Brandon us as losers.

camisadelgolf
07-06-2007, 03:43 AM
bump