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View Full Version : 08/31/07 - 09/02/07: NL Central Bash Preview/Review



Cyclone792
08-31-2007, 01:10 PM
Since the Reds are making things a tad interesting in the NL Central as of now, instead of just strictly taking a look at the upcoming series in St. Louis, we might as well also take a look at the other NL Central teams that the Reds need to see lose.

First, here's BP's Playoff Odds report for the NL Central as of now ...


Average wins by position in NL Central: 85.1 82.0 79.3 75.6 72.7 69.9

NL Central W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs

Cubs 68 64 .503 84.2 77.8 65.46667 .25662 65.72330
Brewers 66 67 .495 81.4 80.6 19.87035 .33414 20.20449
Cardinals 64 66 .469 80.2 81.8 13.78475 .10920 13.89396
Reds 62 72 .467 75.4 86.6 .81254 .00012 .81266
Astros 60 74 .422 71.8 90.2 .03417 .00000 .03417
Pirates 59 74 .421 71.5 90.5 .03151 .00000 .03151
First a glance as the Reds @ Cardinals series, then a quick glance at what the Cubs and Brewers are up to this weekend ...


Reds (62-72, 29-39 road) at Cardinals (64-66, 30-37 home)


Fri 8:10pm Shearn (1-0, 3.86, 122 ERA+ at Reyes (2-13, 5.33, 81 ERA+) FSN/WLW
Sat 7:15pm Dumatrait (0-2, 14.18, 33 ERA+) at Wainright (12-9, 3.86, 111 ERA+) FSN/WLW
Sun 2:15pm Arroyo (7-13, 4.44, 106 ERA+) at Looper (11-10, 4.66, 92 ERA+) FSN/WLW


RS/G OPS+ BA OBP SLG HR 2B BB SB

Reds 4.90 100 .266 .335 .439 179 231 445 81
Cardinals 4.43 97 .272 .335 .405 118 218 404 43


RA/G ERA ERA+ DIPS ERA HR/9 K/9 BB/9 K/BB

Reds 5.28 4.95 95 4.36 1.17 6.56 3.01 2.18
Cardinals 4.96 4.57 94 4.32 1.02 5.95 3.07 1.94
http://cincinnati.reds.mlb.com/news/probable_pitchers.jsp?c_id=cin


August 31

Reds: Manager Pete Mackanin said Shearn's performance in his Major League debut Sunday against Florida warranted another start. Shearn, who spent 11 years pitching in the Minor Leagues and another coming back from Tommy John surgery, pitched an efficient seven innings in Cincinnati's 9-3 win over the Marlins. Mixing up his pitches and changing speeds, Shearn allowed four hits and three runs -- all on a Dan Uggla homer -- with two walks and two strikeouts.

Cardinals: Reyes has pitched better lately, though he's only had one win in August. His ERA for the month is a very respectable 3.41. When he's had problems it's usually because of too many pitches out of the zone. In his last start, Reyes walked three in five innings against Florida, and was charged with four unearned runs.

September 1

Reds: After Thursday's game, the Reds announced that Dumatrait would be called up from Triple-A Louisville to make Saturday's start against the Cardinals. The lefty was optioned out on Aug. 21 after struggling in his first four big league starts. Only once has a Dumatrait start for Cincinnati lasted more than 3 1/3 innings. On Aug. 25 for Louisvile, he allowed three earned runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings for a loss.

Cardinals: Wainwright will be pitching on an extra day's rest. The right-hander is 5-2 with a 2.51 ERA since the All-Star break and 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA this month. He has struck out 54 and walked just 16 in his last 61.0 innings. As much as he's been the Cards' ace this season, it should be noted that two of Wainwright's losses have come against Cincinnati, a team he hasn't beaten in seven career appearances, including two starts this season.

September 2

Reds: Arroyo looked good pitching six innings and allowing one earned run and six hits Tuesday night vs. the Pirates. At one point, he retired 10 in a row, including five straight strikeouts. But after 80 pitches, Arroyo told interim manager Pete Mackanin he was "toast" and asked out of the game. He got a no-decision when Pittsburgh took a 3-2 victory.

Cardinals: The veteran right-hander has gone at least six innings in his last six starts and has given the Redbirds five quality starts over that span. In his most recent start Looper held the Astros to three singles, a double and a walk in seven scoreless innings Tuesday night at Minute Maid Park.

Now for a quick glance at the Cubs and Brewers ...


Astros (60-74, 24-41 road) at Cubs (68-64, 35-32 home)


Fri 2:20pm Rodriguez (7-12, 4.67, 95 ERA+) at Marshall (7-6, 4.04, 112 ERA+)
Sat 1:05pm Patton (0-1, 4.76, 93 ERA+) at Marquis (10-8, 4.26, 106 ERA+)
Sun 2:20pm Williams (8-13, 5.04, 88 ERA+) at Hill (8-7, 3.68, 123 ERA+)

Pirates (59-74, 28-36 road) at Brewers (66-67, 40-25 home)


Fri 8:05pm Armas (2-4, 6.93, 63 ERA+) at Gallardo (5-4, 4.86, 90 ERA+)
Sat 7:05pm Youman (3-4, 5.59, 78 ERA+) at Bush (10-9, 4.96, 88 ERA+)
Sun 2:05pm Gorzelanny (13-7, 3.50, 125 ERA+) at Suppan (8-11, 4.78, 92 ERA+)
As for this weekend itself, the Reds absolutely must take at least two of three from the Cardinals. A sweep is obviously preferred, but taking two of three is the absolute minimum. The Reds have been able to get back on the outer edges of the NL Central race by taking care of their own business by winning and receiving a little bit of help from other NL teams knocking the Cubs, Brewers, and Cardinals around a bit. If the Reds are to get any closer in the race, that same trend is going to have to continue.

What is likely the best case scenario that's at least slightly realistic is that the Reds take two of three from St. Louis while the Astros take two of three from the Cubs and the Pirates take two of three from the Brewers. If such a scenario happened, the Reds would gain one game on each of the Cubs, Brewers, and Cardinals by the end of the weekend. Obviously sweeps that favor the Reds across the board is the best scenario, but that's not terribly realistic.

Cyclone792
08-31-2007, 03:29 PM
FYI, for those wanting to keep track, the Astros and Cubs are underway at Wrigley. Hunter Pence drew a leadoff walk, and Berkman just doubled him in. Astros lead 1-0 in the top of the 1st still.

I loathe Lance Berkman when the Reds play the Astros, but we're all huge Lance Berkman fans this weekend. I sure wouldn't mind him just completely going off on Cubs pitching the next few days.

Joseph
08-31-2007, 03:36 PM
FYI, for those wanting to keep track, the Astros and Cubs are underway at Wrigley. Hunter Pence drew a leadoff walk, and Berkman just doubled him in. Astros lead 1-0 in the top of the 1st still.

I loathe Lance Berkman when the Reds play the Astros, but we're all huge Lance Berkman fans this weekend. I sure wouldn't mind him just completely going off on Cubs pitching the next few days.

He's started to heat up at just the right time to help, thats for sure.

RedsFan75
08-31-2007, 04:01 PM
I like Berkman, EXCEPT when he plays the Reds.

VR
08-31-2007, 04:06 PM
I like Berkman, EXCEPT when he plays the Reds.

Dunn straight up for Berkman.

Cyclone792
08-31-2007, 04:33 PM
Hunter Pence just hit a three run bomb into the left field bleachers.

Astros lead 4-0 in the top of the 4th.

Cyclone792
08-31-2007, 05:17 PM
Hunter Pence is coming up huge right now. Pence hits another bomb into the left field bleachers, and this one's a two-run shot. Pence is 2-3 with 2 homers, a walk, 3 runs scored, and 5 runs batted in today.

Astros lead 6-0 now in the top of the 6th.

Joseph
08-31-2007, 05:25 PM
So much for a kid who had a slow bat.

Chip R
08-31-2007, 05:46 PM
Hunter Pence is coming up huge right now. Pence hits another bomb into the left field bleachers, and this one's a two-run shot. Pence is 2-3 with 2 homers, a walk, 3 runs scored, and 5 runs batted in today.

Astros lead 6-0 now in the top of the 6th.

:D :D :D

I dearly hope that Grande has somewhere else to be this weekend. I absolutely can not abide him fawning over the Cardinals.

NC Reds
08-31-2007, 06:04 PM
I can't wait to hear George endearingly refer to his favorite player, "Jimmy Edmonds." :thumbdown

Cyclone792
08-31-2007, 06:30 PM
:D :D :D

I dearly hope that Grande has somewhere else to be this weekend. I absolutely can not abide him fawning over the Cardinals.

Grande will be muted.

Anyway, good news from Wrigley. The Astros beat the Cubs 6-1 this afternoon so the Reds have already received a little bit of help today. If the Reds can beat the Cardinals tonight, they'll move up to only 6 games behind the Cubs, plus they'll obviously be gaining ground on the Cardinals as well.