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View Full Version : Questions for those smarter than me...



coachw513
04-10-2008, 07:38 PM
1. If it's so darned important to bunch the high OB guys in the Brewers lineup, why not just hit Kendall 1st??...color me unimpressed long-term with putting the pitcher 8th even though Kendall is off to a great start...

2. Am I the only RZ'er worried that Paul Bako is a bigger part of the success of Cueto's and Volquez' quick starts than management realizes and that he'll either be sent down or lose playing time when Ross comes back??...I've been so much more impressed with Bako behind the dish than Valentin (who IMO is awful calling games) and heck, the guy is rakin' at present...color me as wanting Valentin to be traded or released...Hatteburg serves as the LH pinch hitter (Valentin's poor from the RH side anyways, right??) and the "less cold" hand of Bako and Ross can catch...

3. Maybe it's silly optimism, but Mike Lincoln has pretty good stuff...can eat multiple innings even??...

4. Managerial "feel" is always subject to interpretation, but he's shown some aplomb in handling EE so far...didn't get too down on him for the early errors or struggles at the plate, gave him time off BUT then stuck him right back in the lineup...kudos to Dusty for that...

5. Even if Cueto and Volquez aren't quite as off the charts as they are now, how many NL rotations 1-7 (because everyone is going to need extra starts from some guys during the season) are better than the Reds???...and how long since we've been able to ask a question resembling that???...

6. It's a minor league question, but good gosh has the starting pitching in the system (prospect and otherwise) been incredible??...from Bailey to Thompson, to even Lehr and Shearn...cool...

7. Am I crazy for wanting a platoon of Keppinger/Votto at 1B leading off every night, with Patterson in the midst of a big-"bopping" middle of the lineup???

8. Of all the things to worry about, I don't feel worried about David Weathers...maybe I'm wrong...

Oh, and it's fun to "not suck" about right now...

PuffyPig
04-10-2008, 07:48 PM
Kendall sucks. He's BABIP .571 ,vs. a lifetime BABIP of .317.

He'll be lucky to hit a very weak (no power, no walks) .260 this year.

RBA
04-10-2008, 07:50 PM
Smarter guy answers....

1. If it's so darned important to bunch the high OB guys in the Brewers lineup, why not just hit Kendall 1st??...color me unimpressed long-term with putting the pitcher 8th even though Kendall is off to a great start...

I don't know.

2. Am I the only RZ'er worried that Paul Bako is a bigger part of the success of Cueto's and Volquez' quick starts than management realizes and that he'll either be sent down or lose playing time when Ross comes back??...I've been so much more impressed with Bako behind the dish than Valentin (who IMO is awful calling games) and heck, the guy is rakin' at present...color me as wanting Valentin to be traded or released...Hatteburg serves as the LH pinch hitter (Valentin's poor from the RH side anyways, right??) and the "less cold" hand of Bako and Ross can catch...

I don't know

3. Maybe it's silly optimism, but Mike Lincoln has pretty good stuff...can eat multiple innings even??...

I don't know

4. Managerial "feel" is always subject to interpretation, but he's shown some aplomb in handling EE so far...didn't get too down on him for the early errors or struggles at the plate, gave him time off BUT then stuck him right back in the lineup...kudos to Dusty for that...

I don't know or is this a question?

5. Even if Cueto and Volquez aren't quite as off the charts as they are now, how many NL rotations 1-7 (because everyone is going to need extra starts from some guys during the season) are better than the Reds???...and how long since we've been able to ask a question resembling that???...

I don't know

6. It's a minor league question, but good gosh has the starting pitching in the system (prospect and otherwise) been incredible??...from Bailey to Thompson, to even Lehr and Shearn...cool...

I don't know

7. Am I crazy for wanting a platoon of Keppinger/Votto at 1B leading off every night, with Patterson in the midst of a big-"bopping" middle of the lineup???

I don't know

8. Of all the things to worry about, I don't feel worried about David Weathers...maybe I'm wrong...

I don't know

RedlegJake
04-10-2008, 08:00 PM
I'm not qualified to answer.

Highlifeman21
04-10-2008, 10:24 PM
When Ross is healthy, they won't get rid of Bako. He's now the defacto backup, and Valentin is the defacto 1st/"best" PH off the bench. Valentin is now the defacto "emergency" C.

This means we'll see Hatteberg, Freel, or Hopper moved once Ross is healthy.

princeton
04-10-2008, 10:27 PM
This means we'll see Hatteberg, Freel, or Hopper moved once Ross is healthy.


Coffey?

Highlifeman21
04-10-2008, 10:30 PM
Coffey?

While I agree that an 11 man pitching staff offers more bench and position player flexibility, I just don't think we'll see it.

Although, with The Dusty, anything's possible.

WebScorpion
04-10-2008, 10:51 PM
1. If it's so darned important to bunch the high OB guys in the Brewers lineup, why not just hit Kendall 1st??...color me unimpressed long-term with putting the pitcher 8th even though Kendall is off to a great start...
I agree. It's sort of silly to put the guy with the highest OBP in the spot where he'll get the least number of plate appearances. The guy you want in that spot, (if not the pitcher,) is a guy who doesn't get on base often, but is a disruptive force on the basepaths when he gets there.



2. Am I the only RZ'er worried that Paul Bako is a bigger part of the success of Cueto's and Volquez' quick starts than management realizes and that he'll either be sent down or lose playing time when Ross comes back??...I've been so much more impressed with Bako behind the dish than Valentin (who IMO is awful calling games) and heck, the guy is rakin' at present...color me as wanting Valentin to be traded or released...Hatteburg serves as the LH pinch hitter (Valentin's poor from the RH side anyways, right??) and the "less cold" hand of Bako and Ross can catch...

That is real possibility. Arroyo's initial success with the Reds seeemed to be dependent on Ross catching. Why not Bako and the Dynamic Dominican Duo? That said, I still think Valentin has value as a pinch hitter...he's a proven commodity in that role and they're not as easy to find as some might think.



3. Maybe it's silly optimism, but Mike Lincoln has pretty good stuff...can eat multiple innings even??...

IMO, It's not silly optimism. Lincoln has always had great stuff...that's how he got into the closer role for the Pirates just before he blew out his elbow the first time. After his second operation, he's got his stuff back and a knew determination which he got from successfully completing years of rehab. He's gotta have some incredible will power.



4. Managerial "feel" is always subject to interpretation, but he's shown some aplomb in handling EE so far...didn't get too down on him for the early errors or struggles at the plate, gave him time off BUT then stuck him right back in the lineup...kudos to Dusty for that...

People sometimes forget the manager is essentially a personnel manager. He has to know his people and know how to get the most from them. IMO, that is Dusty's great strength...he's a people person who genuinely cares about his players and in getting to know them, learns how to help them do their best work.



5. Even if Cueto and Volquez aren't quite as off the charts as they are now, how many NL rotations 1-7 (because everyone is going to need extra starts from some guys during the season) are better than the Reds???...and how long since we've been able to ask a question resembling that???...

Even when we had Gullett, Maloney, Simpson, and Nolan, there was nothing left on the farm....certainly nothing resmbling Bailey! :eek: So the answer is NEVER.



6. It's a minor league question, but good gosh has the starting pitching in the system (prospect and otherwise) been incredible??...from Bailey to Thompson, to even Lehr and Shearn...cool...

I've always envied the Braves that...then the Astros...the Twins...the White Sox. Being a pitching power is a new feeling. I love it!



7. Am I crazy for wanting a platoon of Keppinger/Votto at 1B leading off every night, with Patterson in the midst of a big-"bopping" middle of the lineup???

Yes, you're crazy. Putting Patterson in the middle of the order is the worst thing you could do for him. His greatest danger is that he'll think he's a home run hitter...he's not. He's a guy who can spray line drives all over the park and create havoc on the bases. He needs to keep that swing he began the year with and he's already losing it. Patterson leading off may not look like the best thing to do for the team on paper, but if it's the only way to make him the best hitter he can be, it might actually be the best for the team.



8. Of all the things to worry about, I don't feel worried about David Weathers...maybe I'm wrong...

I agree. Weathers has always been 'Stormy', but he gets out of it more often than not.



Oh, and it's fun to "not suck" about right now...

Cheers! :beerme:

bucksfan2
04-11-2008, 11:03 AM
1. If it's so darned important to bunch the high OB guys in the Brewers lineup, why not just hit Kendall 1st??...color me unimpressed long-term with putting the pitcher 8th even though Kendall is off to a great start...

This is an interesting move. If they want a high obp guy on base for the likes of Fielder and Braun why not hit him first. The pitcher will get the sooner at bat but in reality he probably won't see more at bats than Kendall because he will likely be pinch hit for before his third at bat. You are taking a few more atbats away from Kendall over the course of a season but game by game this strategy may work.

2. Am I the only RZ'er worried that Paul Bako is a bigger part of the success of Cueto's and Volquez' quick starts than management realizes and that he'll either be sent down or lose playing time when Ross comes back??...I've been so much more impressed with Bako behind the dish than Valentin (who IMO is awful calling games) and heck, the guy is rakin' at present...color me as wanting Valentin to be traded or released...Hatteburg serves as the LH pinch hitter (Valentin's poor from the RH side anyways, right??) and the "less cold" hand of Bako and Ross can catch...

I agree with you 100%. Valentine and the pitcher look on two different pages when he catches. Bako's #1 responsibility is to call the best game for the pitcher. I think it says a lot that Bako catches for both Cueto and Volquez even though he doesn't speak spanish.

3. Maybe it's silly optimism, but Mike Lincoln has pretty good stuff...can eat multiple innings even??...

WK may have found another gme in Lincoln. Im starting to like the heat that Lincoln, Burton and Cordero can bring.

4. Managerial "feel" is always subject to interpretation, but he's shown some aplomb in handling EE so far...didn't get too down on him for the early errors or struggles at the plate, gave him time off BUT then stuck him right back in the lineup...kudos to Dusty for that...

Dusty has been known for that. Narron just didn't have a clue with dealing with each individual players. I think you will see a change in attitude with this club.

5. Even if Cueto and Volquez aren't quite as off the charts as they are now, how many NL rotations 1-7 (because everyone is going to need extra starts from some guys during the season) are better than the Reds???...and how long since we've been able to ask a question resembling that???...

Not many. It is exciting to see guys come throught the farm system and produce. We haven't seen that for years as reds fans.

6. It's a minor league question, but good gosh has the starting pitching in the system (prospect and otherwise) been incredible??...from Bailey to Thompson, to even Lehr and Shearn...cool...

WK deserves a great deal of credit for increasing the depth in the reds system. There has also been a serious decrease in arm injuries which is very important for young pitchers.

7. Am I crazy for wanting a platoon of Keppinger/Votto at 1B leading off every night, with Patterson in the midst of a big-"bopping" middle of the lineup???

Play them both every day. I dont like platoons. Send Hatty packing somewhere and let Keppy and Votto hit the ball day in day out.

8. Of all the things to worry about, I don't feel worried about David Weathers...maybe I'm wrong...

Give ol stormy time. He is struggling this year but the reds don't have to count on him for as much this season.

Oh, and it's fun to "not suck" about right now...

RedsManRick
04-11-2008, 11:18 AM
1. If it's so darned important to bunch the high OB guys in the Brewers lineup, why not just hit Kendall 1st??...color me unimpressed long-term with putting the pitcher 8th even though Kendall is off to a great start...

Kendall offers OBP, but nothing else. Assuming the Brewers have a few guys with good OBP who also have other skills (speed and/or power), Kendall is less useful than them. If you bat him above them and bump everybody else down, you are by definition giving at bats to Kendall that could be going to somebody more productive.

So by that logic, you are going to bat him behind the 4, 5, 6, guys that are more productive. However, because he doesn't slug at all, and because high OBP in front of other low SLG bats is wasted, it makes more sense to rob him of a few at bats, but better leverage his OBP by having him bat "in front" of those productive guys.

It takes a certain set of circumstances to make sense, but in the Brewers case, it does.

pahster
04-11-2008, 11:18 AM
That said, I still think Valentin has value as a pinch hitter...he's a proven commodity in that role and they're not as easy to find as some might think.


Proven in the sense that he's really bad at it.

Career as a PH: .201/.262/.351/.613

dabvu2498
04-11-2008, 11:20 AM
Proven in the sense that he's really bad at it.

Career as a PH: .201/.262/.351/.613

Just out of curiousity, what's league average for a pinch hitter in the same time frame?

RedsManRick
04-11-2008, 11:28 AM
In 2005, pinch hitters hit 228/.306/.336. Javy isn't much better or worse than your typical pinch hitter. However, the real point is that pinch hitters tend to suck. So long as Hatteberg or Votto is on the roster, Javy isn't really needed. Bako and Ross can split time and are both better defensively.

BRM
04-11-2008, 11:28 AM
Javy was 22nd in the NL last year (min 25 PAs) with this line as a PH: 250/.302/.425/.727

pahster
04-11-2008, 11:28 AM
Just out of curiousity, what's league average for a pinch hitter in the same time frame?

I'm not willing to do that much math right now, but here's lines for NL pinch hitters as a whole per year for the last several years.

2007 - .228/.311/.358/.669
2006 - .233/.308/.368/.676
2005 - .232/.308/.343/.650
2004 - .228/.308/.352/.660
2003 - .225/.298/.340/.637

pahster
04-11-2008, 11:32 AM
In 2005, pinch hitters hit 228/.306/.336. Javy isn't much better or worse than your typical punch hitter. However, the real point is that pinch hitters tend to suck. So long as Hatteberg or Votto is on the roster, Javy isn't really need. Bako and Ross can split time and are both better defensively.

Pinch hitters do tend to suck. I would argue that Valentin's lackluster (to say the least) OBP as a PH is what makes him especially craptastic in the role, at least comparatively.

dabvu2498
04-11-2008, 11:34 AM
I'm not willing to do that much math right now, but here's lines for NL pinch hitters as a whole per year for the last several years.

2007 - .228/.311/.358/.669
2006 - .233/.308/.368/.676
2005 - .232/.308/.343/.650
2004 - .228/.308/.352/.660
2003 - .225/.298/.340/.637


S'alright. I wasn't even willing to dig it up.

redsrule2500
04-11-2008, 11:36 AM
Pinch hitters do tend to suck. I would argue that Valentin's lackluster (to say the least) OBP as a PH is what makes him especially craptastic in the role, at least comparatively.

There is a reason they are coming off the BENCH. haha

Javy tends to be an all or nothing kind of pinch hitter, but I'd prefer a PH with a solid OBP.

REDREAD
04-11-2008, 11:47 AM
2. Am I the only RZ'er worried that Paul Bako is a bigger part of the success of Cueto's and Volquez' quick starts than management realizes and that he'll either be sent down or lose playing time when Ross comes back??...I've been so much more impressed with Bako behind the dish than Valentin (who IMO is awful calling games) and heck, the guy is rakin' at present...color me as wanting Valentin to be traded or released...Hatteburg serves as the LH pinch hitter (Valentin's poor from the RH side anyways, right??) and the "less cold" hand of Bako and Ross can catch...

I agree that Bako has been a pleasant surprise. Dusty was kind of mocked for his claim that he was going to bring in players, but so far Bako, Mercker, and Patterson have paid off. I don't know if those were specific "Dusty guys", but they are likely candidates.




4. Managerial "feel" is always subject to interpretation, but he's shown some aplomb in handling EE so far...didn't get too down on him for the early errors or struggles at the plate, gave him time off BUT then stuck him right back in the lineup...kudos to Dusty for that...

Dusty has been great. His handling of the players far outweighs a non-SABR lineup, IMO.


[quote]
8. Of all the things to worry about, I don't feel worried about David Weathers...maybe I'm wrong...
QUOTE]

It's inevitable that the bullpen will run through a few rough spots this year. But hopefully it won't be as painful as the last few years.

REDREAD
04-11-2008, 11:49 AM
Coffey?

No. The organization is too thin in relief pitching and he still has value on this staff.

It kind of amazes me the heat that Coffey gets on this board. Everyone wants young pitching but is incredibly impatient with it.