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OnBaseMachine
04-12-2008, 12:53 PM
IIRC we had a thread last year or the year before where we kept track of the Reds Pythagorean record nightly. I know it's early but I'd like to go ahead and start tracking now so we can look back on this thread later in the season. You can't edit posts after so many hours, so I'll just make a nightly post with the updated numbers.

Runs scored: 48
Runs allowed: 38
Differential: +10

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-4

Reds actual record: 6-5

So far we're one game under what we should be.

paintmered
04-12-2008, 01:00 PM
IIRC we had a thread last year or the year before where we kept track of the Reds Pythagorean record nightly. I know it's early but I'd like to go ahead and start tracking now so we can look back on this thread later in the season. You can't edit posts after so many hours, so I'll just make a nightly post with the updated numbers.

Runs scored: 48
Runs allowed: 38
Differential: +10

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-4

Reds actual record: 6-5

So far we're one game under what we should be.

Yeah, I plan to do it again this year, but I'm going to wait until the Reds have played 20 games or so. At this point, the Pythagorean record is of little use. In the meantime, here's the prerequisite reading: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=342

paintmered
04-12-2008, 01:21 PM
Ah, what the heck, let's start early.


AL EAST G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff PPCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Baltimore 10 6 4 0.600 - 50 45 5 0.549 5 5 1 89 73
NY Yankees 11 6 5 0.545 0.5 35 40 -5 0.438 5 6 1 71 91
Toronto 10 5 5 0.500 1 53 40 13 0.629 6 4 -1 102 60
Tampa Bay 10 5 5 0.500 1 55 44 11 0.603 6 4 -1 98 64
Boston 11 5 6 0.455 1.5 43 51 -8 0.421 5 6 0 68 94
AL CENTRAL G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff PPCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Kansas City 10 6 4 0.600 - 33 29 4 0.560 6 4 0 91 71
Chicago Sox 9 5 4 0.556 0.5 52 49 3 0.528 5 4 0 85 77
Minnesota 10 5 5 0.500 1 40 39 1 0.512 5 5 0 83 79
Cleveland 10 4 6 0.400 2 44 52 -8 0.423 4 6 0 68 94
Detroit 10 2 8 0.200 4 33 60 -27 0.246 2 8 0 40 122
AL WEST G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff PPCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Oakland 11 7 4 0.636 - 51 40 11 0.612 7 4 0 99 63
LA Angels 11 6 5 0.545 1 52 51 1 0.509 6 5 0 82 80
Texas 10 5 5 0.500 1.5 44 46 -2 0.479 5 5 0 78 84
Seattle 11 5 6 0.455 2 48 47 1 0.510 6 5 -1 83 79
NL EAST G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff PPCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Florida 10 7 3 0.700 - 55 60 -5 0.459 5 5 2 74 88
NY Mets 9 5 4 0.556 1.5 48 33 15 0.668 6 3 -1 108 54
Philadelphia 11 5 6 0.455 2.5 47 55 -8 0.427 5 6 0 69 93
Atlanta 10 4 6 0.400 3 53 45 8 0.576 6 4 -2 93 69
Washington 11 3 8 0.273 4.5 44 56 -12 0.389 4 7 -1 63 99
NL CENTRAL G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff PPCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
St. Louis 11 8 3 0.727 - 48 32 16 0.681 7 4 1 110 52
Milwaukee 10 6 4 0.600 1.5 50 41 9 0.592 6 4 0 96 66
Chicago Cubs 10 6 4 0.600 1.5 52 48 4 0.537 5 5 1 87 75
Cincinnati 11 6 5 0.545 2 48 38 10 0.608 7 4 -1 98 64
Pittsburgh 10 4 6 0.400 3.5 50 61 -11 0.408 4 6 0 66 96
Houston 11 3 8 0.273 5 43 54 -11 0.395 4 7 -1 64 98
NL WEST G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff PPCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Arizona 10 8 2 0.800 - 62 29 33 0.805 8 2 0 130 32
San Diego 11 6 5 0.545 2.5 39 36 3 0.537 6 5 0 87 75
LA Dodgers 10 4 6 0.400 4 36 41 -5 0.439 4 6 0 71 91
Colorado 10 4 6 0.400 4 30 50 -20 0.278 3 7 1 45 117
San Francisco 11 4 7 0.364 4.5 27 53 -26 0.221 2 9 2 36 126

OnBaseMachine
04-14-2008, 03:26 PM
Sunday's 9-1 loss hurt our differential.

Runs scored: 52
Runs allowed: 51
Differential: +1

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-6

Reds actual record: 6-7

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OnBaseMachine
04-16-2008, 03:02 PM
Runs scored: 57
Runs allowed: 60
Differential: -3

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-7

Reds actual record: 6-8

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OnBaseMachine
04-17-2008, 06:39 PM
Runs scored: 69
Runs allowed: 74
Differential: -5

Reds Pythagorean record: 7-9

Reds actual record: 7-9

0

OnBaseMachine
04-20-2008, 08:22 PM
Runs scored: 78
Runs allowed: 87
Differential: -9

Reds Pythagorean record: 9-10

Reds actual record: 8-11

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paintmered
04-20-2008, 08:49 PM
AL EAST G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff P PCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Boston 20 13 7 0.650 - 104 97 7 0.533 11 9 2 86 76
Baltimore 19 11 8 0.579 1.5 84 84 0 0.500 10 9 1 81 81
Toronto 19 10 9 0.526 2.5 94 76 18 0.598 11 8 -1 97 65
NY Yankees 20 10 10 0.500 3.0 85 93 -8 0.458 9 11 1 74 88
Tampa Bay 19 8 11 0.421 4.5 92 86 6 0.531 10 9 -2 86 76
AL CENTRAL G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff P PCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Chicago Sox 18 11 7 0.611 - 98 66 32 0.677 12 6 -1 110 52
Minnesota 19 9 10 0.474 2.5 71 78 -7 0.456 9 10 0 74 88
Kansas City 19 9 10 0.474 2.5 63 77 -14 0.407 8 11 1 66 96
Cleveland 19 7 12 0.368 4.5 79 90 -11 0.439 8 11 -1 71 91
Detroit 19 6 13 0.316 5.5 77 117 -40 0.314 6 13 0 51 111
AL WEST G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff P PCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
LA Angels 20 12 8 0.600 - 97 87 10 0.551 11 9 1 89 73
Oakland 20 12 8 0.600 - 91 75 16 0.589 12 8 0 95 67
Seattle 20 10 10 0.500 2.0 94 85 9 0.547 11 9 -1 89 73
Texas 19 7 12 0.368 4.5 79 97 -18 0.405 8 11 -1 66 96
NL EAST G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff P PCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
NY Mets 16 10 6 0.625 - 82 57 25 0.664 11 5 -1 108 54
Florida 18 11 7 0.611 - 82 95 -13 0.432 8 10 3 70 92
Atlanta 18 9 9 0.500 2.0 96 65 31 0.675 12 6 -3 109 53
Philadelphia 18 8 10 0.444 3.0 80 79 1 0.506 9 9 -1 82 80
Washington 19 5 14 0.263 6.5 67 100 -33 0.321 6 13 -1 52 110
NL CENTRAL G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff P PCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Chicago Cubs 18 12 6 0.667 - 111 86 25 0.617 11 7 1 100 62
St. Louis 19 12 7 0.632 0.5 87 68 19 0.613 12 7 0 99 63
Milwaukee 18 11 7 0.611 1.0 87 74 13 0.575 10 8 1 93 69
Cincinnati 19 8 11 0.421 4.5 78 87 -9 0.449 9 10 -1 73 89
Pittsburgh 18 7 11 0.389 5.0 81 117 -36 0.335 6 12 1 54 108
Houston 19 7 12 0.368 5.5 73 88 -15 0.414 8 11 -1 67 95
NL WEST G W L PCT GB RS RA Diff P PCT PW PL +/- PWON PLOSS
Arizona 18 13 5 0.722 - 116 65 51 0.747 13 5 0 121 41
Colorado 18 9 9 0.500 4.0 76 87 -11 0.437 8 10 1 71 91
San Diego 19 9 10 0.474 4.5 62 82 -20 0.372 7 12 2 60 102
San Francisco 19 8 11 0.421 5.5 61 94 -33 0.308 6 13 2 50 112
LA Dodgers 18 7 11 0.389 6.0 73 68 5 0.533 10 8 -3 86 76

OnBaseMachine
04-23-2008, 12:35 AM
Runs scored: 89
Runs allowed: 97
Differential: -8

Reds Pythagorean record: 10-11

Reds actual record: 9-12

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OnBaseMachine
04-27-2008, 09:59 PM
Runs scored: 116
Runs allowed: 124
Differential: -8

Reds Pythagorean record: 12-14

Reds actual record: 11-15

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OnBaseMachine
04-29-2008, 12:17 AM
Runs scored: 120
Runs allowed: 127
Differential: -7

Reds Pythagorean record: 13-14

Reds actual record: 12-15

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