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OnBaseMachine
05-19-2008, 11:23 AM
The Reds are 17-11 against teams with winning records, and are 4-12 against teams with losing records.

Obviously that needs to change but it's encouraging that the Reds are playing so well against the good teams. The Reds are 0-8 against the Astros, Braves, and Pirates. Two of the losses against the Pirates were a 1-0 loss and a 4-3 loss and that's when the offense was struggling mightily. The Reds could have easily won two of three in that series. Of the two losses against the Astros, Arroyo was given an early lead on a Griffey homerun (hasn't homered since) but couldn't hold it. The next day the Reds lost 5-3...Cueto didn't have his best stuff but allowed five runs in seven innings and the Reds offense failed to show up. Again, that's probably a game they win now. In the Braves series, Volquez threw a gem (6 IP, 1 ER, 9 K's) but received a loss after the Reds were shutout by Hudson. The next game the Reds lost lost 9-1 but it was 2-1 going into the 7th inning. The Reds lost the next game 14-7 as Arroyo had the worst start of his career. If only they could have squeezed out a couple wins in those eight games they would have above .500 right now.

The key to staying above is beating the teams you should beat and continuing to play .500 to slightly above .500 ball against the great teams.

RedlegJake
05-19-2008, 11:25 AM
They seem to play the great teams like the do the great pitchers -tough. Then they face a scrub pitcher or a poor team and blow it. Go figure.

OnBaseMachine
05-19-2008, 11:26 AM
The Pirates and Braves are in Cincy on the next home stand. It sure would be nice for the Reds to redeem themselves and win four of six.

RedlegJake
05-19-2008, 11:27 AM
The amazing thing is if the Reds go 5-2 on this road trip they come home 26-25. Go 4-3 and they're still at 25-26. I had hope they'd make it back to .500 by the mid point but here's a decent chance they could be there less than a third of the way through.

Highlifeman21
05-19-2008, 11:31 AM
Every club will win 60.

Every club will lose 60.

It's what they do in the other 42 that determine how good they are, and if they make the playoffs.

I wouldn't put a lot of money on the Reds to finish any better than .500 in the other 42.

Winning streaks are nice and all, and it's great to sweep the 1st part of the I71 series, but let's not convince a few good games with good results into thinking all of a sudden we're a good team.

OnBaseMachine
05-19-2008, 11:39 AM
This team was never as bad as they were playing earlier. Bronson Arroyo is not a 8.00+ ERA type pitcher. Johnny Cueto has pitched better than his numbers suggest. Adam Dunn is not a sub .800 OPS hitter. Now that Dunn and Phillips are hitting like they are capable of hitting, and Arroyo is pitching to his abilities, the team has obviously started to play more to their abilities. I happen to think this is a good team who could only get better when Jay Bruce is called up.

Will M
05-19-2008, 09:02 PM
This team was never as bad as they were playing earlier. Bronson Arroyo is not a 8.00+ ERA type pitcher. Johnny Cueto has pitched better than his numbers suggest. Adam Dunn is not a sub .800 OPS hitter. Now that Dunn and Phillips are hitting like they are capable of hitting, and Arroyo is pitching to his abilities, the team has obviously started to play more to their abilities. I happen to think this is a good team who could only get better when Jay Bruce is called up.

Bruce replacing Jr will be a big boost defensively and offensively.
I am starting to get really annoyed that this hasn't happended yet.

If the Reds can find a 5th starter who can keep them in games and get Bruce up here then we could have something.