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Mario-Rijo
05-04-2009, 03:18 AM
Certainly it's not big news that if you avg 15 wins a month you will have 90 by seasons end. But between that and a post on the Sundeck about the month of may predictions I decided to start this ongoing thread for our month to month win predictions and to keep track of some that might have gotten away and the like. What say you?


For the month of April here is how it broke down.

April 6-9 vs. NYM: 1-2
April 10-12 vs. Pitt: 1-1 (1 ppd)
April 13-15 @ Mil: 2-1
April 17-20 @ Hou: 3-1
April 21-23 @ Chi: 2-1
April 24-26 vs. Atl: 1-2
April 27-29 vs. Hou: 1-2

11-10 Overall, 4-7 @ Home, 8-3 on the road, 4 games short of 15 wins for the month.

May 1-3 @ Pit: 2-1 (13 more wins are needed at minimum)

So here is my prediction of the rest of the month of May.

(May 1-3 @ Pitt 2-1 would have been my actual prediction FWIW not that it matters now)

May 4-5 @ Fla 1-1
May 6-7 VS MIL 1-1
May 8-10 VS STL 1-2
May 11-13 @ ARI 2-1
May 15-17 @ SD 1-2
May 19-21 VS PHI 1-2
May 22-24 VS CLE 2-1
May 25-27 VS HOU 1-2
May 29-31 @ MIL 2-1

Total: 12-13 which would put us at 14-14 on the month and at 25-24 overall and 5 wins short of the desired avg total.

CarolinaRedleg
05-04-2009, 09:48 AM
I thought in the original thread the Reds would win 18 games this month and I'll stick to that after the nice start in Pittsburgh. I thought the team would win or tie every series, save for St. Louis and Philly, in which they'd go 1-2.

Good to see two great starts to open the short roadie.

membengal
05-04-2009, 09:53 AM
April was a short month, only 21 games. Asking 15 of those is too much.

What was the pro-rated number they should have gotten to? 12? They almost did that.

OnBaseMachine
05-04-2009, 10:40 AM
I like using the golf score game. Nine games represent one hole. The goal for each hole should be 5-4, which projects out to a 90-72 record. The Reds went 5-4 on the first hole, 5-4 on the second hole, and are 3-3 so far on the third hole. If the Reds can win two of their next three games they'll maintain a 90-72 pace.

Check out this thread for more on the golf score game:

http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=56639&highlight=golf

tripleaaaron
05-06-2009, 04:32 PM
I remember reading that a few years ago and I really like that slant on the season. Here is the Breakdown.
Hole #1: (5-4) Par
Hole #2: (5-4) Par
Hole #3: (4-4) We need a win tonight in order to par.
Hole #4: 1 vs MIL, 3 vs STL, 3 @ Ari, 2 @ SD
Hole #5: 1 @ SD, 3 vs PHI, 3 vs CLE, 2 vs HOU
Hole #6: 1 vs HOU, 3 @ MIL, 4 @ STL, 1 vs CHC
Hole #7: 2 vs CHC, 3 @ WAS, 3 @ KC, 1 vs ATL
Hole #8: 2 vs ATL, 3 vs CWS, 3 @ TOR, 1 @ CLE
Hole #9: 2 @ CLE, 3 vs ARI, 3 vs STL, 1 @ PHI
Back Nine
Hole #10: 3 @ PHI, 3 @ NYM, 3 vs MIL
Hole #11: 1 vs MIL, 3 @ LAD, 3 @ CHC, 2 vs SD
Hole #12: 2 vs SD, 3 vs COL, 3 vs CHC, 1 @ SF
Hole #13: 2 @SF, 3 @ STL, 4 vs WAS
Hole #14: 3 vs SF, 3 @ PIT, 3 @ MIL
Hole #15: 3 vs LAD, 3 vs PIT, 3 @ ATL
Hole #16: 4 @ COL, 3 @ CHC, 2 vs HOU
Hole #17: 1 vs HOU, 4 vs FLA, 3 @ PIT, 1 @ HOU
Hole #18: 2 @ HOU, 3 vs STL, 3 vs PIT (April 10 rain-out vs PIT, if needed)

tripleaaaron
05-06-2009, 04:34 PM
The Back Nine Starts off rough, we're gonna need a run of birdies to end the front 9.

Mario-Rijo
05-15-2009, 10:47 PM
The Back Nine Starts off rough, we're gonna need a run of birdies to end the front 9.

Holes 8-9-10 are gonna be rough. That's why holes like the one we are on are so important. We already have a birdie at worst (assuming I understand it correctly) and could come out with an albatross (Double Eagle). With 2 wins to start this series we were one freaking inning away from a potential hole in one.

tripleaaaron
05-16-2009, 08:02 PM
Holes 8-9-10 are gonna be rough. That's why holes like the one we are on are so important. We already have a birdie at worst (assuming I understand it correctly) and could come out with an albatross (Double Eagle). With 2 wins to start this series we were one freaking inning away from a potential hole in one.

Your getting it. Here is the updated schedule:
Hole #1: (5-4) Par
Hole #2: (5-4) Par
Hole #3: (4-5) Bogey
Hole #4: (6-2) At worst a birdie, win tonight and an Eagle.
Hole #5: 1 @ SD, 3 vs PHI, 3 vs CLE, 2 vs HOU
Hole #6: 1 vs HOU, 3 @ MIL, 4 @ STL, 1 vs CHC
Hole #7: 2 vs CHC, 3 @ WAS, 3 @ KC, 1 vs ATL
Hole #8: 2 vs ATL, 3 vs CWS, 3 @ TOR, 1 @ CLE
Hole #9: 2 @ CLE, 3 vs ARI, 3 vs STL, 1 @ PHI
Back Nine
Hole #10: 3 @ PHI, 3 @ NYM, 3 vs MIL
Hole #11: 1 vs MIL, 3 @ LAD, 3 @ CHC, 2 vs SD
Hole #12: 2 vs SD, 3 vs COL, 3 vs CHC, 1 @ SF
Hole #13: 2 @SF, 3 @ STL, 4 vs WAS
Hole #14: 3 vs SF, 3 @ PIT, 3 @ MIL
Hole #15: 3 vs LAD, 3 vs PIT, 3 @ ATL
Hole #16: 4 @ COL, 3 @ CHC, 2 vs HOU
Hole #17: 1 vs HOU, 4 vs FLA, 3 @ PIT, 1 @ HOU
Hole #18: 2 @ HOU, 3 vs STL, 3 vs PIT (April 10 rain-out vs PIT, if needed)

tripleaaaron
05-27-2009, 02:30 AM
With a win tonight we have shot par on yet another hole. We are even going into to the 6th hole tomorrow and on pace for 90 wins.
Hole #1: (5-4) Par
Hole #2: (5-4) Par
Hole #3: (4-5) Bogey
Hole #4: (6-3) Birdie
Hole #5: (5-4) Par
Hole #6: 1 vs HOU, 3 @ MIL, 4 @ STL, 1 vs CHC
Hole #7: 2 vs CHC, 3 @ WAS, 3 @ KC, 1 vs ATL
Hole #8: 2 vs ATL, 3 vs CWS, 3 @ TOR, 1 @ CLE
Hole #9: 2 @ CLE, 3 vs ARI, 3 vs STL, 1 @ PHI
Back Nine
Hole #10: 3 @ PHI, 3 @ NYM, 3 vs MIL
Hole #11: 1 vs MIL, 3 @ LAD, 3 @ CHC, 2 vs SD
Hole #12: 2 vs SD, 3 vs COL, 3 vs CHC, 1 @ SF
Hole #13: 2 @SF, 3 @ STL, 4 vs WAS
Hole #14: 3 vs SF, 3 @ PIT, 3 @ MIL
Hole #15: 3 vs LAD, 3 vs PIT, 3 @ ATL
Hole #16: 4 @ COL, 3 @ CHC, 2 vs HOU
Hole #17: 1 vs HOU, 4 vs FLA, 3 @ PIT, 1 @ HOU
Hole #18: 2 @ HOU, 3 vs STL, 3 vs PIT (April 10 rain-out vs PIT, if needed)

CarolinaRedleg
05-28-2009, 05:33 PM
The Astros sweep meant the 15 wins for the month mark was met.:beerme:

Mario-Rijo
05-28-2009, 06:33 PM
The Astros sweep meant the 15 wins for the month mark was met.:beerme:

Yes and if by chance we were to sweep Milwaukee (and BTW I happen to like our chances of at least getting 2) Then it would put us at 29 wins in the 1st 2 months, just 1 win shy of being "on pace". :thumbup: