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View Full Version : Jay Bruce AVG



Benihana
05-19-2009, 09:19 PM
I know batting average is an outdated statistic, but it is still widely used nevertheless. If you had to guess Jay Bruce's career batting average (looking forward,) what would you say and why?

westofyou
05-19-2009, 09:23 PM
I would never guess a random rate stat like that for a career, the way the game is played can push it 20 points either way, plus a 21 year old is different man than a 35 year old.. just ask Al Kaline.

Benihana
05-19-2009, 09:40 PM
plus a 21 year old is different man than a 35 year old.. just ask Al Kaline.

Sure, that's fair. You can make it for the next ten years if you like. BTW, you don't have to ask Al, you can ask Ken.

Ravenlord
05-19-2009, 10:51 PM
i'd be surprised if Bruce ever has a single season at 290 or more, and i expect his career average to be in the 266-274 range...but if he suddenly turns into a 30+ HR and 80+BB guy, i'd expect 285-300 to be his normal range.

dougdirt
05-19-2009, 10:55 PM
I think he will hit .300 a few times in his career. His skillset suggests he can be a solid .285 hitter for most of his career.

Superdude
05-19-2009, 11:08 PM
but if he suddenly turns into a 30+ HR and 80+BB guy, i'd expect 285-300 to be his normal range.

I think he's got the first thing covered already

Ravenlord
05-19-2009, 11:12 PM
I think he's got the first thing covered already

i think so too, but the question becomes if he can get passed the 50-60 range his minor league and current MLB numbers suggest. on the plus side, he's 21 so that's more likely than it would be for say, Laynce Nix at this point.

OnBaseMachine
05-20-2009, 12:22 AM
I think he'll eventually develop into a consistent .300+ hitter.

Ron Madden
05-20-2009, 05:21 AM
I don't care what his career BA is as long as he avoids outs and produces runs. ;)

What saddens me is Bruce and Votto will most likley be playing elsewhere in just a few years. :(

RedsManRick
05-20-2009, 10:46 AM
I misread the poll, thinking it related to just this year. Over time, his plate discipline will continue to improve - as will his production against lefties. For his career, I'd put him at .280, plus or minus 15 points in either direction.

RED VAN HOT
05-20-2009, 12:19 PM
Since the last half of last year, it seems to me that Bruce is being coached to pull the ball for HR's. He is currently connecting at a 40+ HR pace. With experience he will become more selective in choosing pitches he is able to drive for HR's. At that point I expect his K's will decrease and he will use the whole field as he did when he first came up. He'll take singles when that is all that can be done with a wicked two strike pitch. More than 90% of his career is still ahead of him.

mth123
05-22-2009, 10:54 PM
Bruce looked really bad tonight. Hopefully Votto can get back in there and Dusty will feel comfortable enough to give Bruce a day off. I'd put Rosales at 3B and Hairston in the OF against the next lefty the Reds face with Bruce going to the bench.

fearofpopvol1
05-22-2009, 10:56 PM
He's looked awful as of late. I would give him a day off too.

AmarilloRed
05-22-2009, 11:21 PM
.280-.300. I just think that's what he'll arrive at for his career.