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Kc61
04-28-2010, 10:28 AM
4-6 through last ten games, includes sweep by Bucs in Pittsburgh. Reds are 9-11, 4 games behind Cards, with 93 runs scored and 118 runs against. 6-6 at home, 3-5 on the road so far.

Offense - 12th in NL with .704 OPS, .387 SLG, .244 BA. 14th in NL with .316 OBP. 151 Ks (8th most in NL), 71 BBs (12th most in NL).

Hanigan, playing more than last year, off to an excellent start with .483 BA and 1.248 OPS. On the other side of the coin, Stubbs is at .501 OPS and .150 BA. Rolen with .915 OPS.

Pitching - 5.82 team ERA is 15th of 16 NL teams. Starters at 2-7 with 6.34 ERA, next to last in starters ERA in NL. Bullpen is 7-4 with 4.90 ERA, 11th ERA on NL list. OPS against is .786, 13th in league. Compare that with .704 OPS on offense.

Arroyo, Bailey, Harang, all over 7 ERA. Leake at 3.92. Cordero with 1 win and 7 (of 8) saves has pitched in all team victories.

Fielding - DER is 14th in the league, big drop off from last year. Traditional fielding stats are good, 12 errors tied for 4th-5th best in NL, FPCT .984.

nate
04-28-2010, 11:34 AM
The Reds are 12th in the NL in wOBA (.312), just ahead of the Mets (.310) and behind the Padres (.320). They have a slightly below league average walk rate (9.4%) and a not good K-rate (22.8%, 12th.)

Pitching-wise, they're 12th in FIP (4.63) in between the Dodgers (4.61) and Brewers (4.77.) xFIP places them similarly (4.36) between the D-Backs (4.29) and the Mets (4.55.) They're a tick or so above average in strikeouts (7.68 K/9) and walks (3.86 BB/9.) They're still giving up quite a few HR (1.2 HR/9) but not as many as the D-Backs (1.52 HR/9.)

Defensively, I guess it's hard to say so early. UZR has them as one of the three worst teams in the league (Astros, Dodgers.) Comparing FIP and xFIP to ERA, there's a difference of around +1-ish so it would seem that the defense has not been a "strength" so far ("my eyes" agree!) but I think, depending on who mans the gloves, that would trend in the Reds favor as the season goes on.

Spring~Fields
04-28-2010, 11:39 AM
The Reds are 12th in the NL in wOBA (.312), just ahead of the Mets (.310) and behind the Padres (.320). They have a slightly below league average walk rate (9.4%) and a not good K-rate (22.8%, 12th.)

Pitching-wise, they're 12th in FIP (4.63) in between the Dodgers (4.61) and Brewers (4.77.) xFIP places them similarly (4.36) between the D-Backs (4.29) and the Mets (4.55.) They're a tick or so above average in strikeouts (7.68 K/9) and walks (3.86 BB/9.) They're still giving up quite a few HR (1.2 HR/9) but not as many as the D-Backs (1.52 HR/9.)

Defensively, I guess it's hard to say so early. UZR has them as one of the three worst teams in the league (Astros, Dodgers.) Comparing FIP and xFIP to ERA, there's a difference of around +1-ish so it would seem that the defense has not been a "strength" so far ("my eyes" agree!) but I think, depending on who mans the gloves, that would trend in the Reds favor as the season goes on.

Where are the changes in the defense coming from? Or did they just exceed expectations last year, and this year returning to what they should be?

nate
04-28-2010, 11:50 AM
Where are the changes in the defense coming from? Or did they just exceed expectations last year, and this year returning to what they should be?

I haven't looked but I would guess mainly SS and miniscule defensive samples.

OnBaseMachine
04-30-2010, 12:46 AM
It's hard to believe because the Reds have played flat out awful at times this season, but with a win tomorrow night in St. Louis the Reds would finish with a winning April at 12-11. Those three losses in Pittsburgh still hurt. If the Reds win just one of those games they would be sitting at 12-10 right now and already have a winning April locked up. Having said that, it's nice to be back at .500 considering where the Reds were five days ago.

RedsManRick
04-30-2010, 01:02 AM
Where are the changes in the defense coming from? Or did they just exceed expectations last year, and this year returning to what they should be?

According to UZR, Stubbs has been horrible so far. Not sure what plays he's missed, by it has him at -4.2, easily the worst on the team. Cabrera, Gomes, and Rolen have been the other negatives.

http://www.fangraphs.com/winss.aspx?team=Reds&pos=all&stats=fld&qual=0&type=1&season=2010&month=0

OnBaseMachine
04-30-2010, 01:07 AM
According to UZR, Stubbs has been horrible so far. Not sure what plays he's missed, by it has him at -4.2, easily the worst on the team. Cabrera, Gomes, and Rolen have been the other negatives.

http://www.fangraphs.com/winss.aspx?team=Reds&pos=all&stats=fld&qual=0&type=1&season=2010&month=0

That's weird, because I think Stubbs has looked great in CF except for that one play in Miami where he broke in and allowed that linedrive to sail over his head. Rolen looked bad earlier in the season but has been much better lately, IMO. Cabrera and Gomes have been awful from the beginning, though.

Ron Madden
04-30-2010, 05:03 AM
I could be wrong but I believe defensive metrics leave a lot to be desired.

mth123
04-30-2010, 07:19 AM
I could be wrong but I believe defensive metrics leave a lot to be desired.

Or you could be right.

reds1869
04-30-2010, 07:49 AM
I could be wrong but I believe defensive metrics leave a lot to be desired.

I agree completely. Most current defensive metrics are severely flawed. They are a positive step forward to measure defense but will take a lot of tinkering before they are meaningful.

Scrap Irony
04-30-2010, 06:22 PM
For April (assuming tonight's titanic struggle is rained out):

The Reds are tied for 7th in the NL with 103 runs.

They're tied for 8th in the NL in BB%, at 9.8%. (Which, suprisingly, isn't all that bad.)

They're fifth in the Senior Circuit with a 22.6% K%, which is very high, especially considering they're 10th in SLG.

Speaking of poor numbers, the Reds are third from last in OBP in the NL.

Good news (maybe), the Reds are third from last in BaBIP.