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Quatitos
05-30-2010, 01:31 AM
So most people know what a magic number is in baseball. The problem with the magic number formula is its simplicity, it does not take into account the number of games played between teams. Well this site (http://riot.ieor.berkeley.edu/~baseball/national_league.html) provides a breakdown of more precise "magic numbers" for each teams including 1st place clinching and playoff clinching.

The explanation of the numbers (http://riot.ieor.berkeley.edu/~baseball/detail_calc.html) is quite interesting and if you enjoy math and numbers then it is worth a read.

So good news, before tonights game if we only lost 10 more games the rest of the season we are guaranteed a playoff spot. ;)

Reds
05-30-2010, 03:09 AM
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/National/Central/Reds.html

An AMAZING gain for our chances to make the playoffs today.. 9.5 % up off one day! lol (never seen that in May before)

64.4% chance overall of making it.

LOTS of games left though.

Quatitos
05-30-2010, 01:00 PM
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/National/Central/Reds.html

An AMAZING gain for our chances to make the playoffs today.. 9.5 % up off one day! lol (never seen that in May before)

64.4% chance overall of making it.

LOTS of games left though.

That sure is interesting to see the impact that the other teams games have on playoff chances.

So today we root for the Cubs(lesser of 2 evils?), D-backs, Nationals, Pirates, Marlins, and Dodgers :)