texasdave
07-15-2010, 04:28 AM
I like the sound of this. Looks like everyone is expecting this to go down to the wire. A deadline move may mean the difference. I think the Reds have the pitching to go the distance.
Here's what 14 full years of Wild-Card Baseball have taught us:
• First-place teams should start printing playoff tickets. Teams with an outright division lead of any length at the All-Star break go to the playoffs 73 percent of the time (61 of 83).
Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/tom_verducci/07/09/three.strikes/index.html?eref=sihp#ixzz0tjng7dh4
This makes it look like a coin flip: columns are current w/l-expected w/l-division champions %-wild card %-playoffs % http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_odds.php
Reds 49 41 88.1 73.9 48.44689 5.31355 53.76044
Cardinals 47 41 88.2 73.8 50.10400 4.99604 55.10004
I like this one better: columns are the same. http://www.coolstandings.com/baseball_standings.asp?i=1
Cincinnati 49 41 90.9 71.1 50.6 8.1 58.7
St. Louis 47 41 90.5 71.5 48.1 7.5 55.7
Here's what 14 full years of Wild-Card Baseball have taught us:
• First-place teams should start printing playoff tickets. Teams with an outright division lead of any length at the All-Star break go to the playoffs 73 percent of the time (61 of 83).
Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/tom_verducci/07/09/three.strikes/index.html?eref=sihp#ixzz0tjng7dh4
This makes it look like a coin flip: columns are current w/l-expected w/l-division champions %-wild card %-playoffs % http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_odds.php
Reds 49 41 88.1 73.9 48.44689 5.31355 53.76044
Cardinals 47 41 88.2 73.8 50.10400 4.99604 55.10004
I like this one better: columns are the same. http://www.coolstandings.com/baseball_standings.asp?i=1
Cincinnati 49 41 90.9 71.1 50.6 8.1 58.7
St. Louis 47 41 90.5 71.5 48.1 7.5 55.7