PDA

View Full Version : Best Case Scenario



Mario-Rijo
08-19-2010, 06:22 AM
Not trying to get ahead of things here but just trying to figure out what our best chances are to move beyond the 1st round of the playoffs should we make them. Doing it early so we can hope/root for the best case scenario to happen to give us that best chance to proceed beyond the 1st round and even to the W/S.

What do you think that scenario is?

I think obviously we are gonna have to root for the teams who are more well rounded and less dominant in any one area. The least dominant and/or less established TOR's makes sense as this seems to be the weak link in our club for the playoffs.

Atlanta as winner of the East.
San Diego as winner of the West.
Cincinnati as Winner of the Central.

S.F. as the winner of the W/C.

IMO we have a better chance of beating these teams than any others who still have a realistic shot to make the playoffs. S.F. has the best rotation but weaker offenses IMO than St. Louis or Philly. FWIW Though I think it's likely gonna end up like this.

Philly in the East
S.F. in the West
Reds..

Atlanta as W/C

A quick glance at the schedules shows S.D. with the toughest schedule IMO for the remainder of the season. And if I were a betting man I'd guess Philly has the best record and faces Atlanta. I think we can beat the Giants, sure they have excellent starting pitching but their offense is so-so at best. I also don't give a clear advantage to the Braves or Padres over us, JMO but I think Philly, once in the playoffs would be far tougher to beat.

So IMO the best case scenario is for the W/C to come out of the West and Atlanta to somehow eek out the East. Preferably like so...

Atlanta (best record)
Vs.
San Francisco (W/C)

S.D. (better record)
Vs.
Cincy (worst division winner record)

Atlanta
Vs.
Cincy

Playing more games away hurts the offense a bit but gives the pitching the best bet to succeed. Does anyone think we'd be better off if we had home field advantage? If Philly and/or St. Louis make the playoffs they have the best chance of winning a short series against everyone else.

Redhook
08-19-2010, 07:36 AM
Way too early for this. Still 25% of the season left.

Mario-Rijo
08-19-2010, 11:13 AM
Way too early for this. Still 25% of the season left.

Apparently others concur. Not too soon to hope for the best case scenario. Especially when the only challenger to us making the playoffs are looking worse all the time. Watching those Cardinal highlights Pujols was looking pretty bad with that hip issue or whatever it is he is dealing with, was noticeably having a tough time running. That IMO would be a deathnail for them.

redsfan30
08-19-2010, 11:46 AM
I certainly am rooting for the Braves in the East. Philly would be scary should they get in.

GoReds
08-19-2010, 12:12 PM
I would rather not face St. Louis in the playoffs. Seems like we inspire them to play above their heads.

Philadelphia also worries me as does San Diego, but not to the same degree.

So, Cincy, Atlanta, San Diego and San Francisco would be ideal.

Spitball
08-19-2010, 09:54 PM
Really, I would most like the Reds to face the Braves, Giants, or the Padres in the playoffs. I think they have at least a decent chance against those teams.

The Phillies...they scare me with the top of their rotation. Same with the Cardinals.

The Voice of IH
08-19-2010, 10:00 PM
I am not involved in all the stats and such, but I think the best case scenario is
Braves- East
Reds- Central
SD- West or Wild Card
SF- West or Wild Card

I think the Reds would have a chance against any of these teams. They would not sweep anyone of them, but they would be able to hang in their and possibly win it.

GADawg
08-19-2010, 10:53 PM
Way too early for this. Still 25% of the season left.

ah c'mon...it's a forum for discussion...we could discuss the 2016 postseason if the mood hit us!

I hope we play the SanAntonio Devil Rays that October!!

15fan
08-19-2010, 10:59 PM
Nothing would make me happier than to exorcise the demons that have been haunting me since I moved here a few months before the 1995 NLCS.

(Reggie blankety blank Sanders, I'm talking about YOU.)

But I also know that the Braves have generally had their way with the Reds over the past, oh, 15 years or so. I've seen the Reds lose here in just about every way imaginable. And with it being Cox's swan song, it's going to be a tough gig to knock out the Braves and send him into retirement.

Spitball
08-19-2010, 11:01 PM
ah c'mon...it's a forum for discussion...we could discuss the 2016 postseason if the mood hit us!

:clap:

It has been more than ten years since Reds fans have had the opportunity to discuss such matters in August. It is not too early to discuss such matters.