PDA

View Full Version : This is gonna happen, isn't it?



Edskin
09-12-2010, 12:04 AM
It hit me tonight as Votto rounded the bases....this is really happening. The Reds aren't going to fade. The Cardinals aren't going to catch us.

I'm not even worried about jinxing us by typing these words anymore. It became real clear to me tonight....we're gonna do it.

I was about 30 minutes behind on my DVR, but the good news is that after the HR, I was able to rewind and watch it again....and then again....and then I got my wife from the other room and had her watch it....again. My daughter had just fallen asleep so I couldn't get loud, but I did pump my fist and kept screaming "YES" in my head.

It's like a release of a decade+ of frustration. It's awesome.

You can thank my beard come October :)

MartyFan
09-12-2010, 12:06 AM
Yes, Virginia...I mean...Yes Edskin it appears to be so!

RedsMan3203
09-12-2010, 12:09 AM
You can thank my beard come October :)

Had to shave mine off before the Cards series... You saw how that ended up...

Just started getting it back the last couple days and... :beerme:

For the Cards... I have one thing for you...
The bus is in the parking lot... Clap clap clap clap clappy clap clap clap.... The bus is the parking lot

Phhhl
09-12-2010, 12:11 AM
Yes, it is going to happen. And, not only that, the Reds will probably go into next year as the favorites to do it again.

edabbs44
09-12-2010, 12:13 AM
I think it is happening. October baseball and all that. They may lose in the playoffs, but the good thing is that the roster isn't built for 2010 and that's it. They have some staying power.

If played correctly, they should have a few years in them at least.

westofyou
09-12-2010, 12:13 AM
Standings At Close of Play of September 11, 1951

NL

Team Name G W L T PCT GB RS RA
Brooklyn Dodgers 137 88 48 1 .647 - 758 571
New York Giants 140 84 56 0 .600 6.0 704 594
St. Louis Cardinals 137 72 64 1 .529 16.0 597 611
Boston Braves 137 68 68 1 .500 20.0 650 577
Philadelphia Phillies 139 66 73 0 .475 23.5 582 565
Cincinnati Reds 141 60 80 1 .429 30.0 500 617
Chicago Cubs 140 58 81 1 .417 31.5 569 669
Pittsburgh Pirates 141 57 83 1 .407 33.0 629 785


Standings At Close of Play of September 11, 1964

NL

Team Name G W L T PCT GB RS RA
Philadelphia Phillies 141 85 56 0 .603 - 617 534
St. Louis Cardinals 141 79 62 0 .560 6.0 609 581
Cincinnati Reds 142 78 63 1 .553 7.0 576 498
San Francisco Giants 143 79 64 0 .552 7.0 574 525
Milwaukee Braves 141 73 68 0 .518 12.0 685 652
Pittsburgh Pirates 140 72 68 0 .514 12.5 597 543
Los Angeles Dodgers 143 70 71 2 .496 15.0 531 505
Chicago Cubs 141 64 77 0 .454 21.0 567 635
Houston Colt .45s 143 58 85 0 .406 28.0 457 560
New York Mets 143 49 93 1 .345 36.5 515 695

Edskin
09-12-2010, 12:17 AM
woy-

Debbie Downer, c'mon man, live a little....say it...

"it's gonna happen"

:)

westofyou
09-12-2010, 12:18 AM
woy-

Debbie Downer, c'mon man, live a little....say it...

"it's gonna happen"

:)
I'm checking airlines yes, ain't posting about it though.
;)

Edskin
09-12-2010, 12:21 AM
I'm checking airlines yes, ain't posting about it though.
;)

Never took you for the superstitious type....actually kind of glad to see that out of you.

As a man of numbers....do we know what the all-time % of teams making the playoffs after holding a 7+ game lead with 20 to go?

Sea Ray
09-12-2010, 12:23 AM
Woy's post wasn't a downer. It showed what good position the Reds are in. They're 7 games up so even a 1951 or 1964 breakdown won't lose them the pennant.

TheNext44
09-12-2010, 12:23 AM
Standings At Close of Play of September 11, 1951

NL

Team Name G W L T PCT GB RS RA
Brooklyn Dodgers 137 88 48 1 .647 - 758 571
New York Giants 140 84 56 0 .600 6.0 704 594
St. Louis Cardinals 137 72 64 1 .529 16.0 597 611
Boston Braves 137 68 68 1 .500 20.0 650 577
Philadelphia Phillies 139 66 73 0 .475 23.5 582 565
Cincinnati Reds 141 60 80 1 .429 30.0 500 617
Chicago Cubs 140 58 81 1 .417 31.5 569 669
Pittsburgh Pirates 141 57 83 1 .407 33.0 629 785


Standings At Close of Play of September 11, 1964

NL

Team Name G W L T PCT GB RS RA
Philadelphia Phillies 141 85 56 0 .603 - 617 534
St. Louis Cardinals 141 79 62 0 .560 6.0 609 581
Cincinnati Reds 142 78 63 1 .553 7.0 576 498
San Francisco Giants 143 79 64 0 .552 7.0 574 525
Milwaukee Braves 141 73 68 0 .518 12.0 685 652
Pittsburgh Pirates 140 72 68 0 .514 12.5 597 543
Los Angeles Dodgers 143 70 71 2 .496 15.0 531 505
Chicago Cubs 141 64 77 0 .454 21.0 567 635
Houston Colt .45s 143 58 85 0 .406 28.0 457 560
New York Mets 143 49 93 1 .345 36.5 515 695
YouTube - Dumb and Dumber 'There's a Chance' (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KX5jNnDMfxA)



YouTube - Dumb and Dumber 'There's a Chance' (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KX5jNnDMfxA)

steig
09-12-2010, 12:24 AM
I think it is happening. October baseball and all that. They may lose in the playoffs, but the good thing is that the roster isn't built for 2010 and that's it. They have some staying power.

If played correctly, they should have a few years in them at least.

This is what excites me the most. Seeing the Reds play in the playoffs it not enough for me. I want to see the team win a World Series again. I'm most excited about how this team is playing and how the team and the system is set up for the future.

RedEye
09-12-2010, 12:41 AM
This is really, really exciting. I was 14 when the Reds won in 1990, and I'm not saying that will happen again, but I'll tell you what... the NL doesn't have a dominant team this year, and it's a good year to head into the dance with nothing to lose. I think this team could surprise some people--including us all!

CrackerJack
09-12-2010, 03:13 AM
I think tonight was the coffin nail for the Cards, but yeah who's feeling very confident in the Reds right now...some healing and a Volquez come back could restore some of that by October.

nemesis
09-12-2010, 04:53 AM
Had to shave mine off before the Cards series... You saw how that ended up...

Just started getting it back the last couple days and... :beerme:

Man my beard is keeping the ladies away and I ain't liking it all that much, but this is one of those things you do because for some reason it makes it more special... I was at work watching gameday online and it said HR Votto and I about flew across the parking lot and I didn't even see it... I love this...

MrCinatit
09-12-2010, 08:15 AM
I was pretty down after the Colorado series - but I was nowhere near the ledge. But, there was quite a few little voices in my head wondering if they were going for the collapse and if the Cardinals were going to get hot.
It could still happen - but the Cardinals have to rely on just them being good. They have to be almost perfect. And the Reds have to almost completely collapse. Again, not impossible - but so very unlikely.

redsmetz
09-12-2010, 09:24 AM
I was pretty down after the Colorado series - but I was nowhere near the ledge. But, there was quite a few little voices in my head wondering if they were going for the collapse and if the Cardinals were going to get hot.

It could still happen - but the Cardinals have to rely on just them being good. They have to be almost perfect. And the Reds have to almost completely collapse. Again, not impossible - but so very unlikely.

I think this is where I come from too. I noted somewhere that Friday night after we blew the lead, I said to my wife, "we're going to blow this, aren't we." She chastised me for being such a downer. I won't be comfortable until it's nailed down (I know I sound like a broken record), but in answer to the initial query, yes I do think it's going to happen. But I'm holding my breath until it does.

The Cardinals are looking lifeless for the most part. They seem to have a considerable amount of discontent over there. They're snipping at nearly everything.

The Reds? While seeming to be running on fumes, the seem fairly cohesive. In my mind, even something as simple as Jonny Gomes giving Joey Votto his broken bat from the game winning squibbler as a birthday present speaks volumes. Aaron Harang taking his demotion stolidly, not thrilled with it (noting no one would be), but ready to do whatever it takes to help the team. Cairo playing the outfield, hearing that Janish is taking some reps out there just in case, Leake volunteering in an absolute emergency. This is just an extraordinary team, something we haven't seen in years.

So holding my breath, again, I think it will happen.

Dom Heffner
09-12-2010, 12:07 PM
Standings At Close of Play of September 11, 1951

NL

Team Name G W L T PCT GB RS RA
Brooklyn Dodgers 137 88 48 1 .647 - 758 571
New York Giants 140 84 56 0 .600 6.0 704 594
St. Louis Cardinals 137 72 64 1 .529 16.0 597 611
Boston Braves 137 68 68 1 .500 20.0 650 577
Philadelphia Phillies 139 66 73 0 .475 23.5 582 565
Cincinnati Reds 141 60 80 1 .429 30.0 500 617
Chicago Cubs 140 58 81 1 .417 31.5 569 669
Pittsburgh Pirates 141 57 83 1 .407 33.0 629 785


Standings At Close of Play of September 11, 1964

NL

Team Name G W L T PCT GB RS RA
Philadelphia Phillies 141 85 56 0 .603 - 617 534
St. Louis Cardinals 141 79 62 0 .560 6.0 609 581
Cincinnati Reds 142 78 63 1 .553 7.0 576 498
San Francisco Giants 143 79 64 0 .552 7.0 574 525
Milwaukee Braves 141 73 68 0 .518 12.0 685 652
Pittsburgh Pirates 140 72 68 0 .514 12.5 597 543
Los Angeles Dodgers 143 70 71 2 .496 15.0 531 505
Chicago Cubs 141 64 77 0 .454 21.0 567 635
Houston Colt .45s 143 58 85 0 .406 28.0 457 560
New York Mets 143 49 93 1 .345 36.5 515 695



Ah, the outlier....:)

westofyou
09-12-2010, 12:30 PM
Ah, the outlier....:)

The outlier is like that needle in the carpet, you know the chance of your foot finding it is not very high, but you still think about it.

In baseball folks tend to think when their team/player is hot that they'll never step on that needle. When they are bad you can't remember if you dropped one or one hundred, but you're sure you'll find it.

I'm wearing shoes until the end of the season myself.

membengal
09-13-2010, 11:40 PM
Yeah, ed, I think it is.

Amazingly enough, it appears to be happening.

redsmetz
09-15-2010, 02:35 PM
My cousin just posted this on Facebook:

Here is my post dated 3/31/2010:Jerry D: Five days 'til Opening Day. Get on the bandwagon now- it's going to be one heck of a Cincinnati Reds ride throughout the summer and into the fall. I'm estimating a "clinch the division date" as around September 28th. I'll let you know where to be to celebrate!

He's not going to be far off.

traderumor
09-15-2010, 05:11 PM
I don't believe in jinx. I do believe in the streakiness of the game, though. As long as the boys stay focused and win 8 or 9 more...

Roy Tucker
09-15-2010, 05:23 PM
Funny things happen more often than you think. And I don't mean funny ha-ha.

I consider it bad juju to be saying its going to happen before it happens. Do not tempt the baseball gods.

http://baseball.about.com/od/majorleaguehistory/tp/pennantcollapses.htm

Ghosts of 1990
09-15-2010, 05:32 PM
I feel good about this all; but I don't feel good enough to be starting Willie Bloomquist's of the world just yet. Would be nice to give Willie a run of games once we've clinched.

traderumor
09-15-2010, 05:42 PM
Funny things happen more often than you think. And I don't mean funny ha-ha.

I consider it bad juju to be saying its going to happen before it happens. Do not tempt the baseball gods.

http://baseball.about.com/od/majorleaguehistory/tp/pennantcollapses.htmjinx = baseball gods = do not exist ;)

REDREAD
09-15-2010, 06:40 PM
It's like a release of a decade+ of frustration. It's awesome.

You can thank my beard come October :)


I don't check the board daily anymore, so I was hoping to see some of your threads this year about how if we go 7-3 in the next 10 games, we'd be in good shape. (As you did in the past).. You missed a good year to do it.. the Reds would've exceeded your expectations this year. :)

membengal
09-16-2010, 12:22 AM
8 games up with 16 to play (18 for StL). The math is daunting for the team chasing. If the Reds were to go .500 from here, Cardinals need a 17-1 in their games to force a one-game playoff.

Dan
09-16-2010, 12:47 AM
It hit me tonight as Votto rounded the bases....this is really happening. The Reds aren't going to fade. The Cardinals aren't going to catch us.

I'm not even worried about jinxing us by typing these words anymore. It became real clear to me tonight....we're gonna do it.

I was about 30 minutes behind on my DVR, but the good news is that after the HR, I was able to rewind and watch it again....and then again....and then I got my wife from the other room and had her watch it....again. My daughter had just fallen asleep so I couldn't get loud, but I did pump my fist and kept screaming "YES" in my head.

It's like a release of a decade+ of frustration. It's awesome.

You can thank my beard come October :)

Dude you're an original. We've waited long enough. It is happening! Now if they can only figure out how to beat the better teams, maybe, just maybe, it'll be OUR team in the World Series.

corkedbat
09-16-2010, 12:51 AM
Don't know that it is a sure thing quite yet, but the breathing sure is getting easier. :)

Edskin
09-20-2010, 01:11 PM
Holy cow, this has been the longest two+ weeks of all-time in my Reds fanhood :)

Deep down, I suppose I'm still a bit programmed over the past 15 years to expect the worst....the numbers/odds are crazy in our favor, but this thing needs to hurry up and end before I have a heart attack.

cumberlandreds
09-20-2010, 02:24 PM
Holy cow, this has been the longest two+ weeks of all-time in my Reds fanhood :)

Deep down, I suppose I'm still a bit programmed over the past 15 years to expect the worst....the numbers/odds are crazy in our favor, but this thing needs to hurry up and end before I have a heart attack.

You will have to wait a few more days. The earliest the Reds can clinch would be Friday night in San Diego. That would only happen if the Reds win all their games and the Cards lose all of theirs. It's looking more like the Reds may not clinch until they get back home next week.

Edskin
09-20-2010, 02:30 PM
You will have to wait a few more days. The earliest the Reds can clinch would be Friday night in San Diego. That would only happen if the Reds win all their games and the Cards lose all of theirs. It's looking more like the Reds may not clinch until they get back home next week.

Not really concerned about officially clinching as much as I'd just like to see the magic number dwindle a tad more rapidly. If we go in to the last week with a magic number of 2 or 3, I'll be very content with that.

Ghosts of 1990
09-20-2010, 02:31 PM
You will have to wait a few more days. The earliest the Reds can clinch would be Friday night in San Diego. That would only happen if the Reds win all their games and the Cards lose all of theirs. It's looking more like the Reds may not clinch until they get back home next week.

I have tickets to the 10/2 saturday game. As cool as it would be to see them clinch, I want it to happen before then.

cumberlandreds
09-20-2010, 03:13 PM
I have tickets to the 10/2 saturday game. As cool as it would be to see them clinch, I want it to happen before then.

RZ will be in total panic mode if they haven't got it clinched by then. I will be too,BTW. :scared: If they can go into the next homestand with it down to about 3 that would OK by me.

BCubb2003
09-20-2010, 04:29 PM
I remember hearing that the Reds and Cards set a record for longest closest pennant race. Most days within three games of each other, or something. Is that right?

Reds Freak
09-20-2010, 05:19 PM
Holy cow, this has been the longest two+ weeks of all-time in my Reds fanhood :)

Deep down, I suppose I'm still a bit programmed over the past 15 years to expect the worst....the numbers/odds are crazy in our favor, but this thing needs to hurry up and end before I have a heart attack.

I agree! I was just thinking this weekend that my body is not used to the stress of pennant race baseball...

Edskin
09-20-2010, 06:32 PM
I agree! I was just thinking this weekend that my body is not used to the stress of pennant race baseball...

It's fuuny, but I'm so used to switching totally over to football in September that I'm all kinds of messed up this year trying to balance both :)

Big Klu
09-20-2010, 08:56 PM
It's fuuny, but I'm so used to switching totally over to football in September that I'm all kinds of messed up this year trying to balance both :)

Football? Whats that?

Seriously, the only football I have watched this season have been four high school games (I keep stats for the local HS team), and the OU-Wofford game at Peden Stadium. I have yet to watch a single football game on TV.

Degenerate39
09-20-2010, 09:00 PM
When was the last night the Reds were in 2nd place?

reds44
09-21-2010, 04:26 AM
When was the last night the Reds were in 2nd place?
Friday August 13th, the day after we were swept by the Cardinals. We moved into a tie for first the next day, and on Sunday we overtook first place and have not looked back since.

Homer Bailey
09-21-2010, 11:54 AM
Friday August 13th, the day after we were swept by the Cardinals. We moved into a tie for first the next day, and on Sunday we overtook first place and have not looked back since.

Oh they've looked back alright. They've looked back to point and laugh at the Cardinals falling flat on their face.

Oh, that's only me that's done that? Oh, gotcha.

_Sir_Charles_
09-21-2010, 12:03 PM
It's fuuny, but I'm so used to switching totally over to football in September that I'm all kinds of messed up this year trying to balance both :)

Yep, me too. I've had relatives and friends call me this past weekend (and the previous one) to chat about the Buckeyes wins and I'm like "oh, they played today?". LOL. I've been telling them that I'm sorry, but I'm 100% focused on the Reds right now. And it's a absolute PLEASURE to completely ignore football. :D

OesterPoster
09-21-2010, 12:12 PM
I've got tix for that 10/2 game too, and I really, really hope I don't need to see them clinching that day. A season ending series with the Brewers would bring back some bad memories from 1999.

I do have a 6 pack of Hudy Delight in the fridge, ready to break open the day they clinch. :)

Homer Bailey
09-21-2010, 12:20 PM
Bottle of champagne has been purchased by me.

True story.

HeatherC1212
09-21-2010, 12:20 PM
I have tickets to both the 9-30 game and the 10-3 game and I kind of hope they've clinched all ready by the time the 9-30 game rolls around or else my nerves will be really shot, LOL :laugh:

If they have a chance of clinching one week from today, I am totally going to that Tuesday night game. A chance to see the guys clinch at home? I wouldn't miss that for anything, although with my luck they'll probably clinch on Wednesday, the one day I can't get downtown due to other plans, LOL :lol: