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nemesis
09-22-2010, 02:22 AM
Volquez last 3 Starts... Pit/Ari/Mil

1.66 ERA / 21.2 IP / 10 H / 7 BB / 23 K / 1-1 Record / 3 QS


Bailey last 3 "Healthy" Starts - StL/Pit/Mil (Removed the Arizona start because he was obviously hurt.)

3.32 ERA / 19 IP / 16 H / 4 BB / 20 K / 0-1 Record / 2 QS


Wood last 4 Starts... StL/Col/Ari/Hou

3.13 ERA / 23 IP / 23 H / 4 BB / 22 K / 1-2 Record / 2 QS


Cueto last 4 Starts... Mil/Col/Pit/Hou

2.52 ERA / 25 IP / 20 H / 6 BB / 20 K / 0-1 Record / 3 QS


Arroyo last 4 Starts... StL/Col/Ari/Hou

5.24 ERA / 22.1 IP / 25 H / 4 BB / 18 K / 2-2 Record / 3 QS

Got rocked in Colorado for 7 Runs in 4.1 IP that really inflated his ERA...
Less that start his ERA would be 3.00.


4-8 Record among the starting staff amongst 13 QS in the last 19 games.

4 BS in that timeframe. 2 Cordero - 1 Massett - 1 Chapman

Basically what I am getting at is that all 5 guys are making a solid, solid case for the playoff rotation. Taking a 4 man rotation into the playoffs who do you go with?

Arroyo
Cueto
Volquez

are my 1st 3.

Bailey has a 3.05 ERA against LH hitters with a 8.98 K rate per 9.
Against RH hitters it's 5.69 ERA with a 6.79 K rate.

Wood has a 3.43 ERA vs RH hitters with a 7.61 K rate per 9.
Against LH hitters it's 3.38 ERA with a 7.31 K rate.

I go Bailey because Wood seems to me like he be nails out if the pen as the 4th LHP and Philly and Atlanta are LHH dependent. Gives the team Chapman and Bray one day and Rhodes and Wood the next as situational pitchers. 2 fresh LHP every day in the playoffs is a good thing.

What's your opinions?

membengal
09-22-2010, 05:55 AM
Thanks for doing the digging, nemesis. Food for thought.

For me, the third spot in a potential NLDS series depends on who they draw. Might make sense for Wood against a lefty heavy line-up, or Volquez if not.

nemesis
09-22-2010, 01:15 PM
Thanks for doing the digging, nemesis. Food for thought.

For me, the third spot in a potential NLDS series depends on who they draw. Might make sense for Wood against a lefty heavy line-up, or Volquez if not.

So is your 4th Bailey vs a LH heavy line up or do you stay with a 3 man rotation?

membengal
09-22-2010, 03:33 PM
No, my top four are arroyo/cueto and then wood/volquez. Bailey to be tagged with Volquez in his start, justincase.

Will M
09-22-2010, 05:54 PM
there are two questions for the post season first round:

1. who are the four starters we will pitch? - for me its Cueto, Arroyo, Wood & Volquez.

2. who goes in game #1 & then in game #5? - my pick is Cueto although i understand the logic of those who choose Arroyo.

RBA
09-22-2010, 06:42 PM
I'd try to catch lightening in a bottle and go with Volquez as the 1st starter.

kaldaniels
09-22-2010, 07:50 PM
I'd try to catch lightening in a bottle and go with Volquez as the 1st starter.

I said in an earlier post...if we are going for it all in, you go with Volquez,Cueto,Bailey (in some order) as your 3 big dogs in the postseason as they have the most shutdown potential...not that I advocate it. Would it be interesting and polarizing...absolutely.

Caveat Emperor
09-23-2010, 11:11 AM
I said in an earlier post...if we are going for it all in, you go with Volquez,Cueto,Bailey (in some order) as your 3 big dogs in the postseason as they have the most shutdown potential...not that I advocate it. Would it be interesting and polarizing...absolutely.

There was a statistic floating around earlier in the year that Arroyo was one of the top-3 pitchers in baseball over the past few seasons in number of, for lack of a better term, "shutdown starts" where he held opposing teams to 1 run or fewer with 7 or more IP.