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Kc61
06-06-2011, 10:55 AM
Reds go 4-6, now at .500, 30-30, in third place trailing first place Cards by 5.5 games. Reds are plus 9 in run differential. Reds lead fourth place Bucs by one game.

Bailey, Chapman, Lecure, Maloney all on DL, Volquez still at AAA after demotion. Reds now have Horst, Reineke, Fisher at major league level. Cochran and Thompson also spent a few days with the big club.

Offense - Reds OPS is .737, tied for second in NL with Brewers and DBacks. Slight decline from last time. SLG is .403, fourth in NL, again slight decline. OBP is .334, second to Cards, slight increase. BA is .261, third in NL, slight increase. Reds now second in runs, third in homers, second in walks, sixth in steals in NL.

Additional stats -- Reds wOBA (weighted on base average) of .328 is second best to Cards in the NL. Reds wRC+ (weighted runs created) of 101 is third to Cards and Brewers in NL.

For players with enough at bats, Votto leads NL in hitting with .338 and Bruce leads in homers with 17. Bruce tied for second in RBI with 46. (Reds pitching helped Matt Kemp gain the RBI lead this weekend.) Votto and Bruce have OPS, respectively, of 1.001 and .917. Votto OBP is an outstanding .466, clearly highest in NL. Ramon Hernandez also with excellent stats, .320 BA, .926 OPS.

Reds now with three-headed left field. Heisey with OPS of .791. Gomes at .687. Lewis at .590. Phillips after slump has OPS of .765. Stubbs at .746. Rolen at .666. Janish at .525.

Pitching -- Don't ask. Team ERA has gone from 4.17 to 4.34 to 4.45. Now 14th in NL. Reds' starters ERA now at 5.02, 15th in the NL. Bullpen ERA at 3.53 a jump for the worse since last time. (One horrible day against L.A. obviously contributed.) Bullpen ERA now ninth in NL.

Reds have allowed more homers than any other NL team (70). Reds have allowed more walks than any other NL team (226). Not a good combination.

Additional Stats - Reds have the worst team FIP (fielding independent pitching) in the NL at 4.39. Using xFIP - which uses a league average for homers allowed - Reds are still 15th in the league with a 4.03.

Here are the ERAs for the starting pitchers - Cueto 2.27. Bailey 3.00. Leake 5.03. Arroyo 5.37. Wood 5.72. Volquez 6.35.

Wood has allowed the most earned runs in the NL, except for Dempster of Cubs. Arroyo has allowed the most homers in the NL, except for Myers of Astros. Volquez has allowed the most walks in the NL, except for Sanchez of Giants.

Fielding - Reds with 29 errors, fourth in league behind leader Phils with 26. Reds with good FPCT of .987. Reds DER (MLB.com) is sixth in the league.

Additional stat: Reds UZR rating of 23.4 is the best in the NL according to Fangraphs.

Any question what the problem is?

mbgrayson
06-06-2011, 02:58 PM
Well, let's take a closer look at the bullpen:

Sorted by ERA:

Jose Arredondo: 11.2 IP, 6 BB, 10Ks, and a 1.54 ERA
Francisco Cordero: 28.1 IP, 8 BB, 21 Ks, 11 /13 saves, and a 1.59 ERA
Bill Bray: 20.1 IP, 8 BBs, 16 Ks, and a 1.77 ERA
Logan Ondrusek: 32.2 IP, 12 BBs, 27 Ks, and a 193 ERA
Jeremy Horst: 7.1 IP, 4 BB, 6Ks, and a 2.45 ERA
Sam Lecure: 34 IP, 8 BB, 30 ks, and a 3.18 ERA
Carlos Fisher: 13 IP, 8 BBs, 8 Ks, and a 3.46 ERA
Nick Masset: 31.1 IP, 16 BBs, 34 Ks, and a 4.31 ERA
Aroldis Chapman: 13 IP, 20 BBs, 15 Ks, and a 6.92 ERA
Matt Maloney: 15 IP(1 GS), 4 BBs, 12 Ks, and a 7.20 ERA
Jordan Smith: 20 IP, 8 BBs, 13 Ks, and a 7.20 ERA

I still think this bullpen can be pretty good .....