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View Full Version : Dontrelle Willis: did I read this right?



Brutus
07-07-2011, 05:30 PM
I follow Louisville, but not as closely as many here. So when looking at Willis' stats today, I saw a lot of good things: BB/9 less than 2.5, a 3.3:1 K/BB ratio, 64% strikes which is sufficient, only 5 homers in 75 innings, etc.

But here's what jumped out at me: 3:1 GB:FB ratio.

Is that accurate? If so, this might turn out to be a tremendous addition for Cincinnati.

mattfeet
07-07-2011, 05:36 PM
Yep, that's right. Ive been following D-Train pretty closely since we signed him. He's been killing it in AAA lately, and it's been rumored that a lot of teams have interest in him. Im glad it seems that he'll get a shot soon with the MLB club. About time.

-Matt

Brutus
07-07-2011, 05:38 PM
Yep, that's right. Ive been following D-Train pretty closely since we signed him. He's been killing it in AAA lately, and it's been rumored that a lot of teams have interest in him. Im glad it seems that he'll get a shot soon with the MLB club. About time.

-Matt

Great to hear, thanks.

The Reds could use someone that doesn't walk guys and keeps the ball on the ground. Cueto and Leake have been doing it. Bailey is capable of it. But getting another guy in the rotation to do that would be tremendous. Hopefully Willis' turnaround is legit.

Orenda
07-07-2011, 05:38 PM
I follow Louisville, but not as closely as many here. So when looking at Willis' stats today, I saw a lot of good things: BB/9 less than 2.5, a 3.3:1 K/BB ratio, 64% strikes which is sufficient, only 5 homers in 75 innings, etc.

But here's what jumped out at me: 3:1 GB:FB ratio.

Is that accurate? If so, this might turn out to be a tremendous addition for Cincinnati.

supposedly he has found a little extra velocity as well, at least according to his agent.

mattfeet
07-07-2011, 05:40 PM
Yea, I believe he's hitting 94-95 routinely, no?

-Matt

Orenda
07-07-2011, 05:56 PM
Yea, I believe he's hitting 94-95 routinely, no?

-Matt

That is what I was thinking. I always liked watching Dontrelle, other than Arroyo, he is still the most accomplished starter in the Reds system.

AtomicDumpling
07-07-2011, 06:28 PM
The only thing I worry about with Dontrelle is his mental state. There is no question he has the arm and the stuff to succeed because he used to be an excellent MLB pitcher. Did he have any arm problems after that? It seems to me when he had those awful years it was because he fell apart mentally. It sure looks like he has gotten his head screwed on straight again now. I can't wait to see how he does for the Reds.

RedLegSuperStar
07-07-2011, 06:43 PM
He will start Sunday against the Brewers

dougdirt
07-07-2011, 06:44 PM
Dontrelle Willis in AAA: 54% GB rate.

Brutus
07-07-2011, 06:55 PM
Dontrelle Willis in AAA: 54% GB rate.

The numbers don't seem to jive quite right, though 54% is obviously excellent. If Baseball America's 2.97 GB:FB is correct, that means his FB% is 18.1%. That's possible, though it also means his LD% is as high as 27% which is a bit shaky.

Either way, he's having a good year and I hope it continues. I was just curious if those numbers were accurate.

dougdirt
07-07-2011, 07:01 PM
The numbers don't seem to jive quite right, though 54% is obviously excellent. If Baseball America's 2.97 GB:FB is correct, that means his FB% is 18.1%. That's possible, though it also means his LD% is as high as 27% which is a bit shaky.

Either way, he's having a good year and I hope it continues. I was just curious if those numbers were accurate.

http://firstinning.com/players/Dontrelle-Willis-a/

Brutus
07-07-2011, 07:08 PM
http://firstinning.com/players/Dontrelle-Willis-a/

Oh I went and looked at that, so I didn't mean to doubt you, I just meant I'm trying to reverse-engineer these numbers and decide if they're accurate. I suppose they could be, but I was nearly giddy at the thought of another extreme GB pitcher and didn't want to get my hopes up :D

Superdude
07-07-2011, 07:19 PM
He will start Sunday against the Brewers

Is this true? Who's spot is he taking?

reds44
07-07-2011, 07:20 PM
Is this true? Who's spot is he taking?
Considering Volquez got sent to AAA today, my money is on him. ;)

Superdude
07-07-2011, 07:24 PM
Considering Volquez got sent to AAA today, my money is on him. ;)

I didn't even hear that. Sorry Walt...maybe you aren't in a coma after all.

Big Klu
07-08-2011, 03:22 PM
Is this true? Who's spot is he taking?

He's taking Volquez's spot in the rotation.

He will probably take Fisher's spot on the roster. Carlos was called up to replace Volquez yesterday and give the Reds an extra reliever after the extra-inning game on Wednesday. He will likely be sent back down to make room for Willis.

Brutus
07-10-2011, 05:09 PM
He ended up with a 5-1 ratio today. So whatever he's doing for these new tendencies seems to be working.

dougdirt
07-10-2011, 05:13 PM
He ended up with a 5-1 ratio today. So whatever he's doing for these new tendencies seems to be working.

I don't know that it is something new exactly.


Year Team IP GB%
2006 Florida 223.3 50%
2007 Florida 205.3 48%
2008 Lake. 28.0 48%
2008 Toledo 28.3 53%
2008 Detroit 24.0 44%
2009 Toledo 24.3 61%
2009 Detroit 33.7 53%
2010 Detroit 43.3 47%
2010 Arizona 22.3 46%
2011 L'Ville 75.3 54%


For the better part of that time, he has been around 50%.

Brutus
07-10-2011, 05:16 PM
I don't know that it is something new exactly.


Year Team IP GB%
2006 Florida 223.3 50%
2007 Florida 205.3 48%
2008 Lake. 28.0 48%
2008 Toledo 28.3 53%
2008 Detroit 24.0 44%
2009 Toledo 24.3 61%
2009 Detroit 33.7 53%
2010 Detroit 43.3 47%
2010 Arizona 22.3 46%
2011 L'Ville 75.3 54%


For the better part of that time, he has been around 50%.

His career GB:FB ratio is 1.36. That's good, obviously, but nothing remotely like he's doing this year.