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View Full Version : Remaining Games among NL Central Contenders



LeDoux
07-21-2011, 10:54 PM
The three others contending teams play each other many more times over the remainder of the season:

Pirates and Cards = 13 games
Cards and Brewers = 12 games
Brewers and Pirates = 10 games

This means 35 games of automatic .500 ball averaged among all the current contenders. Best case scenario these teams split the various series and the Reds slowly catch up on the entire pack by playing anything over .500 ball. Worst case scenario is that one team takes the majority of the games and becomes the clear leader. But in that event, at least the Reds will only have one team to catch.

Other notes:

The Reds play each of these teams 3 more times.

Each team (Reds included) have 3 more games with the Phillies.

The bulk of the Reds games in Aug and Sept are against losing ballclubs.

texasdave
07-22-2011, 12:14 AM
Taniwha is waiting for me just below the surface so bright.
Even as we speak the Dirty Creature springs a nasty surprise.

Remaining schedule:


TEAM HOME AWAY .500+ PCT
MIL 34 28 32 0.475
CIN 34 30 29 0.482
STL 35 29 35 0.485
PIT 33 33 36 0.489

LeDoux
07-22-2011, 03:42 PM
Taniwha is waiting for me just below the surface so bright.
Even as we speak the Dirty Creature springs a nasty surprise.

Remaining schedule:


TEAM HOME AWAY .500+ PCT
MIL 34 28 32 0.475
CIN 34 30 29 0.482
STL 35 29 35 0.485
PIT 33 33 36 0.489


Don't anger the Taniwha.

Old NDN
07-24-2011, 01:14 PM
If the Brewers and/or Cards don't pull away this upcoming week, the Reds have a chance. They both take turns with the Cubs and Astros, while the Pirates have the Braves and Phils. We (Reds) need a hot week, or we can forget about any trade deadline help.

LeDoux
07-24-2011, 02:49 PM
If the Brewers and/or Cards don't pull away this upcoming week.

Yeah, I think that's the key. If the Reds can maintain .500 ball for this homestand and pick up or promote some help by the deadline - I like their chances. They will have 18 games remaining with winning teams. Nine of those are with the Pirates (6) and Mets (3) who may be under .500 by that time. Six are with the Cards (3) and Brewers (3). The Reds have winning records against both ballclubs. The remaining 3 games are versus the Phillies. Those three will be tough. The rest of the schedule (30) is versus losing ballclubs.

So if the Reds can make it to August, they pick up a significant tailwind at the same time the Brewers and Cards start beating up on each other. Until then it will be a game by game slog to keep in contention.

nux fan
07-24-2011, 03:09 PM
wow the cardinals have three runs off cy young charlie morton, something the reds have not done in three games