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gonelong
03-25-2011, 09:42 AM
Welcome to Gonelong's 10th annual Reds Win prediction thread. The history of the prediction threads are at the end of this post. For only the 2nd time in 9 seasons, tORG understimated the Reds win total, and did so by a mind-numbing 7.7 Wins.

Hopefully the Sundeck will once again organize a thread and take up this friendly challenge from the ORG. Last year tORG got "SunDecked" in this challenge so congratulations is owed to all the SunDeck members who participated.:clap: tORG holds a slim 2-1 advantage in the head-to-head challenge with the SunDeck looking to even the score this season.


As always, the prediction thread request is simple.

1. Give a number of Wins you project for the Reds 2011 season.
2. Make the prediction as honestly as you can. It's a prediction, not a hope. (Please, no 162-0 "predictions")
3. Feel free to wait for opening day to make your prediction.

When I return from opening day I'll compute the average guestimate for tORG. (One again, my brother was able to secure a ticket for me for the 4th year in a row. I have only missed one opening day since attending my first in 1996. Thanks bro!) In fact, I have a True Value Reds opening Day baseball from 1997 in my desk at work. Anybody else still have that one?

I cannot remember entering a reds season with such anticipation. My son is 7 this year and is very interested thanks to last season's showing. I am hearing much more chatter around the neighborhood and at work as well. I am hoping the Reds get out of the gate on solid footing so we can enjoy a season similar to last years.

My prediction for the Reds is that they will win 94 games this season.

Go Reds!

GL



Old Red Guard
YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta
-- -- ---- ---- -----
10 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=80997) 83.3, 91, 92 (- 7.7)
09 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74750) 79.0, 78, 76 (+ 1.0)
08 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66421) 81.6, 74, 72 (+ 7.6)
07 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=55913) 81.4, 72, 75 (+ 9.2)
06 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44503) 76.7, 80, 76 (- 3.3)
05 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33108) 84.7, 73, 75 (+ 11.7)
04 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21619) 76.8, 76, 67 (+ 0.8)
03 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9414) 87.9, 69, 63 (+ 18.9)
02 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4202) 79.7, 75, 75 (+ 4.7)

Sundeck
YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta
-- -- ---- ---- -----
10 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=80999) 84.6, 91, 92 (- 6.4)
09 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74617) 82.7, 78, 76 (+ 4.7)
08 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showpost.php?p=1591907&postcount=67) 85.1, 74, 72 (+ 11.1)

kaldaniels
03-25-2011, 09:45 AM
91 Wins for the Reds

Would be a bit higher but I've gotten terribly scared of the injury bug this past week so I hedged a little.

*BaseClogger*
03-25-2011, 09:52 AM
87-75

bucksfan2
03-25-2011, 10:05 AM
88 Wins.

BearcatShane
03-25-2011, 10:11 AM
94 wins

Tommyjohn25
03-25-2011, 10:18 AM
95 wins. I say they start a bit slow in April then catch fire and ride the wave to another Central title!

OesterPoster
03-25-2011, 10:20 AM
I'll be the pessimistic one thus far.

86 wins

oneupper
03-25-2011, 10:21 AM
81-81.

I'm worried about the rotation. (I'm always worried).

Homer Bailey
03-25-2011, 10:34 AM
89 wins.

Slyder
03-25-2011, 10:45 AM
89 wins. I don't believe we really improved but at the same time Cards loss of Wainright and the Brewers picking up Greinke I think keeps us at about the same level record wise.

Caveat Emperor
03-25-2011, 10:46 AM
82 wins.

I'd feel a lot better about this team if Edinson Volquez could throw strikes and if Johnny Cueto wasn't seemingly destined to miss at least 1 month of the season.

I also think they're going to miss Arthur Rhodes a lot more than people realize.

Always Red
03-25-2011, 10:47 AM
85

I think the pitching will be average.

Redsfan320
03-25-2011, 10:51 AM
92 wins

CE, I'm curious about your comment about missing Rhodes. You think Chap won't be able to adequately fill that role this year?

320

Unassisted
03-25-2011, 11:00 AM
90 wins.

CarolinaRedleg
03-25-2011, 11:02 AM
92 wins, repeat NLC champs.

Heath
03-25-2011, 11:06 AM
87 wins. Last year was awesome, but not expected. I think they will re-gress a bit, but look out 2012.

Razor Shines
03-25-2011, 11:08 AM
88 wins.

edabbs44
03-25-2011, 11:12 AM
88-74

RedsManRick
03-25-2011, 11:13 AM
87 wins

Quatitos
03-25-2011, 11:18 AM
93 wins

OnBaseMachine
03-25-2011, 11:18 AM
93 wins.

Patrick Bateman
03-25-2011, 11:23 AM
89 wins

Tom Servo
03-25-2011, 11:45 AM
85 wins

dabvu2498
03-25-2011, 11:54 AM
89

_Sir_Charles_
03-25-2011, 12:30 PM
Well, I'll stick to my earlier prediction.

96-66
NL Central Champs
NL Pennant

I'm not going to predict a WS victory...but I think we'll at least get there.

Bumstead
03-25-2011, 12:39 PM
92 Wins

Bum

GoReds
03-25-2011, 12:44 PM
89-73.

The Reds will suffer without a true leadoff hitter and a rotation that is seemingly in flux all year with injuries.

The Central is tougher overall this year, so the 89 wins actually takes the division.

Rising Star: Mesoraco

Crash 'n' Burn: Bailey (will not be back with the Reds next year)

Scrap Irony
03-25-2011, 01:01 PM
90 wins

Bruce takes a giant leap forward, Stubbs struggles a bit. Votto has another great year, though not as great as his MVP season of a year ago. Rolen wanes; Phillips has his best year since his first in Cincinnati. Most importantly, Francisco, Sappelt, Mesoraco, and others keep the Reds from struggling so badly, as depth is once again key to an NL Central title.

Yorman Rodriguez, Billy Hamilton, Yasmani Grandal, Ronald Torreyes, and Kyle Lotzkar all become Top 100 prospects next season, with Rodriguez and Hamilton mentioned in the Top 25.

The Cards struggle, the Brewers are okay, The Pirates and Atros are bad, but the surprise of the division is the second-place Cubs.

RedFanAlways1966
03-25-2011, 01:05 PM
74 wins.

Injuries bite our fav team. Dusty is let go. RZ needs heavy moderation in the ORG.

dfs
03-25-2011, 01:11 PM
87 wins. Regression will out.

Eric_the_Red
03-25-2011, 01:27 PM
88-74

New Fever
03-25-2011, 01:28 PM
98 wins.

redsmetz
03-25-2011, 01:32 PM
I think I lowballed my usual hopeful expectations last year. I'm inclined to temper it a bit this year, but will go with the nice round 90 wins.

Plus Plus
03-25-2011, 01:39 PM
92-70, NL Central Division Champs

cumberlandreds
03-25-2011, 01:41 PM
93 and NL Central champs again.

RichRed
03-25-2011, 01:41 PM
86 wins.

lollipopcurve
03-25-2011, 01:44 PM
83-79

Pitching staff too wobbly for my liking right now, and the offense has some real question marks, including Rolen's durability.

traderumor
03-25-2011, 01:48 PM
92

I don't have the Spring Training or injury jitters, same/better D behind same/better pitchers, yet folks worried about the rotation? Curious.

Screwball
03-25-2011, 01:52 PM
88-74.

Strikes Out Looking
03-25-2011, 01:53 PM
90 wins, win division by one game.

thatcoolguy_22
03-25-2011, 01:57 PM
100. Century mark. I really like this team in a weak Central division

Caveman Techie
03-25-2011, 02:03 PM
90

TRF
03-25-2011, 02:05 PM
97 wins

reds1869
03-25-2011, 02:05 PM
93 wins.

mbgrayson
03-25-2011, 02:54 PM
I'll go 89 wins, 73 losses.

reds44
03-25-2011, 03:35 PM
94 wins.

cincyinco
03-25-2011, 03:41 PM
Put me down for 90 wins..

Joseph
03-25-2011, 03:51 PM
88 wins

TheBurn
03-25-2011, 04:06 PM
94 Ws :cool:

KronoRed
03-25-2011, 04:13 PM
87-75

AtomicDumpling
03-25-2011, 04:38 PM
88 wins.

RFS62
03-25-2011, 05:41 PM
88 wins.

cincrazy
03-25-2011, 05:44 PM
87 wins, fall just short of playoffs. Missing Bailey and Cueto so early in the season comes back to bite them.

Caveat Emperor
03-25-2011, 06:17 PM
With Bailey going out with another mystery ailment, I'd like to revise my prediction downward to 78 wins.

Volquez can't find the strike zone, Leake has been outright ineffective this spring, Cueto has a mystery arm ailment, Bailey has a mystery arm ailment...

Guys like LeCure and Maloney are nice spot-start insurance, but if this team has to rely on either of them for extended runs like I think they might, there's no way this team is posting a record north of .500.

Degenerate39
03-25-2011, 06:20 PM
92 wins

GOYA
03-25-2011, 06:21 PM
88 wins

Always Red
03-25-2011, 06:26 PM
Volquez can't find the strike zone, Leake has been outright ineffective this spring, Cueto has a mystery arm ailment, Bailey has a mystery arm ailment...


and Arroyo is sick.

It's like hitting the trifecta or something.

in a bad way

mth123
03-25-2011, 07:36 PM
86 wins.

Runs allowed stay about the same maybe slightly worse. Runs Scored drop by 50 or so.

Redsfaithful
03-25-2011, 07:41 PM
96-66

marcshoe
03-25-2011, 07:46 PM
97 wins. Weaker than expected division and league.

Az Red
03-25-2011, 11:49 PM
98-64 missed it by 1 last year. Go Reds!

Kc61
03-26-2011, 12:33 AM
95 wins and a home field advantage in the first playoff round.

Depth will win out.

WVRedsFan
03-26-2011, 12:39 AM
91-71.

Reds Fanatic
03-26-2011, 11:20 AM
90 wins

VR
03-26-2011, 11:53 AM
99

dunner13
03-26-2011, 12:06 PM
95 wins

wheels
03-26-2011, 04:20 PM
Up to this week, I was going to predict 94 wins.

Now I think it's going to be 89. They're going to stumble through the first couple of months, and it could even be ugly. They should rebound, though.

kbrake
03-26-2011, 05:18 PM
90.

dougdirt
03-26-2011, 05:23 PM
I will go ahead and just toss out a guess of 88 wins. Pure guess, I don't want to do all of the math today.

The Voice of IH
03-26-2011, 05:42 PM
97 wins

I said they would win 100 as soon as the season ended but I am taking down my prediction just a notch. ;)

muddie
03-26-2011, 07:09 PM
I believe the Reds will regress this year. Starting out with three of the five starters not ready to go and Leake not really earning a rotation spot, I think things will be tough to start. This division is going to be tight and the slow start is going to cost these guys.
An 83-79 finish does not win the Central.

I predict Dusty will be under the gun on this board as he was last year when things were less than comfortable. I see lots of player personnel movement up and down the chain as there will be early struggles and some discontentment as reality sets in. The team will regroup and get healthy going into the second half but can't make up the woes of the first two months of the season.

Winning the division last year was not a surprise to me as I thought they were better than most pundits did. I said last year that I thought this year was their year to really break out. But now I am very concerned with the rotation starting out in the mode they will be, very iffy.

Look for some moves at the trade deadline that will clear the picture for coming years regarding the logjam of some positions in the chain. I believe by years end that two of the five starters will be gone from this club.

Edd Roush
03-26-2011, 08:36 PM
Give me 88-74.

Edd Roush
03-26-2011, 08:36 PM
Give me 88-74.

thatcoolguy_22
03-26-2011, 08:45 PM
I initially put 100, but I am changing it to 90. I like round numbers and I'm worried about Cueto missing significant time.

Will M
03-26-2011, 08:48 PM
I am going to side with the pessimists.

1) there are questions about each of our starters other than Travis Wood
2) sounds like left field is going to go from my original +3 WAR estimate to +1 WAR
3) I am knocking a fat 7 wins off of my pre spring training estimate
4) then adding two back since I am a big homer

85-77

MWM
03-26-2011, 10:15 PM
I've always been one of the lowest predictors, but I have genuine optimism this year.

I'll say 95-67.

Reds/Flyers Fan
03-26-2011, 10:20 PM
The rotation isn't as strong as they think it is, and it wasn't addressed despite its obvious shortcomings in the NLDS.

Ditto LF.

80 wins

The Voice of IH
03-26-2011, 10:36 PM
I am not sure if it is acceptable to post about the predictions here, and if it is not please scorn me....but

I am genuinely shocked about the low predictions I am seeing about this up coming season. I picked 97 wins, and though I realize it may be reaching, I am taken a back by the lower numbers on here. Are the Reds really just and average team? Placing about 85 wins and not making the playoffs?

MississippiRed
03-26-2011, 10:49 PM
90 wins (plus at least 5 in the playoffs)!

Captain Hook
03-26-2011, 11:01 PM
90 wins

NC Reds
03-26-2011, 11:39 PM
89 wins.

redsfaninbsg
03-27-2011, 12:53 AM
85 wins, I'm seriously worried about the injuries in the rotation. At least they get one of those dreaded west coast trips out of the way early.

Mario-Rijo
03-27-2011, 08:32 AM
89 Wins, NL Central Champs, NL Representatives in the World Series where we lose 4-2 to Boston.

membengal
03-27-2011, 09:21 AM
83 wins. And could easily be lower. The wave of injuries to the staff and the strike throwing issues some are exhibiting better resolve favorably soon to make the higher predictions in here remotely attainable.

1990REDS
03-27-2011, 09:21 AM
81 wins

membengal
03-27-2011, 09:23 AM
With Bailey going out with another mystery ailment, I'd like to revise my prediction downward to 78 wins.

Volquez can't find the strike zone, Leake has been outright ineffective this spring, Cueto has a mystery arm ailment, Bailey has a mystery arm ailment...

Guys like LeCure and Maloney are nice spot-start insurance, but if this team has to rely on either of them for extended runs like I think they might, there's no way this team is posting a record north of .500.

This all captures my concern completely.

fugowitribe
03-27-2011, 09:52 AM
90 wins, but I don't think that wins the NL Central. It will be hard to repeat when we continue to struggle with supereior opponents and the Brewers and Cubs look to contend. Last year it was Lose to the Cards and win the rest, but I just don't see the rest being as easy. Still optomistic though. Fast Start with Bailey and Cueto on the DL will gain national attention, struggles with better teams will keep us from running away with it, but in the end Fransisco will be the everyday third basemen due to a Rolen injury and his bat leads us down the stretch and hits 30 HR for the year.

UKFlounder
03-27-2011, 10:34 AM
78 wins

alloverjr
03-27-2011, 12:21 PM
78 wins as well.

nate
03-27-2011, 01:40 PM
Since they eclipsed the 81 win mark last season, I say: 87 wins.

JaxRed
03-27-2011, 02:32 PM
About 94 wins. Bruce finally emerges all year, Stubbs is more consistent. Potential Issues are Dusty riding slumping guys in LF or 3b. Starting depth overcomes any issues. Bullpen solid.

LoganBuck
03-27-2011, 03:23 PM
84

REDblooded
03-27-2011, 03:52 PM
91 wins...

BoydsOfSummer
03-27-2011, 05:27 PM
89

Central Champeens.

SirFelixCat
03-27-2011, 05:48 PM
95.

They may start slow due to some of the minor injuries here and there, but I don't see this team as WORSE than last year. I'm really shocked at the majority in here, wow.

top6
03-27-2011, 06:57 PM
72 wins.

OUReds
03-27-2011, 07:30 PM
87 wins

pahster
03-27-2011, 07:51 PM
90 wins.

WebScorpion
03-27-2011, 08:05 PM
94-68, Repeat as NL Central Champions, and play much better in the playoffs, but fall just short in the NLCS.

This team led the NL in OBP and SLG last season and I think their offense will IMPROVE.

I also think they'll cobble together a slightly better overall pitching performance even though there are many questions for the rotation at the beginning of the season. I think Lecure and Maloney (heck even Scott Carroll did it) can keep this offense close enough to win. I think Homer and Cueto will return fairly quickly and finish strong anyway.

I can't see any injuries to the starting eight causing much of a problem. Votto being replaced by Alonso may be the worst that could happen. I think Francisco can give us more offense than Rolen, but we'd take a big hit on defense. Conversely, Sappelt could give us more OBP, less SLG, and a big boost to the defense in left. I think he and Mesoraco will be part of the starting eight by the end of the season (and during the playoffs) whether by force or by (injury)chance.

Cheers!
:beerme:

Dan
03-27-2011, 08:33 PM
I'm thinking 88 wins. The offense will be there, and the pitching will come around, but it will take some time for everything to gel. This team isn't quite there yet coming out of the gate.

RANDY IN INDY
03-27-2011, 08:42 PM
86 wins

Caveat Emperor
03-27-2011, 10:24 PM
I am genuinely shocked about the low predictions I am seeing about this up coming season. I picked 97 wins, and though I realize it may be reaching, I am taken a back by the lower numbers on here. Are the Reds really just and average team? Placing about 85 wins and not making the playoffs?

They're a below-average team if post-ASB Mike Leake (which we're still seeing this spring), Matt Maloney, and Sam LeCure have to log significant innings out of the rotation.

Cueto and Bailey have no set timetable for their return (Debut?), no firm diagnosis of what exactly the problem is, and no real treatment plan other than "rest and hope it gets better." As was pointed out in another thread, they could hop back on the mound in mid-April and experience the exact same pains/ailments that sidelined them in the first place and it would be back to square one. And, of the healthy bodies, Volquez looks like he needs GPS and a personal navigator to find the strike zone, and Bronson Arroyo has an illness which has a primary symptom of fatigue and weakness -- perfect for any pitcher you're counting on to do heavy lifting for a rotation.

The rotation, currently, is an outright disaster. If Bailey and Cueto come back before the start of May, I think the team can do well and compete for a playoff spot. If both those guys are missing come June / July, I don't see how this team posts a winning record.

Screwball
03-27-2011, 10:39 PM
72 wins.

http://www.lies.com/wp/images/2009/12/srsly.jpg

paintmered
03-28-2011, 12:37 AM
84 wins and the most disappointing season since 2000.

It doesn't help to have all those starting arms if they're either off form or on the shelf. The starting pitching won't be broken all year, but it's cause for concern and a root cause if this team fails to meet expectations. That being said, I think this team has a ceiling of around 98 wins if they can work through their issues. That is, they have a chance to be very good.

fearofpopvol1
03-28-2011, 01:07 AM
My head says 87 but my heart says 88. I usually go with my head, but will go with my heart this time and say 88.

GAC
03-28-2011, 04:33 AM
89-73

Interesting, but justified, seeing so many low predictions due to the current volatility of our pitching staff right now.

yab1112
03-28-2011, 05:32 AM
I say 93 wins. Not too scared about the early pitching injuries, it's a long season. Overall, I think it'll shake out much like last year.

camisadelgolf
03-28-2011, 06:45 AM
92 wins + pennant

Redhook
03-28-2011, 07:41 AM
87 wins. A couple of weeks ago, I would've said 90+. Hoping these arm issues don't linger all season.

Roy Tucker
03-28-2011, 08:06 AM
97 wins.

Reds stumble early and then catch fire late April and keep the foot on the accelerator through September. Cards finally stop overachieving and the Brewers improvement was all on paper.

Crosley68
03-28-2011, 08:18 AM
99-63

Chip R
03-28-2011, 10:00 AM
91

Raisor
03-28-2011, 10:36 AM
86

Benihana
03-28-2011, 02:45 PM
91 and a division crown. Same as last year.

Hoosier Red
03-28-2011, 02:49 PM
I say 92 wins. I think Edison and one other have excellent(rather than simply above average)years. And I think Lecure "breaks out" to be the reliable 5th starter this team will surprisingly need all year.

redsfan30
03-28-2011, 03:31 PM
87 wins.

Puffy
03-28-2011, 04:12 PM
89

westofyou
03-28-2011, 04:14 PM
89

RedsBaron
03-28-2011, 07:25 PM
93-69, 1st in division

Ron Madden
03-29-2011, 04:28 AM
I'd love to say the Reds will win 96 games in 2011 but I think they'll win 86.

Ghosts of 1990
03-29-2011, 11:47 AM
90 wins. Three less than the Brewers. :rolleyes:

coachw513
03-29-2011, 12:37 PM
89 wins

pedro
03-29-2011, 12:42 PM
87

Cyclone792
03-29-2011, 09:05 PM
87 wins.

If the starting pitching was healthy, then I'd have been ready to hit 90. But I'm worried about the current injury situation and this organization's tendency for minor injuries to drag on.

Boss-Hog
03-29-2011, 10:32 PM
89 wins

Red in Chicago
03-29-2011, 11:02 PM
88 wins

jmcclain19
03-30-2011, 04:01 AM
87 wins

RED VAN HOT
03-30-2011, 03:38 PM
87

The key to winning over 90 is having one of Volquez, Bailey or Cueto becoming a dominant pitcher. All three are behind schedule.

George Anderson
03-30-2011, 03:38 PM
90 wins

Need a healthy Rolen and the pitching staff to meet expectations.

BuckeyeRedleg
03-30-2011, 05:12 PM
86-76

A minor step back

forfreelin04
03-30-2011, 05:28 PM
I was negative for the first time last year.

Karma......77 wins

MattyHo4Life
03-30-2011, 09:32 PM
87 wins.

If the starting pitching was healthy, then I'd have been ready to hit 90. But I'm worried about the current injury situation and this organization's tendency for minor injuries to drag on.

What about the Reds depth though? Shouldn't that make up for the injuries?

Red in Chicago
03-30-2011, 10:16 PM
What about the Reds depth though? Shouldn't that make up for the injuries?

Depth - don't believe the hype...

redsfandan
03-31-2011, 01:19 AM
92 Wins

WMR
03-31-2011, 11:29 AM
94 baby!!! :cool:

Gimme some of that Duhsty KOOL AID!!! :lol:

klw
03-31-2011, 11:38 AM
83

Guacarock
03-31-2011, 08:07 PM
90 -- nice and even.

gonelong
04-01-2011, 01:05 PM
127 ORG participants this year, 89.1 average.



Old Red Guard
YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta
-- -- ---- ---- -----
11 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=88209) 89.1, ??, ?? (??.?)
10 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=80997) 83.3, 91, 92 (- 7.7)
09 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74750) 79.0, 78, 76 (+ 1.0)
08 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66421) 81.6, 74, 72 (+ 7.6)
07 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=55913) 81.4, 72, 75 (+ 9.2)
06 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44503) 76.7, 80, 76 (- 3.3)
05 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33108) 84.7, 73, 75 (+ 11.7)
04 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21619) 76.8, 76, 67 (+ 0.8)
03 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9414) 87.9, 69, 63 (+ 18.9)
02 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4202) 79.7, 75, 75 (+ 4.7)

Sundeck
YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta
-- -- ---- ---- -----
11 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=88262) ??.?, ??, ?? (??.?)
10 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=80999) 84.6, 91, 92 (- 6.4)
09 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74617) 82.7, 78, 76 (+ 4.7)
08 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showpost.php?p=1591907&postcount=67) 85.1, 74, 72 (+ 11.1)




2011 ORG Predictions:


72 top6
74 RedFanAlwasy1966
77 forfreelin04
78 Caveat Emperor
78 UKFlounder
78 alloverjr
80 Reds/Flyers Fan
81 oneupper
81 1990REDS
83 lollipopcurve
83 muddie
83 membengal
83 klw
84 LoganBuck
84 paintmered
85 Always Red
85 Tom Servo
85 Will M
85 redfsfaninbsg
86 OesterPoster
86 RichRed
86 mth123
86 RANDY IN CHAR NC
86 Raisor
86 Ron Madden
86 BuckeyeRedleg
87 *BaseClogger
87 Heath
87 RedsManRick
87 dfs
87 KronoRed
87 cincrazy
87 nate
87 OUReds
87 fearofpopvol1
87 Redhook
87 redsfan30
87 pedro
87 Cyclone792
87 jmcclain19
87 RED VAN HOT
88 bucksfan2
88 Razor Shines
88 edabbs44
88 Eric the Red
88 Screwball
88 Joseph
88 AtomicDumpling
88 RFS62
88 GOYA
88 dougdirt
88 Edd Roush
88 Dan
88 Red in Chicago
89 Homer Bailey
89 Slyeder
89 Patrick Bateman
89 dabvu2498
89 goReds
89 mbgrayson
89 wheels
89 NC Reds
89 Mario-Rijo
89 BoydsofSummer
89 GAC
89 Puffy
89 westofyou
89 coachw513
89 Boss-Hog
90 Unassisted
90 Scrap Irony
90 redsmetz
90 Strikes Out Looking
90 thatcoolguy 22
90 redlegz
90 cincyinco
90 Reds Fanatic
90 kbrake
90 MississippiRed
90 Captain Hook
90 fugowitribe
90 pahster
90 Ghost of 1990
90 George Anderson
90 Guacarock
91 kaldaniels
91 WVRedsFan
91 REDblooded
91 Chip R
91 Benihana
92 Redsfan320
92 CarolinaRedleg
92 Bumstead
92 Plus Plus
92 traderumor
92 Degenerate39
92 camisadelgolf
92 Hoosier Red
92 redsfandan
93 Quatitos
93 OnBaseMachine
93 cumberlandreds
93 reds1869
93 yab1112
93 RedsBaron
94 gonelong
94 BearcatShaen
94 reds44
94 TheBurn
94 JaxRed
94 WebScorpion
94 WMR
95 Tommyjohn25
95 Kc61
95 dunner13
95 MWM
95 SirFelixCat
96 _Sir_Charles
96 Redsfaithful
97 TRF
97 tixe
97 The Voice of IH
97 RoyTucker
98 New Fever
98 Az Red
99 VR
99 Crosley68

Cyclone792
04-01-2011, 01:44 PM
127 ORG participants this year, 89.1 average.



Old Red Guard
YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta
-- -- ---- ---- -----
11 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=88209) 89.1, ??, ?? (??.?)
10 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=80997) 83.3, 91, 92 (- 7.7)
09 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74750) 79.0, 78, 76 (+ 1.0)
08 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66421) 81.6, 74, 72 (+ 7.6)
07 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=55913) 81.4, 72, 75 (+ 9.2)
06 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44503) 76.7, 80, 76 (- 3.3)
05 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33108) 84.7, 73, 75 (+ 11.7)
04 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21619) 76.8, 76, 67 (+ 0.8)
03 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9414) 87.9, 69, 63 (+ 18.9)
02 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4202) 79.7, 75, 75 (+ 4.7)


As a group, we underperformed by nearly eight games last year. Let's hope that 2011 brings similar results.

RichRed
04-01-2011, 02:06 PM
I feel like I might've mentioned this before, but it would be interesting to see which posters have been the most accurate, on average, over the 10 years of this great thread.

gonelong
04-02-2011, 10:08 PM
I feel like I might've mentioned this before, but it would be interesting to see which posters have been the most accurate, on average, over the 10 years of this great thread.

The links are there to every prediction thread, knock yourself out. :D

GL

Razor Shines
04-03-2011, 08:38 PM
Why didn't anyone take 162-0? Clearly that's what's gonna happen.

_Sir_Charles_
04-04-2011, 08:53 AM
Why didn't anyone take 162-0? Clearly that's what's gonna happen.

I was gonna....but I didn't want to be viewed as a homer. :O)

RBA
04-04-2011, 09:01 AM
103-58
1 game rained out and not made up due to Reds clinching division early.

Mario-Rijo
04-06-2011, 07:06 AM
89 Wins, NL Central Champs, NL Representatives in the World Series where we WIN 4-2 VS. Boston.

There fixed that for ya, me. :thumbup:

Mario-Rijo
04-06-2011, 08:07 AM
I feel like I might've mentioned this before, but it would be interesting to see which posters have been the most accurate, on average, over the 10 years of this great thread.

I just briefly ran thru it, no one stood out too much recently. alloverjr was killing it there for about 4-5 years. edabbs had a nice little 3 year run 07-09 (not sure what happened after that). I feel like I have done pretty fair the last few years, I at least was in the neighborhood. Problem was I kept listening to my head when my gut was calling it much closer, which I find extremely interesting.

'10 - Actual: 91 wins, Sir Charles was the only one who hit it on the head, but Johnny Footstool said 92 and the Central Champs. I had 85 but I did say my gut was calling for 87-88.

'09 - Actual: 78 wins, a host of people hit that including yours truly although midseason I wasn't feeling so optimistic then they went on a tear.

Prior to that I stunk. Which is why I did a combination of head (89 wins) and now gut (World Series Champs) predictions this year. And I gotta tell ya this start although not really all that surprising considering the opponents is making me feel pretty good about my gut feeling.

AmarilloRed
04-08-2011, 01:37 PM
90 wins.

RichRed
04-08-2011, 01:43 PM
The links are there to every prediction thread, knock yourself out. :D

GL

That is NOT the answer I was hoping for.

gonelong
07-05-2011, 05:07 PM
Updated with Sundeck predictions (thanks texasdave!)

GL



127 ORG participants this year, 89.1 average.
37 SD participants this year, 88.6 average.



Old Red Guard
YR ORG Act Ptgh Delta
-- -- ---- ---- -----
11 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=88209) 89.1, ??, ?? (??.?)
10 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=80997) 83.3, 91, 92 (- 7.7)
09 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74750) 79.0, 78, 76 (+ 1.0)
08 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66421) 81.6, 74, 72 (+ 7.6)
07 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=55913) 81.4, 72, 75 (+ 9.2)
06 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44503) 76.7, 80, 76 (- 3.3)
05 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33108) 84.7, 73, 75 (+ 11.7)
04 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21619) 76.8, 76, 67 (+ 0.8)
03 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9414) 87.9, 69, 63 (+ 18.9)
02 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4202) 79.7, 75, 75 (+ 4.7)

Sundeck
YR SD Act Ptgh Delta
-- -- ---- ---- -----
11 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=88262) 88.6, ??, ?? (??.?)
10 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=80999) 84.6, 91, 92 (- 6.4)
09 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74617) 82.7, 78, 76 (+ 4.7)
08 (http://www.redszone.com/forums/showpost.php?p=1591907&postcount=67) 85.1, 74, 72 (+ 11.1)




2011 ORG Predictions:


72 top6
74 RedFanAlwasy1966
77 forfreelin04
78 Caveat Emperor
78 UKFlounder
78 alloverjr
80 Reds/Flyers Fan
81 oneupper
81 1990REDS
83 lollipopcurve
83 muddie
83 membengal
83 klw
84 LoganBuck
84 paintmered
85 Always Red
85 Tom Servo
85 Will M
85 redfsfaninbsg
86 OesterPoster
86 RichRed
86 mth123
86 RANDY IN CHAR NC
86 Raisor
86 Ron Madden
86 BuckeyeRedleg
87 *BaseClogger
87 Heath
87 RedsManRick
87 dfs
87 KronoRed
87 cincrazy
87 nate
87 OUReds
87 fearofpopvol1
87 Redhook
87 redsfan30
87 pedro
87 Cyclone792
87 jmcclain19
87 RED VAN HOT
88 bucksfan2
88 Razor Shines
88 edabbs44
88 Eric the Red
88 Screwball
88 Joseph
88 AtomicDumpling
88 RFS62
88 GOYA
88 dougdirt
88 Edd Roush
88 Dan
88 Red in Chicago
89 Homer Bailey
89 Slyeder
89 Patrick Bateman
89 dabvu2498
89 goReds
89 mbgrayson
89 wheels
89 NC Reds
89 Mario-Rijo
89 BoydsofSummer
89 GAC
89 Puffy
89 westofyou
89 coachw513
89 Boss-Hog
90 Unassisted
90 Scrap Irony
90 redsmetz
90 Strikes Out Looking
90 thatcoolguy 22
90 redlegz
90 cincyinco
90 Reds Fanatic
90 kbrake
90 MississippiRed
90 Captain Hook
90 fugowitribe
90 pahster
90 Ghost of 1990
90 George Anderson
90 Guacarock
91 kaldaniels
91 WVRedsFan
91 REDblooded
91 Chip R
91 Benihana
92 Redsfan320
92 CarolinaRedleg
92 Bumstead
92 Plus Plus
92 traderumor
92 Degenerate39
92 camisadelgolf
92 Hoosier Red
92 redsfandan
93 Quatitos
93 OnBaseMachine
93 cumberlandreds
93 reds1869
93 yab1112
93 RedsBaron
94 gonelong
94 BearcatShaen
94 reds44
94 TheBurn
94 JaxRed
94 WebScorpion
94 WMR
95 Tommyjohn25
95 Kc61
95 dunner13
95 MWM
95 SirFelixCat
96 _Sir_Charles
96 Redsfaithful
97 TRF
97 tixe
97 The Voice of IH
97 RoyTucker
98 New Fever
98 Az Red
99 VR
99 Crosley68



2011 SD Predictions:


Oxblood 97
Bill Clawski 97
OGB 96
Tadasimha 95
Reds 94
VottoFan54 93
Eric the Red 93
Roush's socks 92
NeilHamburger 92
freestyle55 92
DirtyBaker 92
TheBigLebowski 91
LetsGoReds11 91
BuckeyeRed27 91
wlf WV 90
texasdave 90
bshall2105 90
topcat31 89
mattwellsey 89
code 89
Captain13 89
Who Dey Time 88
New York Red 88
Kingspoint 88
DaytonFlyer 88
Brisco 88
will5979 87
Ledoux 87
nmculbreth 86
Knightro28 86
Chris Sabowned 86
davereds24 82
Jefferson24 81
RedsLvr 80
Rev Doo-Rag 79
mu4103 79
redsfanmia 74