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oneupper
08-25-2011, 04:49 PM
Nice column by Jeff Passan. Votto is mentioned a couple of times.


3. Votto’s ability to avoid popouts might be more impressive than Kendrick and Young’s.


4. Votto’s swing against fastballs is the single best weapon in baseball this year.

Here's the link. Nice read for the stat-geeks.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=Aji5.sPYugpjSeF3GpsVWlYRvLYF?slug=jp-passan_25_things_you_did_not_know_about_baseball_0 82511

RedFanAlways1966
08-25-2011, 08:08 PM
Thanks for the link. #8 does not bode well for a couple of REDS hurlers. None of us should be shocked though when reading #8.

marcshoe
08-25-2011, 08:44 PM
Arroyo's change being ineffective means that he has been largely ineffective. Arroyo lives and dies on location and velocity changes. This season, he's mostly died.

I'm a long-time Arroyo, but his stubbornness about going on the DL hurts the team. I've believed for some time that teams need to take more control in this area. Don't let a player tell you he's okay and can keep going out there when he obviously can't; it hurts both the player and the team long-term.

camisadelgolf
08-25-2011, 09:13 PM
Arroyo was simply due for some major regression. Once his numbers normalize, he'll look the Arroyo we knew in 2007-9. I realize that a WHIP of 1.37 is hardly excellent, but it's not exactly disastrous either. Some good news is that he has been pretty good lately, posting a 2.91 ERA in August over 34 innings. Production-wise, he's merely a good month away from having a season you'd typically expect out of him.

marcshoe
08-25-2011, 09:21 PM
His last start was his best of the year, iirc. While he often has serious first half/second half splits, he's looked like a different pitcher for most of this season. If he hasn't been left to decide how to deal with his Mono or whatever it is, that is at the least the way it appears to have gone down. That's no way to operate a multi-million dollar business.

redsmetz
08-26-2011, 05:41 AM
Surprised no one mentioned this other Reds tidbits:

On Volquez:


8. Not even two stints in the minor leagues this season could save Edinson Volquez(notes) from having the worst pitch in the big leagues.

Hard as always at 93.8 mph, Volquez’s fastball shouldn’t be the disaster it is. But it’s tough to argue with minus-21.4 runs

And Jose Aredondo turns up on the list of relief pitchers who throw the same type of pitch the most. In his case, it's the split finger fastball, which he throws 48.4% of the time.

Perhaps someone whose familiar with Fangraphs can explain in more detail what the -21.4 runs means exactly. I can infer that being a negative number and being large, it's really bad.

signalhome
08-26-2011, 08:13 AM
Surprised no one mentioned this other Reds tidbits:

On Volquez:


And Jose Aredondo turns up on the list of relief pitchers who throw the same type of pitch the most. In his case, it's the split finger fastball, which he throws 48.4% of the time.

Perhaps someone whose familiar with Fangraphs can explain in more detail what the -21.4 runs means exactly. I can infer that being a negative number and being large, it's really bad.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/pitch-type-linear-weights-explained/

A pretty good explanation and a helpful example can be found there. Essentially, his fastball has cost the Reds 21.4 in run expectancy this year; obviously, that's really bad. A better measure of pitch value is probably wFB/C, since it adjusts wFB (total run expectancy value provided to his team by that pitch) to a per 100 pitches number (run expectancy value provided to his team per 100 pitches of that type), so we get a better estimation of exactly how valuable that pitch is.

kaldaniels
08-26-2011, 01:24 PM
Chris Young, the "king" of pop-outs has 38 this year. Granted there are technicalities given where the ball lands, but how I wonder how many weak popouts Mr. Paul Janish has this season.