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texasdave
09-14-2011, 11:28 PM
Adam Dunn has no infield hits this season. None. Zero. Zip. Amazing.

texasdave
09-14-2011, 11:33 PM
Billy Beane is sooooo overrated. Another wonderful season turned in by those Moneyball As. I remember when everyone thought Beane walked on water. Any time a team made a trade with Oakland, everyone immediately figured they got snookered. Reality gets everyone in the end.

webbbj
09-14-2011, 11:34 PM
i woulda been more surprised if he did have one.

texasdave
09-14-2011, 11:45 PM
Those dollar values on fangraphs have no basis in reality. None. If someone can explain them to me I would love to listen.

texasdave
09-14-2011, 11:50 PM
i woulda been more surprised if he did have one.

2008 - 11 infield hits
2009 - 12 infield hits
2010 - 8 infield hits
2011 - 0 infield hits

texasdave
09-15-2011, 12:10 AM
Adam Dunn could very have had the most precipitous dropoff in MLB history. 2010 3.5 WAR. 2011 -2.6 WAR. That has to rank right up there.

webbbj
09-15-2011, 07:59 AM
hes also in the worst shape of his life and batting like .160 there isnt very many opportunites to be had at an infield hit.

izzy's dad
09-15-2011, 08:58 AM
Billy Beane is sooooo overrated. Another wonderful season turned in by those Moneyball As. I remember when everyone thought Beane walked on water. Any time a team made a trade with Oakland, everyone immediately figured they got snookered. Reality gets everyone in the end.

Glad I am not the only one that thinks this.

texasdave
09-15-2011, 11:26 AM
Post-Trade:
Hamilton 17.8 WAR
Volquez 5.1 WAR

Proof positive that you cannot win them all when it comes to trades. Since the Reds got Hamilton for almost nada, one could argue they still came out ahead. And EV could always turn it around. And I am the king of wishful thinking. Reds desperately needed pitching at that point in time and had hitting out the wazoo. Like Paul the Alien said, "Sometimes you just gotta roll the dice.". And you thought Paul was a Walrus.

texasdave
09-15-2011, 11:32 AM
I see where they want Heisey to learn to go the other way more. Gulp. I thought Stubbs was making a concerted effort early in the season to go the other way more. Maybe that was just my imagination. Anyway, it has certainly worked out well for Drew. Not. Good luck, Chris.

texasdave
09-15-2011, 11:37 AM
If the Reds go 13-0;
and the Braves go 0-12;
and the Cards go 4-9;
and the Giants go 6-7;
and the Dodgers go 12-2.

The Reds could force a one-game playoff and backdoor themselves in. It could happen. If all that happens my money is on Dusty starting Volquez in the one-game playoff. Unless Steve Parris is available. <---That one is for you, Nuxfan.

texasdave
09-15-2011, 11:43 AM
Brandon Phillips is a great fielder. No doubt. But Pokey Reese, in 1999, was by the best fielding second baseman I have seen in my life. He didn't really play second so much as he played short right. The ball got there quicker on the Astroturf and Pokey had a gun. He took an incredible number of hits away from opposing batters. His UZR that season was an amazing 29.0. In Brandon's best year his was 16.5. Yep, Pokey's was nearly twice that of Phillips'. This season Phillips' is 10.6 with about a dozen games to go. A little more than a third. Reese did not have longevity on his side. But his 1999 season in the field had to be seen to be believed. In this particular instance, the numbers do not lie.

texasdave
09-15-2011, 11:51 AM
Baserunning comparison between 2010 and 2011.
Did the team do better worse or about the same?

Runners on first when a single was hit 2011: 278
Runners reached second 2011: 187 (67.3%)
Runners reached third 2011: 89 (32.0%)
Runners thrown out 2011: 2

Runners on first when a single was hit 2010: 327
Runners reached second 2010: 212 (64.8%)
Runners reached third 2010: 105 (32.1%)
Runners thrown out 2010: 10

Runners on first when a double was hit 2011: 74
Runners reached third 2011: 36 (48.6%)
Runners reached home 2011: 36 (48.6%)
Runners thrown out 2011: 2

Runners on first when a double was hit 2010: 88
Runners reached third 2010: 37 (42.0%)
Runners reached home 2010: 49 (55.7%)
Runners thrown out 2010: 2

Runners on second when a single was hit 2011: 169
Runners reached third 2011: 59 (34.9%)
Runners reached home 2011: 101 (59.8%)
Runners thrown out 2011: 9

Runners on second when a single was hit 2010: 204
Runners reached third 2010: 68 (33.3%)
Runners reached home 2010: 128 (62.7%)
Runners thrown out 2010: 8

In 2010 Reds runners advanced to 72.9% of the possible 1,326 bases. But were thrown out 20 times.
In 2011 Reds runners advanced to 72.2% of the possible 1,116 bases. But were thrown out 13 times.

In 2010 Reds runners advanced 967 bases.
If you adjust 2011 to 2010 opportunities they would have advanced 957 bases.

Are 10 more bases worth roughly 5.5 more outs? I figure with more attempts they lose another baserunner or two. Although I can't figure how out exactly how you lose half a baserunner. Maybe one shoe comes off or something. =)

texasdave
09-15-2011, 01:26 PM
Reds rookies must be anxious in their first trip to the bigs. I guess the prevailing sentiment must be that you don't walk your way out of Louisville. :laugh:

This is the percentage of pitches that Reds hitters take a hack at that are outside of the strike zone:

Francisco - 43.0%
Valaika - 42.0%
Mesoraco - 40.9%
Sappelt - 36.5%
Hermida - 36.4%
Phillips - 36.2%
Hernandez - 35.2%
Frazier - 33.7%
Rolen - 32.7%
Heisey - 32.6%
Cozart - 32.1%
Bruce - 32.0%
Alonso - 28.2%
Janish - 27.8%
Cairo - 27.4%
Renteria - 26.5%
Stubbs - 25.6%
Gomes - 25.6%
Hanigan - 25.4%
Votto - 25.2%
Lewis - 24.3%

texasdave
09-15-2011, 01:36 PM
You hear a lot of talk about the cut fastball these days but it is a pitch that is seldom thrown. Just eyeballing the numbers on fangraphs.com that pitch is thrown only about 6% of the time. In other words about 1 out of ever 17 pitches thrown is a cutter. I am surprised. Reds pitchers throw the 4th fewest number of fastballs in the majors. 51.5% of all pitches leaving the hands of the men in Red are fastballs. The average velocity is 91.3, which is slightly below average. The pitching staff throws more cutters than most other staffs. 9.4%. Philadelphia throws even less fastballs than the Reds, but they lead the majors in hurling cut fastballs at opposing hitters. Hint. Hint.

texasdave
09-16-2011, 03:35 AM
OPS by batting position:


Reds NL Diff.
1st - .752 .730 +.022
2nd - .720 .684 +.036
3rd - .973 .814 +.159
4th - .703 .810 -.107
5th - .815 .742 +.073
6th - .695 .734 -.039
7th - .739 .687 +.052
8th - .680 .672 +.008
9th - .537 .478 +.059

Aside from the 4th spot the Reds compare pretty favorably. Even the 6th spot isn't a killer, IMO.

texasdave
09-20-2011, 10:42 AM
Of all NL pitchers that took the ball to start the game 15 or more times, Edinson Volquez has hurled the lowest percentage of quality starts. 28%. That is unbelievable. 5 out of his 18 starts were of the quality variety. Opening Day pitcher. Incredible.

drowg14
09-20-2011, 11:44 AM
Of all NL pitchers that took the ball to start the game 15 or more times, Edinson Volquez has hurled the lowest percentage of quality starts. 28%. That is unbelievable. 5 out of his 18 starts were of the quality variety. Opening Day pitcher. Incredible.

Hey, in baseball a .280 isn't half bad :lol:

texasdave
09-20-2011, 03:23 PM
The Reds reached their highwater mark of 8 games above .500 on May 17th. Their record stood at 25-17. Since then they have played 112 games, or roughly two-thirds of a season. That is a not a bad patch, a bad couple weeks or a bad month or two even. That is a significant portion of the season. Here comes the depressing part. In that time they have compiled a 49-63 record. That is better than only the Houston AAAstros in the Central Division. Overall, in the NL, it would beat out only San Diego, Colorado, Florida and Houston. In that span they have been 21.0 games worse than Milwaukee and 12.0 games worse than St. Louis. Their run differential is -27.

Still happy with your team, Walt?

drowg14
09-20-2011, 04:20 PM
The Reds reached their highwater mark of 8 games above .500 on may 17th. Their record stood at 25-17. Since then they have played 112 games, or roughly two-thirds of a season. That is a not a bad patch, a bad couple weeks or a bad month or two even. That is a significant portion of the season. Here comes the depressing part. In that time they have compiled a 49-63 record. That is better than only the Houston AAAstros in the Central Division. Overall, in the NL, it would beat out only San Diego, Colorado, Florida and Houston. In that span they have been 21.0 games worse than Milwaukee and 12.0 games worse than St. Louis. Their run differential is -27.

Still happy with your team, Walt?

Wow. You just left me dumbfounded.

texasdave
09-21-2011, 01:33 PM
Dusty Baker on 9/20:
“It’s something he has to work on in the winter,” Reds manger Dusty Baker said. “We’ll give him a plan. You don’t sit him down to prevent. You’ve got to play through it. It’s been tough on him for the last month to six weeks.”
Dusty Baker on 9/21:
Stubbs was in the original lineup but was scratched. Dusty Baker said Stubbs (200 K’s) looks “a little lost right now,” thus the day off.

The man talks to hear himself talk.

texasdave
09-21-2011, 01:34 PM
Wandy Rodriguez, per Fangraphs, has the most effective curve in the NL.

nux fan
09-21-2011, 07:46 PM
dusty talks as though the people he is opining for have the same IQ as he does which is zero, he completely says the opposite in two successive days

texasdave
09-22-2011, 01:04 PM
Carpenter will be back.
Berkman will be back.

texasdave
09-22-2011, 01:13 PM
RISP - 2010 .278/.365/.434/.799
RISP - 2011 .263/.358/.413/.772

TOT - 2010 .272/.338/.446/.774
TOT - 2011 .256/.326/.408/.734

I didn't expect to find these numbers. In both 2010 and 2011 the Reds performed better with RISP than they did overall. 2010 was a magical year so it kinda figures that they did. But my overall impression in 2011 was that they struggled w/RISP. I was wrong. Actually, they did marginally better in 2011, upping their OPS in such situations by .038 (.734 to .772), as opposed to an increase of only .025 (.774 to .799) in 2010. I would have wagered and lost on that for sure.

texasdave
09-23-2011, 03:26 PM
Found this interesting. Ryan Hanigan and Jay Bruce took completely opposite approaches with the count 2-0 in 2011.

Hanigan had 61 2-0 counts and swung at the pitch 7 times. (11.5%)
Bruce had 118 2-0 counts and swung at the pitch 64 times. (54.2%)
How did it work out for them?
After a 2-0 count, Hanigan's slash line was .361/.623/.444/1.067.
After a 2-0 count, Bruce's slash line was .309/.517/.506/1.013.
Different approaches; both successful. Hanigan doesn't have Bruce's inherent power so maybe a little more cautious approach by Jay would yield even better results. Looking at these numbers would you throw Bruce a 2-0 fastball? Probably not if he is gung-ho to swing away.
Must be more than one way to skin a cat in this game.

nux fan
09-23-2011, 05:36 PM
nice work

brm7675
09-23-2011, 05:50 PM
Carpenter will be back.
Berkman will be back.

and both will be another year older and more prone to injury. Sorry but the Cards can have Berkman and his age and bad knees and 12million dollar contract.

nux fan
09-23-2011, 06:35 PM
oh so they will prone to injury but your hero rolen will be in great shape,

texasdave
09-23-2011, 06:40 PM
and both will be another year older and more prone to injury. Sorry but the Cards can have Berkman and his age and bad knees and 12million dollar contract.

rolen will be a year older.
arroyo will be a year older.
cordero, who it would not surprise me at all to be back, will be a year older.

in fact, everyone on both teams will be a year older.

Was that your point?

nux fan
09-23-2011, 06:43 PM
no his point seems to be that only the cards players age, while the reds players bask in the glow of their prime five years ago, his point is the status quo is perfect and who ever attempts to make a suggestion to improve the team is wrong, his initial of brm seem to suggest big red machine perhaps he is waiting for griffey in right, perez at first, and foster in left

nux fan
09-23-2011, 06:45 PM
his point was that only the cards players age, while the reds players find the hernando de soto fountain of youth and regress in age

His other point is that anyone who criticizes this team is wrong but I guess since his initials are brm for big red machine he might be waiting for concepcion at short, griffey to play right, and foster to play left

texasdave
09-29-2011, 04:27 PM
St. Louis hit into 169 double plays. 46 more than the next highest club. Amazing. A very brief googling later turns up this.

http://www.baseball-almanac.com/rb_gidp2.shtml

So that 169 sets a new NL record and is within 5 of the major league record set by the 1990 Red Sox.

texasdave
10-06-2011, 08:47 PM
I saw Drew Stubbs hit his last home run of the 2011 season. It was August 8th, at home, against the Colorado Rockies. Incredible.

nux fan
10-06-2011, 09:38 PM
he is garbage if he were not a first round pick and a white guy he would be gone

LeDoux
10-06-2011, 10:49 PM
Important Random Facts:

In real-life Texasdave is a 94-year-old grandmother of 17 "little darlings." Her favorite player of all time is Jeff Brantley. She likes Las Vegas magic shows and has a 40 year crush on Andy Rooney.

- Officially Verified on the Interwebz

texasdave
10-06-2011, 10:53 PM
Important Random Facts:

In real-life Texasdave is a 94-year-old grandmother of 17 "little darlings." Her favorite player of all time is Jeff Brantley. She likes Las Vegas magic shows and has a 40 year crush on Andy Rooney.

- Officially Verified on the Interwebz

:lol: Did Wikileaks spill the beans?

LeDoux
10-06-2011, 11:09 PM
:lol: Did Wikileaks spill the beans?

Nah - that restraining order filed by the Cowboy is a public record.

texasdave
10-06-2011, 11:28 PM
It is still only in the bottom of the 8th inning, but CNNSI has a Tigers Oust Yankees headline showing. Nice. It proved prophetic though.