Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Leake innings pitched
138.1
167.2
179.0
He's now at 169.1 with a month to go
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Matt700wlw
Leake innings pitched
138.1
167.2
179.0
He's now at 169.1 with a month to go
That makes sense.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
I'd have no problem with him skipping a start and having Reynolds replace him. If Cingrani's back is okay, of course.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
If that's the case, and Cingrani isn't healthy, it's going to become pretty scary, pretty fast. We don't really have anyone else ready to come up.
I guess we could rest Chapman for 5-6 days and start him in the playoffs, but I don't see him making it past 4 innings.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Matt700wlw
Leake innings pitched
138.1
167.2
179.0
He's now at 169.1 with a month to go
He's at 173.2 right now. He has 5 more starts. If he averages 6 innings a start, that puts him at 203.2. That doesn't seem too much to me.
Still, I have no problem skipping him. I actually would like to see every pitcher skipped once this month, but that's not such a good idea with the division still in sight.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Baseball-reference.com needs to update their numbers
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Leake is 25 (26 in November) a 50 inning jump shouldn't be too much at this point. He's not a 21 or 22 y/o whose body is still in its formative years. That is really where these seasonal innings jumps matter the most.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
There's an effect of innings....but it's sample size. I think we're seeing him regress toward the mean as his luck metrics move back into line with his career norms.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Leake's homer rate and line drive rate increased in July and August. July numbers showed him slipping. This would be before the innings really piled up.
Leake seems to be throwing fewer fastballs and sliders this year, more curves and changes. According to Fangraphs charts. Probably the league figured this out.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jojo
There's an effect of innings....but it's sample size. I think we're seeing him regress toward the mean as his luck metrics move back into line with his career norms.
I agree, but that's a still a very good thing. He's basically reverting back to Arroyo, who as been his comp since Leake started his career.
If Leake can give the Reds a bunch of 200 IP, 3.50 ERA years, that would be great.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
757690
I agree, but that's a still a very good thing. He's basically reverting back to Arroyo, who as been his comp since Leake started his career.
If Leake can give the Reds a bunch of 200 IP, 3.50 ERA years, that would be great.
He's reverting back to a backend starter. BTW Arroyo has a career era of 4.20 and has had a single season of 3.5 or better era. Leake is heading toward his peripherals which suggests a >4.00 era, a below average starter by today's environment.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jojo
He's reverting back to a backend starter. BTW Arroyo has a career era of 4.20 and has had a single season of 3.5 or better era. Leake is heading toward his peripherals which suggests a >4.00 era, a below average starter by today's environment.
Arroyo has put up around a 3.75 ERA four out of the last five years. His other year, he was sick. That's well above average.
We'll see how those peripherals play out. The same was said of Arroyo and he's done okay.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Since he's began hitting....his pitching has dropped. In the past 3 games he sprinted around the bases and then stunk the next innings. I would hope a young athletic guy wouldn't be bothered by that....
About 4 games ago he looked like he was sick and working insanely slow....hasn't been worth a darn since.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
757690
Arroyo has put up around a 3.75 ERA four out of the last five years. His other year, he was sick. That's well above average.
We'll see how those peripherals play out. The same was said of Arroyo and he's done okay.
Not sure why you'd keep giving Arroyo credit due the defense behind him because you've certainly been shown multiple times so as to know better.
Re: Mike Leake may be running on fumes...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
jojo
Not sure why you'd keep giving Arroyo credit due the defense behind him because you've certainly been shown multiple times so as to know better.
Because sometimes pitchers have a defense behind them