Mark Armstrong and Gabe Rosa polled into spots 30 and 31 pretty handily, tied overall.
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Mark Armstrong and Gabe Rosa polled into spots 30 and 31 pretty handily, tied overall.
Lamarre and Stephens
Chacin and Duran.
I have no idea yet.
Silva - because OB
Thompson - because my SS itch must ... be ... scratched
Jackson Stephens - he's young for his level but I hope he begins to show some results in line with his potential this year. Same for Rosa and Rahier. In Stephens' case he should be getting regular starts and a full season of work for the first time.
I could've gone about 5 ways, but I went Rachal and Rahier. I know the guy has an 80 power tool and bounced back a bit last year, but I'm a bit surprised at the Duran love. He was in the ultimate hitters league last year and still struck out at an enormous rate. Two of my next few selections will be Crabbe and Lamarre, who I view as guys that likely spend several years as mlb RP/bench player, respectively. Duran's ceiling is still higher, but the likelihood of him reaching the majors at this point seems improbably low to me.
We are on #34 and we have 3 prospects on the 40 man and have yet to be selected, I don't get it. Henry Rodriguez, Soto and LaMarre. Sal Romano and Ryan Wright as well. They have all had success in pro baseball.
Perhaps the majority of the board think that Soto, Rodriguez, and LaMarre have come through the organization and gotten on to the 40 man only because the system was fairly weak at the time--and that a lot of people coming behind them have at least considerably higher upside. It is a bit of a conundrum, as two of these guys have already had ML appearances and I'd say the 3rd, LaMarre (whom I'd rate the highest of the three and who would be in my top 30), is surely going to play in the majors--if for no other reason than his defense. Disappointment factor may be high in relation to these three names in particular.
Duran and Lutz are on the forty as well.
It's the old debate. How much to value raw potential. How much to value track record. When does a guy become a lesser prospect. What's the impact of one bad season.
The one thing about these polls is that sometimes you are better off having no track record or a very limited one. But baseball is a tough game and the warts will show eventually for most of these guys.
Rodriguez has fallen apart the past two seasons. Soto has OB issues, he gets victimized by RHPs (.645 OPS last season) and he has no glove. The guy has Brandon Larson written all over him. LaMarre doesn't hit for average or power. I just don't see where his skill set merits a future as anything but a journeyman minor leaguer.
Romano has not had success in pro ball - 5.02 ERA, 1.560 WHIP, 1.76 K/BB, 6.9 K/9. You can argue he's been placed above his head and that he has untapped potential, but his performance has been poor. Maybe Wright has an advanceable brand of mediocrity, but his Cali League performance last season was pretty bad.
If you're looking for guys who have performed on this list with some consistency then I'd say Juan Silva and Josh Smith stand head and shoulders above the rest of the remaining field.
Ty Washington. Just because. It's a penny stock pick.
I went with Rahier and Stephens again.
They both were pushed to Dayton likely a year earlier than intended, and flashed some upside, if not held their own.