Re: 2012 ZiPS Projections
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Yonder Alonso is a loss, but they did address the correct need and though he hit well in his 2011 cup of coffee, Alonso's minor league performances suggest that he's a bit overhyped. Among hitters, the Reds actually have a pretty decent field of second-tier prospects.
I love it when people look at numbers without context. He was injured, had his hamate bone removed and probably has just now got his power back. I love the trade, but IMO, the Padres got a lot more interesting.
Re: 2012 ZiPS Projections
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Originally Posted by
TRF
I love it when people look at numbers without context. He was injured, had his hamate bone removed and probably has just now got his power back. I love the trade, but IMO, the Padres got a lot more interesting.
Well, that is the thing with projections like this.... they are entirely numbers based. It is why they are pretty darn good at projecting what established players will do (tons of data to work with) and not so good at projecting what younger players will do (hardly enough data to work with).
Re: 2012 ZiPS Projections
Looks like a rotation with two above league-average starters (Latos, Cueto) and two league-average ones (Bailey, Leake). If Arroyo can right the ship, he should add a third to the second category. Not too shabby, eh?
Re: 2012 ZiPS Projections
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Originally Posted by
RedEye
Looks like a rotation with two above league-average starters (Latos, Cueto) and two league-average ones (Bailey, Leake). If Arroyo can right the ship, he should add a third to the second category. Not too shabby, eh?
The rotation does have health issues. I'm betting someone else will get 10-15 starts. Maybe Chapman after say, My 31st. 2 months will give us the health of one Homer Bailey. And if Arroyo is still feeling the effects of mono, they better DL him this time.
Re: 2012 ZiPS Projections
For the second year in a row, I think Jay Bruce's numbers are extremely conservative.
However, if everyone else does what they project, the Reds' offense will be just fine. Cozart and Mesoraco, in particular, look to be outstanding news. Stubbs, notsomuch.
The pen looks like a team strength (which is odd, as I believe it to be the weakest part of the team). All in all, the Reds look to be league average or better across the board, with upside at key spots that may push them anywhere from second place to the World Series title.