Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
I never realized how much the optomist I really was - I called 74 wins :doh:
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
M2
I'll defer to your cave-in vision (proven out in previous seasons), though 25-36 from here on out strikes me as plausible.
I just can't see where they're going to find the pitching. Homer Bailey is currently the Reds' hottest pitcher.
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Falls City Beer
I just can't see where they're going to find the pitching. Homer Bailey is currently the Reds' hottest pitcher.
Sir, you are forgetting the amazing Justin Lehr.
He's going to headbutt the Rox right in the mouth.
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Falls City Beer
I just can't see where they're going to find the pitching. Homer Bailey is currently the Reds' hottest pitcher.
Arroyo is always capable of ripping off a solid run of 4 or 5 starts. That'd help. I suspect Cueto will right himself eventually as well. The pitching isn't nearly as bad as it has been.
Plus, once you get into September, they'll be playing more teams that look like them (glorified AAA squads).
I suppose the smart thing to do would be to prophesize doom and gloom -- but really, life's depressing enough already.
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Caveat Emperor
Arroyo is always capable of ripping off a solid run of 4 or 5 starts. That'd help. I suspect Cueto will right himself eventually as well. The pitching isn't nearly as bad as it has been.
Plus, once you get into September, they'll be playing more teams that look like them (glorified AAA squads).
We can dream, no?
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Falls City Beer
We can dream, no?
It's what keeps me getting out of bed in the morning. ;)
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
They are now playing the way I expected but they played over their head the 1st two months so I think they will go past my 60 prediction but not by more then 5.
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
My prediction of 77 wins seems idiotic right now, though I will submit that I also didn't foresee as many injuries as the Reds have had. You always must take into account some injuries, but they've had a few more than expected.
Nevertheless, gonelong mentioned that the formula in recent years for actual wins has been "ORG Average - 7 = Actual Wins." With the ORG average at 79 wins, that'd pin the Reds right at 72 wins, and that seems very realistic and on target at this point.
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cyclone792
My prediction of 77 wins seems idiotic right now, though I will submit that I also didn't foresee as many injuries as the Reds have had. You always must take into account some injuries, but they've had a few more than expected.
Nevertheless, gonelong mentioned that the formula in recent years for actual wins has been "ORG Average - 7 = Actual Wins." With the ORG average at 79 wins, that'd pin the Reds right at 72 wins, and that seems very realistic and on target at this point.
That's a roundabout way of saying that WMR was correct, in other words? :p:;)
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
WMR
That's a roundabout way of saying that WMR was correct, in other words? :p:;)
Hmmm ... now I see you guessed 72 wins ...
So yep, I could have saved myself a whole lot of typing by just saying "WMR is a prophet - he knows all!" ;)
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cyclone792
Hmmm ... now I see you guessed 72 wins ...
So yep, I could have saved myself a whole lot of typing by just saying "WMR is a prophet - he knows all!" ;)
"My first act as GM is to fire myself and name Cyclone my successor."
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
WMR
"My first act as GM is to fire myself and name Cyclone my successor."
:lol:
I did once have an impressive OOTP online league resume. :D
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Going to be hard to make 70-92.
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cyclone792
:lol:
I did once have an impressive OOTP online league resume. :D
That's b/c you knew how to trade for talent, and you drafted well.
2 things lost on the Reds...
Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Screwball
Good man. Winner gets to pick the loser's avatar that the loser has to display for a while (during '09-'10 offseason?). I'm thinking something Cubs related... :evil:
Well, up until about a week ago I was feeling pretty confident about our bet. Now I'm starting to hope MWM goes easy on me. :scared: