Baseball Prospectus Top 101 prospects - and a shocker

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/ar...rticleid=10142

1. Stephen Strasburg, RHP, Nationals
2. Jason Heyward, OF, Braves
3. Neftali Feliz, RHP, Rangers
4. Jesus Montero, C, Yankees
5. Mike Stanton, OF, Marlins
6. Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Pirates
7. Desmond Jennings, OF, Rays
8. Carlos Santana, C, Indians
9. Buster Posey, C, Giants
10. Aroldis Chapman, LHP, Reds
11. Chris Carter, 1B, Athletics
12. Dustin Ackley, OF/2B, Mariners
13. Jeremy Hellickson, RHP, Rays
14. Ryan Westmoreland, OF, Red Sox
15. Martin Perez, LHP, Rangers
16. Kyle Drabek, RHP, Blue Jays
17. Justin Smoak, 1B, Rangers
18. Brian Matusz, LHP, Orioles
19. Alcides Escobar, SS, Brewers
20. Michael Taylor, OF, Athletics
21. Madison Bumgarner, LHP, Giants
22. Christian Friedrich, LHP, Rockies
23. Tyler Matzek, LHP, Rockies
24. Domonic Brown, OF, Phillies
25. Jacob Turner, RHP, Tigers
26. Aaron Hicks, of, Twins
27. Dee Gordon, SS, Dodgers
28. Derek Norris, C, Nationals
29. Donovan Tate, OF, Padres
30. Casey Kelly, RHP, Red Sox
31. Josh Vitters, 3B, Cubs
32. Casey Crosby, LHP, Tigers
33. Julio Teheran, RHP, Braves
34. Wade Davis, RHP, Rays
35. Miguel Sano, SS, Twins
36. Mike Montgomery, LHP, Royals
37. Starlin Castro, SS, Cubs
38. Shelby Miller, RHP, Cardinals
39. Josh Bell, 3B, Orioles
40. Chris Withrow, RHP, Dodgers
41. Matt Moore, LHP, Rays
42. Alex Colome, LHP, Rays
43. Lonnie Chisenhall, 3B, Indians
44. Brett Wallace, 1B, Blue Jays
45. Arodys Vizcaino, RHP, Braves
46. Ben Revere, OF, Twins
47. Simon Castro, RHP, Padres
48. Jennry Mejia, RHP, Mets
49. Austin Jackson, of, Tigers
50. Logan Morrison, 1B, Marlins
51. Freddie Freeman, 1B, Braves
52. Jarrod Parker, RHP, Diamondbacks
53. Mike Trout, OF, Angels
54. Aaron Crow, RHP, Royals
55. Dan Hudson, RHP, White Sox
56. Tim Beckham, SS, Rays
57. Scott Sizemore, 2B, Tigers
58. Josh Reddick, OF, Red Sox
59. Mike Leake, RHP, Reds
60. Drew Storen, RHP, Nationals
61. Jared Mitchell, OF, White Sox
62. Michael Saunders, OF, Mariners
63. Hak-Ju Lee, SS, Cubs
64. James Darnell, 3B, Padres
65. Wilson Ramos, C, Twins
66. Michael Inoa, RHP, Athletics
67. Todd Frazier, 2B, Reds
68. Tanner Scheppers, RHP, Rangers
69. Reid Brignac, SS, Rays
70. Jake Arrieta, RHP, Orioles
71. Kyle Gibson, RHP, Twins
72. Tyler Flowers, C, White Sox
73. Zach Britton, RHP, Orioles
74. Jaff Decker, OF, Padres
75. Tony Sanchez, C, Pirates
76. Ryan Kalish, OF, Red Sox
77. Alex White, RHP, Indians
78. Phillippe Aumount, RHP, Phillies
79. Mike Moustakas, 3B, Royals
80. Fernando Martinez, OF, Mets
81. Hank Conger, C, Angels
82. Jason Knapp, RHP, Indians
83. Wil Myers, C, Royals
84. Wilmer Flores, SS, Mets
85. Brandon Allen, 1B, Diamondbacks
86. Grant Green, SS, Athletics
87. Ike Davis, 1B, Mets
88. Zach Wheeler, RHP, Giants
89. Jordan Walden, RHP, Angels
90. Jose Tabata, OF, Pirates
91. Nick Hagadone, LHP, Indians
92. Trevor Reckling, LHP, Angels
93. Tim Melville, RHP, Royals
94. Gabriel Noriega, SS, Mariners
95. Fabio Martinez, RHP, Angels
96. Brett Jackson, OF, Cubs
97. Jio Mier, SS, Astros
98. Ethan Martin, RHP, Dodgers
99. Brett Lawrie, 2B, Brewers
100. Jason Castro, C, Astros
101. Danny Espinosa, SS, Nationals

still think Alonso should be rated #1 prospect in the organization Doug?


;)

JK of course... Really can't believe he's not on that list... Had to check it twice...

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Originally Posted by REDblooded

still think Alonso should be rated #1 prospect in the organization Doug?


;)

JK of course... Really can't believe he's not on that list... Had to check it twice...

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I checked it a few times, then did a search for both Reds and Alonso in firefox for spelling errors. How one goes from a 5 start prospect in 2009 to beating the crap out of the FSL to a wrist injury to a 3 star prospect and not inside a Top 101 prospect list is mind boggling to me.

His AFL season, injury, and major questions about his ability to hit LH (not to mention the lesser questions of power and position) would do it for me, though, to be fair, I do think Alonso is a Top 100 prospect.

It's surprising how few 2b are on that list. Only 4...I guess few players are ever really drafted as primarily 2b, though.

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Originally Posted by Scrap Irony

His AFL season, injury, and major questions about his ability to hit LH (not to mention the lesser questions of power and position) would do it for me, though, to be fair, I do think Alonso is a Top 100 prospect.

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Well his AFL season ties in with the injury. My question is this too - why does Alonso get bumped but Justin Smoak does not? Smoak dealt with an injury this season, hit for far less power despite being in much more hitter friendly leagues (while Alonso was in the worst league in the minors for 80% of his season) and also struggled to hit lefties big time? Smoak hit .214/.301/.325 vs lefties last season. It just confuses me when things like that happen.

It's pretty funny that Yonder Alonso isn't ranked, nor is Juan Francisco, but the horribly overrated Josh Vitters is #31.

And if Miguel Angel Sano is #35, then why isn't Yorman Rodriguez ranked?

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Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine

It's pretty funny that Yonder Alonso isn't ranked, nor is Juan Francisco, but the horribly overrated Josh Vitters is #31.

And if Miguel Angel Sano is #35, then why isn't Yorman Rodriguez ranked?

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Good questions all around.

Here's the depressing part:

Out of the last 4 drafts, we have one guy in the majors and two guys on the list, none in the top 58. Two of our 1st rounders don't show up and the guy in the majors may or may not have shown up on this list if he was eligible.

We have also had some uninspiring seasons leading to top half picks in most (all?) of those drafts.

Sweet.

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Originally Posted by edabbs44

Here's the depressing part:

Out of the last 4 drafts, we have one guy in the majors and two guys on the list, none in the top 58. Two of our 1st rounders don't show up and the guy in the majors may or may not have shown up on this list if he was eligible.

We have also had some uninspiring seasons leading to top half picks in most (all?) of those drafts.

Sweet.

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Or you could look at it another way - our worst showing on any offseason list had us with 3 Top 75 prospects in baseball despite recent graduations of Cueto, Votto, Stubbs, Bailey and Bruce.

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Originally Posted by dougdirt

Or you could look at it another way - our worst showing on any offseason list had us with 3 Top 75 prospects in baseball despite recent graduations of Cueto, Votto, Stubbs, Bailey and Bruce.

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I'm not sure how recent some of those grads are.

I don't think that Stubbs would be very high on the list.

I am speaking about drafts only.

We've had better than average draft positioning over the past few years so, all things being equal, we should have better than average performance. 2 draftees in the top 101 sucks.

You can't get too worked up over these lists. They say little that is definitive.

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Originally Posted by edabbs44

I'm not sure how recent some of those grads are.

I don't think that Stubbs would be very high on the list.

I am speaking about drafts only.

We've had better than average draft positioning over the past few years so, all things being equal, we should have better than average performance. 2 draftees in the top 101 sucks.

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Frazier, Alonso and Leake have all been ranked as Top 50 prospects by other lists this offseason alone. Our last 3 drafts have provided Top 50 prospects.

Doug (Cincinnati): So you are down on Alonso for not showing power (despite slugging nearly .500 in the FSL) but love Justin Smoak for slugging .440 in the PCL and Texas League combined, while hitting lefties just as bad as Alonso did in 2009? Care to go into that one?

Kevin Goldstein: Sure. Smoak is a much, much better pure HITTER than Alonso, and more scouts believe in Smoak's power blossoming than those that believe in Alonso's.

I think Justin Smoak is going to be Ted Williams if KG is right because all I have ever seen written or talked about with Alonso is that the guy is a pure hitter. If Smoak is a much, much better pure hitter than Alonso the guy should be ranked #1 overall.