Originally Posted by
edabbs44
You know what bothers me though? The fact that last year EVERYONE knew Cincy was going to draft Stubbs. This year, it seems like EVERYONE knows they are going to draft Ahrens. It makes me believe, assuming Ahrens is their guy, that:
1) This Reds FO, for whatever reason, has zero poker face when it comes to their draft picks.
2) It doesn't matter who is available when they select, they will take Ahrens.
I wonder if, say Andrew Miller was available last year, they would still have taken Stubbs? My money is on yes.
And that's what scares me about this regime. They have probably spoken to Ahrens and said "What's your number?" He tells them "$1.7 million". The higher ups approve and there's your selection. They want to play it safe and zero in on someone they have a good feeling will be there when they pick. Not a total overdraft, but a slight one.
Now, what if Wieters falls and the Reds know it wil take above slot to sign him? Will they be able to gather the testicular fortitude to draft him and worry about money later, or will they still take their guy?