He'll start at AAA, but he won't be there long, I wouldn't think.
Plan your staff like he's not going to be there; ie- bring in a FA pitcher, a #2-3 type to add to Harang and Arroyo.
If Homer's tearing it up again, or if (when) someone goes down, bring him up in May or early June. Because I think he'll struggle a little bit right away, but having most of the season in front of him will give him time to get settled and adjust.
By the end of 2007, he's at least the Reds #3 starter, IMO.
Krivsky said in the booth the other night that he'll probably start in Louisville... he feels AAA is very important in a player's development.
Meet your opening day starter: HOMER BAILEY! ;)
Nah, I chose AAA.
I couldn't possibly care less if he's not with the big club, where he should be. He can be washing cars for all I care. He's got nothing to learn at AAA or AA.
No reasone to start his arbitration clock, leave him in the minors for atleast 2 more years.
I believe they'll start him at AAA, and go from there.
But success at AA, and vs AA hitting is not a guarantee of success vs ML level hitting. Big difference IMO.
He'll be up here soon enough.
It all depends on how he pitches in Spring Training. Jerry wanted him called up this year. K would have a hard time telling Jerry "no" again if Homer kicks butt in Florida.
If his change is down, then he should start the year at AAA and get proficient at working deeper into ballgames and retiring better hitters. AAA would be a tune-up stop for him where he can get some experience facing guys with ML service time before making the jump up to the show.
If his change isn't down, then he needs to repeat AA and learn to throw it for strikes. He can't get by as a big-league starter with just two pitches -- he'll kill his arm trying to put everything on his fastball if he thinks that is the only weapon he has against hitters.
Yeah, let's make sure the intriguing 3-man rotation anchor window of Harang + Arroyo + Homer can't ever happen. let him miss out on learning from two workhorses that get almost max results for their talents.
I'd like to see another 8-10 Michalak starts down the stretch drive in 2007...
Barring unforeseen derailing, Homer ought to be up with the club by Memorial Day at the lastest and in the rotation starting after July 4th...
He will start in AAA, me thinks.
I think they will keep him pretty late during Spring Training, unless he gets absolutely bombed. Of course in doing so, that will bring many to assume he is going north with the big club - until he is sent down the last week, or so.