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Finding a Closer
Just something I thought might help us find a reliever to close in 2012. Blue marks the FA's. The rest are TRADE TARGETS! YEAH!
Saves + Holds Per Blown Save 2011 (Minimum 20 sv+hld) Jose Valverde 49 Antonio Bastardo 25 Sergio Romo 24 Tony Sipp 24 John Axford 23 Koji Uehara 22 LaTroy Hawkins 20 Ryan Madson 18 Joel Peralta 13 Andrew Bailey 13 Chris Sale 12 David Robertson 12 Mike Adams 11 David Hernandez 11 J.J. Putz 11 Greg Holland 11 Javy Guerra 11 Javier Lopez 11 Jonathan Papelbon 10 Joel Hanrahan 10 Jonny Venters 10 Sean Marshall 10 Drew Storen 9 Chris Perez 9 Scott Downs 9 Mariano Rivera 9 Heath Bell 9 Rafael Soriano 8 Huston Street 8 Eric O'Flaherty 8 Rafael Betancourt 8 Brandon League 7 Joe Nathan 7 Brian Wilson 7 Daniel Bard 7 Brian Fuentes 7 Jason Motte 7 Francisco Rodriguez 7 Bill Bray 7 Jason Isringhausen 7 Vinnie Pestano 6 Joaquin Benoit 6 Francisco Cordero 6 Leo Nunez 6 Craig Kimbrel 6 Matt Thornton 6 Grant Balfour 6 Tyler Clippard 5 Jim Johnson 5 Nftali Feliz 5 Sergio Santos 5 Fernando Salas 5 Mark Melancon 5 Chad Qualls 4 Kyle Farnsworth 4 Jesse Crain 4 Jose Veras 4 Joakim Soria 4 Kerry Wood 4 Carlos Marmol 4 Jordan Walden 3 Kevin Gregg 3 Matt Capps 2 If nothing else, this list tells me that most teams count on their young, cheap talent to hold or close games. There are certainly some specialists in this list that would likely never get the call to close, either. Anyway, what you will. Who is your 2012 closer? |
Re: Finding a Closer
Chapman, Masset, Bray, Arredondo, Ondrusek, Wood, Lecure with Boxberger on the way. Leave Chapman in relief and they don't need to mess with the pen. Chapman/Boxberger will be the 2012 version of Ventors/Kimbrall by the all star break. Bray is one of the best middle lefties around. Masset is still solid if he's not burnt up in May and doesn't price himslef out of Cincy. Arredondo will be much better in his second season back from TJ and could end up being better than them all.
Put all monetary resources toward a proven starting pitcher. If they must sign somebody, go for somebody cheap with experience to guide the kids but enough persepctive to accept a reduced role. I like Jason Isringhausen for aboout $1 Million more than bigger names for bigger bucks. |
Re: Finding a Closer
One thing to remember about the importance of a closer, is that it really doesn't come into effect until later in the season.
Many playoff bound teams struggle with the back of their bullpen for a good part of the season, then get a closer at the deadline, or find one in their organization that is finally ready by the Aug/Sept. and do fine. |
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Get the antacid ready because your bullpen will struggle in the late innings. Chapman will be in long relief, starting, or at AAA. The Reds are stretching him out to start eventually. He's not going to be a late inning reliever. Boxberger probably needs AAA time. If he's a Red, it's middle relief until he gets more experience. His control needs work, he's just not ready for prime time. Masset, Ondrusek, Bray, all faded in 2011. Nobody knows how they will come back. Masset had a 3.40 ERA in 2010 - had some good numbers that year but still not stellar. He hasn't been top notch since 2009. Arredondo did look good at the end of 2011. Maybe he's a late inning guy. Maybe. This team needs to add late innings relievers. They don't have to cost a fortune, but new blood is needed in the pen. |
Re: Finding a Closer
Andrew Bailey ranks pretty high on this list, so although his real peripherals are trending back some, he was efficient in getting the job done.
I don't know what LaTroy Hawkins is doing next year, but he could play Arthur Rhodes or David Weathers... |
Re: Finding a Closer
Is Aardsma still available as a free agent?
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Re: Finding a Closer
Why sign a guy if you have someone with in the organization that might have the stuff to be a good closer. Persoanlly I have always thought Volquez could be a lights out closer if given the shot.
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Re: Finding a Closer
He's on this list, and hasn't signed with anyone yet:
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2012-mlb-free-agents |
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I think the Chapman starting pitching experiment isn't working out either. Moves I'd consider: 1. Leave Chapman in bullpen. 2. Bring up Boxberger. 3. Try Volquez in the bullpen 4. Closer by committee 5. I'd also sign a reliever, not a closer, off the free agent wire. Bray Boxberger Chapman Ondrusek Masset Arredondo Volquez Sign someone in free agency, and trade one of the above. |
Re: Finding a Closer
Remember in 2010 how everyone was ready to run Cordero through with a sharp stick because he was always coming into games walking guys?
Multiply that by a trillion and you'll have Volquez as a closer. Volquez is a guy who needs to be dealt to a non-contending, pitching poor team trying to catch lightning in a bottle. He should either be packaged for a more steady starter or dealt for prospects. I think he might be able to come back, but the Reds can't afford to dedicate a spot to him along with Chapman and Bailey. That's three guys who all have a ton of promise, but are also the most likely to provide nothing or worse to the rotation. |
Re: Finding a Closer
You're not going to get anything for Volquez on the open market. Why not give him a shot in the pen to see how he does in ST, especially if he is the odd man out in the rotation. If Volquez can focus on his two best pitches it may cut donw on the walks enough for us to stomach some wildness.
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Re: Finding a Closer
A guy to keep an eye on, Leo Nunez/Juan Carlos Oviedo/Whatever his name is. The Marlins are reportedly signing Heath Bell, Nunez has his identity issues, but could be had on the cheap. He was good, until the Marlins collapsed, mid season. A sign of problems or his environment? Will he be able to re enter the country?
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