Man, I hope movie theaters never go away. The experience at home just doesn't cut it for me. The biggest problem with theaters now is we're so tethered to our phones that you can't sit through a two-hour flick without seeing little lights pop up out of laps all around the room. That's a serious pet peeve of mine.
There will still be movie theaters. Going to the movies is now more about the common experience or just getting out of the house for an evening which direct-to-TV-release cannot provide.
I agree. Movie theater's was the one I thought he was wrong on when I read it. I don't see that going away. The fact that they charge $13 isn't an indication that they're too expensive and will turn people away. It's an indication that people still are willing to pay for the experience.
I think he's wrong on a bunch of them. Digital cameras, landline phones and wired internet to name a few. Seems to me that businesses will continue to use landlines and will wireless ever be as fast and as secure as wired internet? I think this author should have kept the list at 10
Fax machines are so stupid. It's always a handy tipoff that I'm dealing with an archaic organization if someone wants me to fax them something.
I like fax machines because they can send me a document that has an actual, written signature on the bottom. If I have to send something that requires MY signature, I always insist on faxing or hand-delivery.
When dealing with handwritten things (which is frequent, in my line of work), fax machines are great because I can send copies to people quickly -- vs. having someone sit at a computer, scan all the documents in individually, and then break up the various parts into attachments small enough to go through whatever e-mail provider I'm dealing with on the other end. With a fax, I just throw the stuff onto the machine, dial the number and walk away to do other things while it sends.
I'm pretty sure I read an article like this 12 years ago that had some of the same things listed as being on the way out.
Silly to try and predict the future.
I agree with most of the list. Some of those are more technologies in process anyways so of course they are going to change.
Movie theatres are an interesting one. I don't see them going away, but movie studios would love to find a way to give you that experience without going to the theatre. I can see something replacing them in the next 30 years, but not so sure in the next 10-15.
I'd have listed newspapers
In my business, signing documents is still required legally, but I can still do that paperless with my ipad. I think tablets can make the physical fax machine obsolete where people can send pdf files back and forth, sign them on their tablets, and then print a copy out if you need to. That's how we operate and it's sure saved me a ton of time, not to mention paper and ink.
I agree that he's off the mark on movie theaters as well. He cites the price for an individual ticket while neglecting the fact that blockbusters gross billions, literally billions, at the box office. Which means the price of the ticket is actually in line with the market for it. He's looking at it from a consumer perspective rather than a business one. Movies are making more than ever. It's fascinating, really; mp3s have killed CD industry, ebooks have made a dent in the publishing industry, but DVDs and netflix don't seem to have affected the movie box office industry much at all. Much of this probably has to do with the lapse in release dates.
If anything, he might want to examine how movie-going habits will affect material released, i.e., the possibility of studios releasing only potential blockbusters in the theaters and keeping the lower-grossing "arty" pictures to DVD release. But I think even that's a stretch for now, and anyway it isn't related to technology.
FYI, I know kids who do not know what either a busy signal or a dial tone sounds like. Literally have never heard either one.
Curiosity: for those of you who do use land lines, does Cincinnati still allow you to make local calls without dialing the area code? As of a couple of years ago, anyway, one of very few medium/large cities where you can still do this.
That's interesting about the dial tone and busy signal but thinking about it, it makes perfect sense.