Originally Posted by CaptainHook
Unless Homer is lights-out for the rest of the year, I'd say Ty Howington was probably more highly regarded after his breakout 2001 season.
First, Howington was the rarest of breeds ... a big strapping lefty with a plus fastball and two late-breaking offspeed pitches (curve, changeup) that had plus potential.
Second, Howington's 'age 20' season was MUCH better than anything Bailey has done this year. Howington started the season in the Midwest League (Dayton) and posted a ridiculous 1.15 ERA and 10.9 K/9IP in 6 starts. He was then promoted to the California League (Mudville) and posted an outstanding 2.43 ERA and 10.7 K/9IP in 7 starts. To top it all off he was promoted AGAIN, this time to the Southern League (Chattanooga), where he posted a solid 3.27 ERA and 8.3 K/9IP in 7 starts.
Without the benefit of hindsight, Homer has his work cut out for him to surpass the level Howington reached in the spring of 2002.
Howington had better ERA numbers than Bailey at this age, but the Strikeouts lean to Bailey just by a slim margin. Bailey is showing better hit rates, way better walk rates and his WHIP is now currently at 0.99, Howington as a 20 year old had WHIPS of 1.43 and 1.45 in A+ and AA. Bailey had one of 1.00 while in A+ and improved it slightly last night. I really think Bailey is a better prospect than Howington, whether he will rate higher, I do not know. I do know that Bailey has improved his stock enough that he has jumped into the top 20 in the eyes of some of the places who make these prospect lists.