Originally Posted by Johnny Footstool
Low strikeout rates are a good indicator. Guys like Suppan and Redman can have success, but it's mostly due to BABIP, which is a dicey way to earn a living. When they stop getting lucky, their numbers flop. Jon Garland is learning that this season.
The term "journeymen" fits these guys like it fits Steve Perry, Steve Smith, and Neil Schon.
Nah, you don't get lucky five years in a row (Redman) or seven (Suppan). More to the point, Redman and Suppan weren't particularly lucky in those seasons. They really were what the league average looked like. You could pretty much set your league average clock by them.
If Garland can shave 0.80 off his ERA before the end of the season, he'll pretty much be back to league average, making him the new-model Suppan.