Originally Posted by M2
It's July and Wayne Krivsky's got a tough call to make. I know the Reds are just a tick off the division lead and wild card, but is that a reflection of the team's quality or is it a mirage?
Here's your chance to decide.
This team overachieved incredibly just to get to this point, and the players who carried them here have mostly fallen back to earth (see: Coffey, Todd), are in the process of falling back to earth (see: Arroyo, Bronson and Ramirez, Elizardo), or are due for a bit of a fallback (see: Ross, David).
There are also serious holes in this team in both the bullpen and the rotation. Simply put, there isn't a single proven arm in the bullpen that can be relied upon for 3 outs. It's so laughably bad that the manager is making decisions to send starters out to throw 130+ pitches in a 3 run game rather than give the ball to anyone out there. And, the back end of the rotation is positively nightmarish with some combination of Joe Mays, Eric Milton and Brandon Claussen coming out to pitch 40% of the games.
By conservative estimates, I put this team at needing 4 additional players (1 league-average starter, 2 league average bullpeners, and 1 replacement-level bullpenner). None of those players are at the cusp of making the big leagues in the minors (which is dead at the AAA level), so the Reds will have to trade to get the help. You simply can't find THAT much major league talent midseason -- and even if you could, the cost to acquire it all would make even the most gung-ho members of this board blush.
Sell some veterans -- clear some salary space, and maybe make the right blockbuster deal if it comes along. 2007 is where this team needs to be looking, because it's a long way down the rollercoaster in the 2nd half.