Re: Something that gets overlooked with trades like this (I'm loving Krivsky BTW)
We traded for immediate help and dismissed potential...
Austin Kearns has been touted as the future. The local kid who could be the all everything outfielder. Instead we got a kid who just might have had an attitude problem (no evidence outside our former GM who was an idiot sending him down to lose weight) and lots of potential, but nothing concrete. He may turn in to a 30 HR, 100 RBI man someday, but no evidence is found that this is on the horizon. He was also often injured.
Felipe Lopez won the hearts of Reds fans with last year's performance which showed he had some pop, but he continued to field poorly and showed little improvement in that area. So many times I watched as he was slow to cover 2nd base on plays you learn in little league. He wasn't moving to become the next Barry Larkin is a safe statement. He has potential, but there was nothing concrete to say he was going to get there anytime soon.
Ryan Wagner was a college phenom. He won our hearts with a great rookie season with nasty stuff and lots of potential. He came back the last two seasons getting bombed and showing less compusure than any pitcher in recent memory. He has lots of potential and little concrete to show that he was getting to be the devastating setup man or closer we wanted. He may get there, but it appeared it wouldn't be anytime soon with an over 5 ERA in AAA.
Three players who had tremendous potential, but not moving toward toward realizing that potential. Their worth? Potential is valuable, but less than actual concrete proof that they will get there. The Reds needing relief pitching desparately, had to give up something to get something. Good relief pitching is at a premium. Just look at enough games and you will see this. Every club has this problem. Krivsky gambled that we could replace Kearns with Denorfia and not lose much (an assumption I do not agree with, but that's my problem) and that defense was more important than offensive statistics. And relief pitching. Without a really dpendable relief pitcher in the pen, the gamble had to be made. In return we get two good MLB arms and a journeyman SS. The bullpen is immediately better and short is a little less potent. Right field is somewhat less than a wash. How many games did the bullpen allow far more runs than the Reds scored? How many runs do we now need to win a game?
Offense has not been a problem, but defense and pitching has. Krivsky took two players with some value and turned it into better defense (overall--better or equal in the OF and equal at short) for maybe some players who could hold a lead. We gave up a potential 45 HR's and put a plan in place that would mean maybe we wouldn't need those dingers.
As I said the jury is out, but I like the thinking here. All that offense over the last couple of years netted us a losing record. Let's try something different and see what happens. You have to admit, like my Dad used to say, you can crap in one hand and wish in the other and see which one gets full the fastest.
By this time next year, we'll know the answer.
Good post, Ed.
"The price of seeking to force our beliefs on others is that someday they might force their beliefs on us."
"You only have to bat a thousand in two things; flying and heart transplants. Everything else you can go 4-for-5."