Re: Why the Reds will win this series against the braves
If we can get a little more luck than we have been getting, we'll be fine. Between Freel's 1st inning single Wednesday night, and Phillip's 8th inning single Thursday night, we had about 25 straight balls in play that were not hits (HR's aren't balls in play).
Considering about 30% of BIP result in hits, the Dodger's pitchers were extremely lucky. We should have had about 10-11 hits in that span, as the average would have been about 10-35, or 11-36.
We've had stretches like this before and pulled out of it. As long as our pitching is doing OK we'll be fine. To me, that's the big question.