Originally Posted by TheBigLebowski
Taking that line of thinking a step further, it is then logical to believe that Johan Santana will have a lower BABIP than Dave Williams as Johan is 100x the pitcher Williams is and, it is therefore more diffucult to hit his pitches well.
intuitively it would seem to but the data and the research doesn't support it. His better stuff results in less walks, fewer HRs and a lot more Ks (those things not subject to BABIP) and that is what makes him a great pitcher. The data certainly suggest that there is a randomness to BABIP that is not subject to talent. Both Johnson and Schilling had a season that was "bad" while in Arizona almost entirely due to a very high BABIP even though they had some of the best "stuff" in all of baseball.