Re: Reds Remaining Schedule!
I like this mathematical approach to speculation, but only to a point. Pennant race baseball is so emotional that numbers often times skew going into the home stretch. Look at some of Houston's teams from the last couple of years, or some past Oakland teams.
I suspect that we're about to see a couple of teams start winning a lot more than they have all season leaving everyone else in the dust.
I suspect the teams who start winning more than everyone else will be Cincy and Philly. Neither team should really be where they are, but there's just something about them...
The big question mark, in this scenario then becomes, what about St. Louis.
So while I like looking at statistics to get a general idea of what our team is capable of (which you've done an excellent job of providing), the last month of the season is notorious for tossing all sorts of surprises at us.