Re: Will Drew Stubbs be a bust?
The problem with all but four of the players you listed (Bay, Thome, Bonds, Stubbs) were either a high school player when drafted or was an undrafted free agent.
Ryan Howard was a college player (SW Mizzou State). His 1st pro season was in the NY-Penn League (SS-A).
When all is said and done more is said than done.