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Old 11-03-2006, 04:30 PM   #21
Doc. Scott
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Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Portland, OR (West Chester, OH)
Posts: 6,066
Re: Carson Kainer(Reds 14th rd pick) needs kidney transplant

Well, Kainer hit .335/.411/.443 in '04, .312/.391/.411 in '05, and .364/.425/.550 in '06 for the Longhorns. That '06 season was a higher BA that Stubbs', but a lower OBP/SLG.

Carson looks like he doesn't have much power or speed at this point, but hits a ton of singles and doubles and makes consistent contact with an average walk rate.

These three-year numbers are comparable to Dorn's and better than the CSF duo (Valaika/Turner). Dorn fell far in the draft because he missed about a third of his senior season with injuries. Valaika fell in the draft because he missed all of one year and most of a second with injuries. Turner hit eight homers in four seasons with aluminum, then slugged over .500 for Billings with six bombs with wood.

So you just never know how a college player will adjust, but prospects appear good that Kainer will have no problem in the Pioneer League, at least. However, other college players with good numbers (like most of the '04 draft class) can have a helluva time figuring out pro pitching.

Kainer's main obstacle in the fact that he'll be 22 and most of the way to 23 before he makes a professional at-bat. So those first two seasons are paramount.

Last edited by Doc. Scott; 11-03-2006 at 04:39 PM.
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