Originally Posted by AvesIce51
I think a lot are dumb...here are my reasons:
They operate on names: like Royce Clayton is a good fielder (he was), people think Griffey Jr. is still the best hitter on the Reds, or that he is still a good CF'er (finally lost steam this year), Rick White.
They like people with experience: like QMac and Tony Womack. Just bc someone has won, doesn't mean they help their team win.
They don't back up their reasoning: with the exception of guys like Theo and B Beane, GM's use scout talk to explain why someone is good when the numbers don't back it up. Theo will say, "we got him bc his obp is .390 and he knows how to take pitches, it's proved in his P/AB." 'Old school' GM's say, "we like his approach, he gives a professional AB and he is versatile." This has been said about Rich Aurilia all too often, that he gives professional AB's, when in reality, he consistantly ranked at the bottom of the team for pitches per AB, and couldn't take a walk (but everyone has their own definition of professional AB, mine is not swinging at the first close pitch (that includes Sean Casey)).
People offer contracts to Juan Pierre for 10 mil a year. HAHA, that needs no explanation, and I don't care how inflated the market is, I would hope that that deal never would happen 10 years from now when middle relievers are getting that type of money.
The O's signed Sammy Sosa to a ridiculous contract despite him having an awful finish in Chicago. That one hurt them big time. About $450,000 per RBI two years ago...ouch.
The list goes on and on, but I think one major problem IMO are teams still leaning on "old-school" scouts for Major Leaguer info. Every breath a ML'er takes is recorded by a stat, but by no means am I saying visual scouting isn't important (for that is part of my career choice), but they say things like "good insincts...reads the ball well..." Those things were said about Griffey a couple of years ago to defend him playing in CF, when, even if he has those things, his legs are shot and he still couldn't get to half the balls even if he started moving towards them before the pitch.
Overall, I think the new era of GM's will soon take over, and guys like DanO, Jim Hendry, and other "baseball guys" will fall to the "numbers guys" or the "hybrids" (like myself).
Just my humble opinion.