Re: Would you do Encarnacion for Ervin Santana?
FCB, I think we're shallow in both departments, don't get me wrong. In fact, looking back, perhaps we're not imbalanced much at all. I think my second point is the better one. We've got basically no internal options to play 3B next year outside of EE. I suppose you could put Castro or Freel over there, but I think the downgrade at 3B would outweigh the upgrade in the rotation.
I'm curious to see Nate Silver's new PECOTA projections for both EE and Santana. The 2006 model shows EE at 23.6 VORP to Santana's 19.0 in 2007, but obviously those are going to change.
It's actually a really even trade in my opinion, I'd just rather have EE. However, if I could send them Votto & Cueto I'd be all over it. Then we trade Milton & Change for Sexson. Then I pinch myself and wake up.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.