Quote:
Originally Posted by dougdirt
Milledge has seen all of his power leave after his 19 year old season....I dont know why that is, or how it happened, but I think after his 19 year old season his stock dropped. He then turned into a high average, low power guy who has good plate discipline.
|
Milledge for his minor league career has posted: .303/.384/.473 OPS: 857.
While its true his HR total has been lower than the season he spent in the SAL, you have to remember he has played in some pretty brutal home parks since then. Case in point-last season he was stuck in Norfolk. Norfolk is an absolute disaster for hitters essentially killing everyone's power numbers (well maybe not babe ruth).
Here's Milledge's splits from Norfolk:
home: 0.261/0.385/0.325 OPS: 0.710
away: 0.293/0.391/0.560 OPS: 0.951
Here's what Pecota projects for Milledge at Shea stadium (a pitcher's park):
2007 .284/.356/.457
2008 .287/.361/.467
2009 .288/.365/.472
2010 .290/.371/.480
2011 .287/.368/.477
Now consider Milledge is only 21 and already major league ready (Bill James says the great ones make to the majors at a young age). He also is good enough defensively to play centerfield....imagine those offensive numbers from your above average defensive centerfielder. Also, i'd just throw this out there.... raw power hitters rarely develop into good hitters but good hitters often develop substantial power. This kid has all of the tools, gets on base and SLGs....the homers will probably come.
He would look awesome in the outfield at GABP. I think he has to be considered one of the better hitting prospects around right now...
There is no way I'd trade him for 180 innings of Blanton.