Re: The Truth About Adam Dunn and Strikeouts
Here's the numbers with a bit of a theory adjustment. I forgot to split of balls in play with homeruns the last time, so the new numbers are a little different. I calculated the estimated homeruns based on Hit Balls per Homerun according to his last three years, and then did the whole BABIP thing with the left over hit balls. These numbers are actually pretty different...
Hit Balls/HR: 8.849
Hits In Play: singles: .6724% doubles: .3207% triple: .0069%
With 194 Strikeouts: 683PA 561AB 367HB 326BIP .244/.376/.524/.900 .280isoP 137H 41HR 65singles 31doubles 1triple 294TB
With 164 Strikeouts: 683PA 561AB 397HB 352BIP .264/.392/.567/.959 .303isoP 148H 45HR 69singles 33doubles 1triple 318TB
Hit Balls/HR: 11.3429
Hits In Play: singles: .6724% doubles: .3207% triples: .0069%
With 164 Strikeouts: 683PA 561AB 397HB 362BIP .251/.382/.503/.885 .252isoP 141H 35HR 71singles 34doubles 1triple 282TB
This paints a little different picture than the last time. This shows that Dunn could actually do some damage to his game if his power drops enough.
Last edited by Superdude; 01-07-2007 at 10:13 PM.