Originally Posted by TRF
He wasn't even close to being the best hitter on his own team, much less considered to be anything spectacular in the Pioneer League. Dorn, Parker, Turner and Valaika all out hit him by a WIDE margin. Billy Rojo had only 6 fewer BB's with an identical SLG. And yes, I know defense matters, but is his defense THAT spectacular? It had better be considering his OPS was around 200 points lower than 5 other guys. FCB nailed it on his power. Stubbs had 6HR's last year, three behind Parker, the team leader, and 2 behind Dorn and Valaika. While that isn't a huge gap, look at the number of doubles for those three guys:
No gap power for Stubbs, meaning without a true hit chart to go by, I'm thinking most of his HR's are severe pull jobs. His lack of doubles is even more alarming when you see he led the team in SB's with 19. I'd say his power is less than moderate.
Considering just how many times this team has screwed up the first pick, whether that screw up was over-working the pick (Howington, 141 IP in his first professional season), punting a better pick due to supposed signability issues (Kazmir) for a lesser pitcher (Gruler) or just punting it altogether (Sowers) you'd think that Linecum would have been a serious no-brainer.
I like everyone on here hopes Homer Bailey lives up to his incredible potential, but had the Reds, going back to JimBo's days in charge had drafted and signed Kazmir, Sowers and Jared Weaver, They'd have arguably the best young rotation in all of baseball. Yeah, big if, but all of those picks seemed like no-brainers to almost everyone on this board at the time.
Yet Weaver is already having arm issues.
"The way I throw, it's going to be an issue.....I've had it since high school. It sticks around for a long time and it's a matter of knocking it out. With my mechanics and different arm slot, I put a little more stress on my shoulder."
"We can make some subtle changes. He has a pronounced turn toward the plate and the deception in his delivery could put a strain on his shoulder or elbow. It's something he's lived with for a long time, and something he'll have to battle to keep his strength where it needs to be so he can pitch with those mechanics. It it take two weeks, it takes two weeks. I don't think it's to a point where he will miss any apppreciable amount of time."
Hindsight is very clear, but if Lincecum was such a slam dunk, he wouldnt have made it to #10. 9 teams passed on him. Last years draft class was very weak, easily one of the weakest draft classes ever. Is Lincecum the guy everyone in the top 10 will look back and think "what if" about? It very well could happen, but seriously, the hype this guy has gotten for 31 innings in the minor leagues is unreal, and honestly, its unwarranted. Hitters have had no adjustment period to what he throws, as he split his 31 innings between 2 leagues. He is ridiculously small, weighing in at 160 pounds as a 22 year old. Let the guy get his feet wet in a full season before making a full judgement on him, and that goes for both Lincecum and Stubbs.